USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 EURO was step in the right direction with a more amplified northern stream trough, we need better trends only 54 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 6:15 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: EURO was step in the right direction with a more amplified northern stream trough, we need better trends only 54 hours out Expand Surface temps are torched Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 6:17 PM, MJO812 said: Surface temps are torched Expand It's moot..in the unlikely case the heavier precip shield came further north..it would flip to snow. Who cares if it's light rain if we get a tenth of an inch of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 6:15 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: EURO was step in the right direction with a more amplified northern stream trough, we need better trends only 54 hours out Expand Plenty of time? 0.50" is halfway to Bermuda. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 5:02 PM, The 4 Seasons said: This for annoying me with all those severe posts and threads in the middle of the damn winter @weatherwiz Expand Lock in that 40-50 for my hood. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Monday could be a legit top 10 day. Keep flow more WSW and we could see mid-to-upper 60's. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 6:23 PM, weatherwiz said: Monday could be a legit top 10 day. Keep flow more WSW and we could see mid-to-upper 60's. Expand Yup...I've been monitoring that... It's an epic journey through bundom to do so...but I'm often interested in tracking those first warm fair days in spring; I mean, they happen so rarely they may as well be considered freak events and thus have their place in the annuls Of course... having it be 70+ last January...and 80+ in Febs and March's several times over the last 6 years, the novelty of that is wearing off too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 6:30 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Yup...I've been monitoring that... It's an epic journey through bundom to do so...but I'm also interested in tracked warm fair days in spring; I mean, they happen so rarely they may as well be considered freak events and thus have their place in the annuls Expand I actually have a quite a bit of interest in tracking them too. I know it's not very exciting but forecasting temperatures in the spring (especially around here) requires a bit of skill at times and it's not very easy. I think one of the most interesting drivers is soil moisture/leafing out and the influences they can have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 6:33 PM, weatherwiz said: I actually have a quite a bit of interest in tracking them too. I know it's not very exciting but forecasting temperatures in the spring (especially around here) requires a bit of skill at times and it's not very easy. I think one of the most interesting drivers is soil moisture/leafing out and the influences they can have. Expand Could be... MOS guidance may or may not have that kind of discrete science built into their algorithms. Obviously, we know they are heavily climo weighted as they get out in time ... 4, 6 and 7 days out, so it would probably be hard to know if the super-adiabatic overturning/tall BL is being modulated/hidden out by the database averages. Also, considering the averages ...those may or may not contain the "hockey stick" aspects of recent climate change. Ever since the 1990s really, the MOS would routinely under-assess the high temperatures on sunny well mixed days while in the absence of CAA, anyway, and one should wonder if the last 10 years make that worse. Those rotted polar air mass and/or westerly continental conveyors with low RH will drive a 61, D7 MOS to 72 every time because of climo weight, but even in the near term ...like the next day, there's still almost a guaranteed 1 to 3 tick bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 I’ve always found MOS busts hard in warm setups when you have bare, dry ground when climo says you should have pack or at least mud season. So yeah, it’s an albedo and/or a soil moisture effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 5:02 PM, The 4 Seasons said: This for annoying me with all those severe posts and threads in the middle of the damn winter @weatherwiz Expand Only a 50 inch difference on the Euro. Guess who wins, save us the GFS schools the Euro crap Wolfie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Euro shows the storm on the 13th but its progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 7:00 PM, dryslot said: Euro shows the storm on the 13th but its progressive. Expand I wonder which one will be more accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Euro starting to at least show it. We’ll see. Enjoy spring until then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 7:05 PM, NorEastermass128 said: I wonder which one will be more accurate? Expand Could be neither.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 I bet the town of Dixmont , ME does well with snow. Driving thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 7:09 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I bet the town of Dixmont , ME does well with snow. Driving thru Expand Take Rt 2 to 26 to 93 back if you want to see all the weenie snow spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 7:09 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I bet the town of Dixmont , ME does well with snow. Driving thru Expand Get on the other side of 95 for some real fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On March 10 ..? That's a ripper BD front on the Euro's day 6... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 I think they may have over-corrected BOS. I feel like it's been like 1-2f too cold at times. Ugh. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 7:19 PM, Ginx snewx said: Take Rt 2 to 26 to 93 back if you want to see all the weenie snow spots Expand At Unity College. Came from Husson. Was on 202 west. I can guarantee Dixmont does well based on the topography and orientation . Gotta be a weenie spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 6:53 PM, Ginx snewx said: Only a 50 inch difference on the Euro. Guess who wins, save us the GFS schools the Euro crap Wolfie Expand LOL that's not me who says that....I just say that the Euro ain't what she used to be. That's my take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 EPS has the 12th signal. Rev up the roller coaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 8:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said: At Unity College. Came from Husson. Was on 202 west. I can guarantee Dixmont does well based on the topography and orientation . Gotta be a weenie spot Expand They're a lot of weenie spots up here, Newport is another good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 How’s the nam look weenies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 8:10 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: EPS has the 12th signal. Rev up the roller coaster. Expand So you're saying there's another....."Chance?" LOL. Can we strike out completely this winter with a miss on the 12th? I'd say there's a decent chance we can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 7:58 PM, CoastalWx said: I think they may have over-corrected BOS. I feel like it's been like 1-2f too cold at times. Ugh. Expand They need 18 months of cool bias to erase all the fake warm readings in the climo record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 8:10 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: EPS has the 12th signal. Rev up the roller coaster. Expand Lol...pretty marginal. But I suppose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 On 3/4/2020 at 7:35 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Get on the other side of 95 for some real fun Expand Plenty of pack to the west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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