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March 2020 disc/obs


Torch Tiger
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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

The way that closes off almost reminds me of 2/15/15. 

I actually thought of that...lol. Of course that was frigid as hell....but dynamical for sure.

The idea of a solution like that does make sense. It's possible we may not get a full nuke east of the Cape, but perhaps something from the nrn stream as shown. So it's one of those things where maybe this looks like Ray's fraud 5, but in this case..it does make sense.

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6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That, would, work. Regardless, good signs for something potent. We have nothing to lose at this juncture of a shit season either.

I was thinking the same thing...something potent seems to be the underlying theme currently.  How it all plays out/comes together is to soon to say.  But some important ingredients seem to be in the recipe.

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2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i've never seen the euro be too aggressive with a shortwave at day 5

This is why we want southern stream involved IMHO...too much chance this trends flatter and faster in northern stream if we are solely relying on it. 

But in the case where the northern stream catches up with a potent southern stream, we probably don’t need it to be perfect to produce. 

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14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Because if they had phased at all, they would not have tracked near Bermuda.

They’re not near Bermuda but they are east of the mean.  It is actually possible to phase but too late for land interaction.

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