40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Writing was om the wall yesterday, despite some remaining enthralled by ensemble erotica. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 One track mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Writing was om the wall yesterday, despite some enthralled by ensemble erotica. It didn't look great yesterday....but ensemble guidance is typically still going to be more accurate at d4-5 than OP runs. That said, there was a clear split in the ensemble guidance...and the trend has been toward the more eastern members. It's usually a red flag when we can't get one single OP run from at least one decent model to give a big hit....I've seen it not happen and then it trends big toward a western ensemble guidance...but it's pretty rare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It didn't look great yesterday....but ensemble guidance is typically still going to be more accurate at d4-5 than OP runs. That said, there was a clear split in the ensemble guidance...and the trend has been toward the more eastern members. It's usually a red flag when we can't get one single OP run from at least one decent model to give a big hit....I've seen it not happen and then it trends big toward a western ensemble guidance...but it's pretty rare. Exactly. OPs aren't useless at day 4 and not one had a big solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Still sticking with my no snow for March call for my area...But I suppose there's that St. Patrick's day beast that someone posted a map for yesterday. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 37 minutes ago, tamarack said: Should see some snow in the hills between Newport and BGR. That area (160s mile markers), always catches snow, also unwary drivers. It's Maine's I-95 version of the Mt. Tolland Triangle on I-84. So drive fast ,take chances? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Usually SNE does way better than the NYC area in bad winters down here but it's been awful for everyone except for Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Usually SNE does way better than the NYC area in bad winters down here but it's been awful for everyone except for Maine. Enjoy your gusty line segment tonight. Maybe if you're lucky you can get some small hail to bounce off the noggin or the grand prize of them all...a brief quick TOR 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Usually SNE does way better than the NYC area in bad winters down here but it's been awful for everyone except for Maine. Not awful for n sne..just bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I would tell you not to do it, But its to late, You have done everything possible on this one that you shouldn't have done. Hey it looked good for a while. Still an outside shot we sneak some snow in down here. Everywhere else, yeah I’d punt at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Hey it looked good for a while. Still an outside shot we sneak some snow in down here. Everywhere else, yeah I’d punt at this point You’re done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’re done Less done than you, to be sure. Canadian is a nice little event here. I wouldn’t predict that at this point, but still 84 hours out... wouldn’t take much to have a glancing blow for BOS-PVD SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Looks like quite the storm went through Nashville last night. Any EF rating guesses? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Cyclone-68 said: Looks like quite the storm went through Nashville last night. Any EF rating guesses? High EF-2/low EF-3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Less done than you, to be sure. Canadian is a nice little event here. I wouldn’t predict that at this point, but still 84 hours out... wouldn’t take much to have a glancing blow for BOS-PVD SE Yea. You guys can still get clipped. Fade the noisy agendas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. You guys can still get clipped. Fade the noisy agendas. Still a handful of notable ensemble members near the benchmark *quickly signs off and closes browser tab* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Usually SNE does way better than the NYC area in bad winters down here but it's been awful for everyone except for Maine. If you run a line about 30 miles south of Binghamton and Albany to near the MAss/NH border to the south shore of Maine, to about 30 miles north of NYC and 20 miles north of the LI sound you've had a bad winter, but at least a storm or two or three. I had 12 inches from the December 2-3 storm and a grand total of 8.5 inches since. Anywhere south of that line you just haven't had anything worth even mentioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Still a handful of notable ensemble members near the benchmark *quickly signs off and closes window tab* Yeah... low probability for sure, but it isn’t over here. Lots of spiking and high fiving over an event that’s still 4 days away. Weve never seen forecasts change at that lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 Nice day, nice dew. 50.6 at 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 23 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Less done than you, to be sure. Canadian is a nice little event here. I wouldn’t predict that at this point, but still 84 hours out... wouldn’t take much to have a glancing blow for BOS-PVD SE Don't do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah... low probability for sure, but it isn’t over here. Lots of spiking and high fiving over an event that’s still 4 days away. Weve never seen forecasts change at that lead time. It could tick back a bit. Big event is gone but advisory scraps are still on the table...they’re just at the edges and about to fall off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It could tick back a bit. Big event is gone but advisory scraps are still on the table...they’re just at the edges and about to fall off. There is likely to be a broader area of light snow from the IVT if this doesn't come back....that trough is still going south of LI, so it wouldn't be that surprising to see a lot of C-2" totals. Not very exciting, but it's on the table....just so that people aren't expecting sunny skies and then say "I thought the snow was gonna miss us!!11!!!".... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 15 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: If you run a line about 30 miles south of Binghamton and Albany to near the MAss/NH border to the south shore of Maine, to about 30 miles north of NYC and 20 miles north of the LI sound you've had a bad winter, but at least a storm or two or three. I had 12 inches from the December 2-3 storm and a grand total of 8.5 inches since. Anywhere south of that line you just haven't had anything worth even mentioning. Yeah. I think since Dec 1st Bridgeport has had like 12 inches of rain and only 4 inches of snow. There is like a mass emergence of insects here this morning. Swarms everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There is likely to be a broader area of light snow from the IVT if this doesn't come back....that trough is still going south of LI, so it wouldn't be that surprising to see a lot of C-2" totals. Not very exciting, but it's on the table....just so that people aren't expecting sunny skies and then say "I thought the snow was gonna miss us!!11!!!".... This is something to really watch. Could catch people off guard but this is a pretty decent signal showing up. Could really be enhanced should any narrow zone of fronto either develop over eastern sections or traverse over eastern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 21 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: If you run a line about 30 miles south of Binghamton and Albany to near the MAss/NH border to the south shore of Maine, to about 30 miles north of NYC and 20 miles north of the LI sound you've had a bad winter, but at least a storm or two or three. I had 12 inches from the December 2-3 storm and a grand total of 8.5 inches since. Anywhere south of that line you just haven't had anything worth even mentioning. Yeah it was bad in Orh but they have experienced much worst. Closer to Boston-providence-nyc it was a disaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Does anyone know where I can get Luxembourg annual snowfall average? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 56 at 9:16 and sunny, enjoying my breakfast in short sleeves and shorts.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 Wow, almost summery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 37 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Less done than you, to be sure. Canadian is a nice little event here. I wouldn’t predict that at this point, but still 84 hours out... wouldn’t take much to have a glancing blow for BOS-PVD SE You’d be rain with light precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2020 Share Posted March 3, 2020 Even about 50 here already. Morch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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