bluewave Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 This is one of those early spring days when we can be drier than the Desert Southwest. PHOENIX FAIR 72 43 35 E7 LAS VEGAS PTSUNNY 67 28 23 E7 Newark Liberty FAIR 73 22 14 W16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 First COC day of the year. Take advantage of it and go out and enjoy the weather today, especially for the snow weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 47 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Brush fire season is certainly here now, multiple fires yesterday and again today, looks like a big one along the Hudson Line south of Beacon currently. Wow, looks like it's almost in the same spot as the Sugarloaf fire last fall. Ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 Talk about beautiful out! Just finished up a three-hour, 140 mile drive down the emptier roads in the Pine Barrens. Music playing, roof down, and a quick stop for ice cream, too. It reached 74 here. Just to put it into perspective, it was only 75 down by family in Marco Island, FL We might get a pretty sunset with these high clouds filtering in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 1 minute ago, CarLover014 said: Talk about beautiful out! Just finished up a three-hour, 140 mile drive down the emptier roads in the Pine Barrens. Music playing, roof down, and a quick stop for ice cream, too. It reached 74 here. Just to put it into perspective, it was only 75 down by family in Marco Island, FL We might get a pretty sunset with these high clouds filtering in those roads in the pine barrens are indeed empty-no civilization anywhere-kind of nice in a way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 23 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Wow, looks like it's almost in the same spot as the Sugarloaf fire last fall. Ugh... Jeez, this is bonkers (photo by Dave Rocco on facebook) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 Current temp is 71 here after a high of 76 for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 13 hours ago, purduewx80 said: One or two days of anomalous warmth does not prove the climate is changing (even though it is). Records today from 2016 will be hard to beat - EWR: 82. NYC: 77. LGA: 75. JFK: 67. I never said it did. Observing the last 40 years in the HV and the Northeast in general makes a good case for it though. You can throw in all of the thousands of examples in the rest of the world too during this time period. Yet there will always be people like JB that insist it's all in our heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 71 here in NYC 23 in Caribou LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 another system that brings a quick half inch of rain followed by gusty winds on friday. this is so boring 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Beautiful weather today! This is Morch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Temperatures soared to much above normal levels today. High temperatures included: Albany: 74°; Boston: 72°; Bridgeport: 62° (old record: 61°, 2017); Hartford: 74°; Islip: 63°; New York City: 71°; Newark: 73°; Philadelphia: 71°; and, Providence: 72° (old record: 70°, 2016). An extended period of generally above to much above normal temperatures is underway. The warmth should continue until at least the closing 7-10 days of March. During this time, any intrusions of cold air should be brief and limited in magnitude. Based on the historic data, no significant snowfalls (6" or more) are likely in the major Middle Atlantic cities (Baltimore, New York City, Newark, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC) through the remainder of the 2019-2020 snow season. There is a greater but still low probability for Boston to see such a snowstorm. As a result, New York City will likely finish winter 2019-2020 with less than 10" snow for the first time since winter 2011-2012 and for only the 10th time on record. Snowfall records go back to winter 1868-1869 (when 25.5" fell from January-March 1869). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around March 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through March. The SOI was -3.16 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +2.830. No significant stratospheric warming is likely through March 17, but the upper stratosphere above 5 mb will likely be warm. Wave 2 activity will likely be low. Overall, most of the stratosphere is forecast to remain cold on the EPS through mid-March. On March 8, the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.894 (RMM). The March 7-adjusted amplitude was 2.143. A sizable majority (>80%) of years during which the AO has been, on average, strongly positive during the first 15 days of February were followed by a warmer than normal March. The preliminary February 1-15 AO average was +2.758. Only 1989 (+3.336) and 1990 (+2.948) had higher AO averages during this period. Recent rapid warming in ENSO Region 1+2 has also typically preceded a warmer than normal March and spring in the Middle Atlantic region. A warmer than normal March and spring remain the base case. The ECMWF monthly and seasonal guidance initialized on March 1 shows a much warmer than normal March. It also shows a warmer to much warmer than normal spring. February 2020 saw the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly increase by more than 0.50°C. Such a development has typically occurred before a warmer than normal summer. In all such cases, a warmer than normal spring was followed by a warmer than normal summer. Therefore, a warmer than normal summer is currently more likely than not. Should Spring wind up warmer than normal, a warm or even hot summer will be very likely. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 85% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 I'm ready for thunderstorm season boys. Let's kick it off in style, fire up the SE ridge, pop a few 80-balls around the end of the month and get some squall lines in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 72° high here yesterday after starting out at 38°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 This spring/summer will be an inferno. We've also definitely crossed some climate threshold over the past few years with nearly every month challenging top 10 warmest records. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 48.5degs., or about 5 or 6 degrees AN. Month to date is +7.8[46.9]. Should be about +7.0[47.6] by the 18th. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS) 51.5degs.[45/58], about 8degs. AN. No snow. 52* here at 7am. 54* by 10am. 57* by 11am. 60* by 1pm. Basically stayed between 60*----62* all afternoon till at least now, 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Beautiful sunrise 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 14 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Jeez, this is bonkers (photo by Dave Rocco on facebook) One of the many shots from the Town of Fishkill PD Facebook page. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 This warm pattern looks familiar as the Southeast Ridge remains stuck in place. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 45 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: One of the many shots from the Town of Fishkill PD Facebook page. Wonder if that fire was caused by a “hotbox” (rail car issue along the train tracks) the top photo shows a long line of small fires along the train tracks in the fires early stages. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Gorgeous sunrise this morning. I think we'll get another 70* day today 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 43 minutes ago, CarLover014 said: Gorgeous sunrise this morning. I think we'll get another 70* day today Thank you CL014. When I feel the personal shadows growing deeper and longer a view of what is natural and beautiful brings me back into the light. As always ..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Really hoping this first line of showers breaks up before sliding over me. I left my roof home this morning so I could fit some gear in the hatch, where my roof normally would go. Not that it will be the end of the world if it rains a little (I have waterproof seat covers, towels covering the electronics) but I'd rather not drive in a swimming pool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 2 hours ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Wonder if that fire was caused by a “hotbox” (rail car issue along the train tracks) the top photo shows a long line of small fires along the train tracks in the fires early stages. I wondered that too but also read a social media post that it started with a downed power line but my first thought was also a railroad issue as a downed power line doesn't jive with all of those individual areas of smoke . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 2 hours ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Wonder if that fire was caused by a “hotbox” (rail car issue along the train tracks) the top photo shows a long line of small fires along the train tracks in the fires early stages. I've seen a couple of places that said it was a hot box problem. The pics from this morning are ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Up to 68 here. Rain's coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 It's been cloudy in Stamford nearly all morning. 56. Chilly with the breeze and clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 It's a great wind for sailing practice today. Just wished the water was warmer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Don't look now but it looks like we're getting our -AO and big time blocking just in time to ruin spring. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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