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March 2020 disc/obs


Torch Tiger
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3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Um, I do... but it doesn’t work like that in life.

A storm that intense at that latitude will not be intense or as intense in CT as it was in DE, and by the time it reaches far enough north in latitude, it will occlude and weaken substantially just like JONAS.

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49 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That’s a potent storm on the GFS.  Despite the miss OTS actually places potential NORLUN pretty far W. 

at this range you want the GFS to be the furthest east just showing its bias ……..CMC has been the most consistent with the storm- this is a classic Miller A

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0z Euro and eps looked good, just a little wide for a metro corridor crushing impact. Has to be some big hits on the eps though as the trough looked sharper. 6z gfs ticked better from 0z too. cmc a glancing blow. UK looked euro-ish, maybe a little tick closer. Pretty nuts how every model is within a tick or two of each other. 

Huge signal, just need a little nudge closer and at d5....workable.

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