RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Still misses Norlun ? Improvements is all I need to say at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 12z ICON has gone from 06z implication of doom... to partly sunny with high in the low 40s and early birds darting blithely to and fro - Red flag? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: 12z ICON has gone from 06z implication of doom... to partly sunny with high in the low 40s and early birds darting blithely to and fro - Red flag? Gfs misses too.... this is far from a slam dunk. Icon isn’t even close at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Poor misunderstood Ray. I got what you were saying. His reading comprehension and meteorological insight are about as healthy as the Yankees' roster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tblizz cancelling storm because of the icon. It’s not even close... toss at your own peril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 OH, this GFS run is clearly heading toward amplitude and considerations west ...absolutely. Remember, we are in trend modes - these are not etched in stone solutions. You have to reel that cinema in mind's eye and realize where you've been, where we are now, for projecting the future. Adding in the model's native bias, clearly it's speed/progressive stretching tendency is pulling the s/stream and ripping it out faster than the subsuming n/stream can capture - and that could easily be a correction that is in process of unfolding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs misses too.... this is far from a slam dunk. Icon isn’t even close at 12z Icon changes more than I change my pants. Gfs made some improvements. Like run said , long ways to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: OH, this GFS run is clearly heading toward amplitude and considerations west ...absolutely. Remember, we are in trend modes - these are not etched in stone solutions. You have to reel that cinema in mind's eye and realize where you've been, where we are now, for projecting the future. Adding in the model's native bias, clearly it's speed/progressive stretching tendency is pulling the s/stream and ripping it out faster than the subsuming n/stream can capture - and that could easily be a correction that is in process of unfolding. We've been in trend modes for 3 months lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs misses too.... this is far from a slam dunk. Icon isn’t even close at 12z Can’t believe we don’t have a slam dunk blizzard at day 6. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Can’t believe we don’t have a slam dunk blizzard at day 6. It’s already settled. ICON misses. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s not even close... toss at your own peril. It gave you a blizzy at 6z, pick a solution...any solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Euro 513 south of the Cape GFS 531 south of LI CMC 516 south of Long Island UK 528 south of LI. Everyone knows the rule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We've been in trend modes for 3 months lol Tru ... Hey I’m still cautiously optimistic – and the way this winter has gone? I think I’ll be fully on board when I’m standing knee-deep in snow two days later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Seeing as we’re at day 5 now with it being a Fri into Sat am deal.. it might be time to start thinking it’s possible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Tru ... Hey I’m still cautiously optimistic – and the way this winter has gone? I think I’ll be fully on board when I’m standing knee-deep in snow two days later According to some, two days later/after will no longer have any snow left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Cmc coming in more amplified than the goofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Seeing as we’re at day 5 now with it being a Fri into Sat am deal.. it might be time to start thinking it’s possible Welcome to the party, you’re seat is right over there...back corner table next to the ladies bathroom. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: According to some, two days later/after will no longer have any snow left. Yeah if he wants to do that he’d have to do it Saturday morning as it’s ending . Otherwise it’s ankles deep in grass two days post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Tru ... Hey I’m still cautiously optimistic – and the way this winter has gone? I think I’ll be fully on board when I’m standing knee-deep in snow two days later Hey, I have always been on the "it ain't over" train. Just couldn't pass up a pun perfectly engineered to suite the trials of this season. Seasons that deliver a KU event in December do not go quietly into the night...we aren't getting let out. We are going to miss my second window of 2-17 to 3-2, but it may not be by much- . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 GGEM is gonna go big again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 CMC Big hit for the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 CMC is going to go boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: CMC is going to go boom It already did lol what site are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: CMC is going to go boom It's already out on stormvista. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: CMC Big hit for the east. Might be where we want it right now? No way it verifies in that exact location, 5.5 days out. Tug that thing west another 200 miles and we are golden back here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: It's already out on stormvista. Crushing for SEMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: Might be where we want it right now? No way it verifies in that exact location, 5.5 days out. Tug that thing west another 200 miles and we are golden back here... I doubt it. This is an ots or east special. We would have to keep slowing down the southern stream, which is correctable, but not so much so in a progressive flow...I favor a late bloomer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, Spanks45 said: Might be where we want it right now? No way it verifies in that exact location, 5.5 days out. Tug that thing west another 200 miles and we are golden back here... I don't think we are going to see that. This late-blooming, Miller B subsumes do not usually trends towards faster development, and if they do, its an artifice of modeling. My money is on an E NE focus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I doubt it. This is an ots or east special. We would have to keep slowing down the southern stream, which is correctable, but not so much so in a progressive flow...I favor a late bloomer. This is a New England special. What else can go wrong for the coastal weenies ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2020 Share Posted March 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is a New England special. What else can go wrong for the coastal weenies ? Nothing we can do. Miller B’s just aren’t our thing. Once in a while the N stream drops in earlier like Feb 13 but usually its a Jan 05 or Jan 15 type of evolution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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