LibertyBell Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 8 hours ago, Allsnow said: Yeah. It’s really sending the trough down the west coast. Its great pattern for warmth on the east coast. I expect a few days in the 70’s before this month ends 70s would be a disappointment at this rate.... let's go for mid 80s and higher! like March 1990 and 1998. In 1998 we were in the upper 80s a week after we had 5" of snow lol. In 1990 we were in the upper 80s in the middle of March and then saw an inch of snow in early April lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 14 hours ago, matt9503 said: I think the April one was on the day of the Yankees’ home opener when Matsui homered in his Bronx debut. one of my favorite April snows.... we had 6" here on the south shore of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 9 hours ago, bluewave said: While March 2012 was the warmest on record for Newark, the monthly high temperature wasn’t that impressive. Newark only made it to 79 degrees. Even February 2018 had a warmer monthly maximum temperature of 80 degrees. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Mar Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2012 51.3 0 2 1945 50.6 0 3 2016 49.1 0 4 1946 48.8 0 5 1973 48.6 0 6 2010 48.2 0 7 2000 47.8 0 8 1977 46.7 0 9 1979 46.2 0 10 1995 45.5 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Mar Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 1945 89 0 2 1998 86 0 - 1990 86 0 3 1985 84 0 - 1977 84 0 4 1989 83 0 - 1986 83 0 5 2016 82 0 - 1938 82 0 6 2011 80 0 - 2007 80 0 - 1962 80 0 - 1946 80 0 7 2012 79 0 - 1968 79 0 - 1963 79 0 yes "average temps" are very deceptive and not really indicative of how extreme a month can get.... March 1990 and 1998 were a lot more memorable than March 2012 for us. Are the lower maxes indicative of a more humid and rainy climate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 9 hours ago, golfer07840 said: That rings a bell. But the Yankees home opener that sticks with me is April 1996 and you could barely see the field on TV. But back on topic, woke up this morning and was surprised to see the sun and it wasn't that cold out (37 according to my car here in NW NJ). Yes and you could clearly see the snow sticking to the players hats! They still play that game on Yankee classics. JFK had 4" with that storm. April 1982, 1996, 2003, and 2018 were all memorable for snowstorms near Yankee home openers.....we seem to get about one every decade lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 22 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: thats what I've been saying for awhile now. The lawns looked like straw that summer lol.... remember we had a heatwave in the middle of April that year with low humidity and the bluest skies I've ever seen- so wonderful! I think that was the year we went 5 weeks straight dry and warm. The forest was in great shape right up until about solstice time when it dried out. Then it got sketchy with brush fires. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 1 minute ago, gravitylover said: I think that was the year we went 5 weeks straight dry and warm. The forest was in great shape right up until about solstice time when it dried out. Then it got sketchy with brush fires. Yep I dont remember it as well as 1995....but we definitely had lots of watering restrictions in 2002.... 1999 was another year with a drought and watering restrictions until Floyd hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 38 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: see summer of 1995 for Chicago.... hundreds of people died, temps hit 106 on back to back days.... and remember all the wild fires here? 0 rainfall for August after hitting 103 in July with a 130 heat index at LGA in late July. The dew point numbers from Wisconsin during that heat wave were just disgusting. I would prefer to have a summer of 2009 rerun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 6, 2020 Share Posted March 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: The dew point numbers from Wisconsin during that heat wave were just disgusting. I would prefer to have a summer of 2009 rerun. summer of 2010 was definitely my favorite..... hot and low humidity but active severe weather season in the fall...... 2009 through 2016 might have been my favorite time period of weather excluding the winter of 2011-12 of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Moderate rain past couple hours with 0.42".... Temp 37 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 0.00” today, radar returns this afternoon displayed rain in every directions, unable to penetrate this part of Suffolk, with the humidity here randomly plummeting to around 50% for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Steady moderate snow falling. All non paved surfaces getting white. 34° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 A storm developing offshore will bring a cold rain to the region tonight. Interior areas and parts of eastern New England could experience snow with perhaps a light accumulation. The exceptions are portions of Cape Cod and Nantucket where a 2"-4" snowfall is likely. In the wake of the storm, tomorrow will be blustery. However, much warmer air will return starting Sunday. Afterward, there is strong support on the guidance for an extended period of warmer than normal conditions. Based on the historic data, no significant snowfalls (6" or more) are likely in the major Middle Atlantic cities (Baltimore, New York City, Newark, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC) through the remainder of the 2019-2020 snow season. There is a greater but still low probability for Boston to see such a snowstorm. As a result, New York City will likely finish winter 2019-2020 with less than 10" snow for the first time since winter 2011-2012 and for only the 10th time on record. Snowfall records go back to winter 1868-1869 (when 25.5" fell from January-March 1869). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around February 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.42°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through March. The SOI was -1.34 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.239. No significant stratospheric warming is likely through March 14, but the upper stratosphere above 5 mb will likely be warm. Wave 2 activity will likely be low. Overall, most of the stratosphere is forecast to remain cold on the EPS through the second week of March. On March 5, the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.791 (RMM). The March 4-adjusted amplitude was 1.796. A sizable majority (>80%) of years during which the AO has been, on average, strongly positive during the first 15 days of February were followed by a warmer than normal March. The preliminary February 1-15 AO average was +2.758. Only 1989 (+3.336) and 1990 (+2.948) had higher AO averages during this period. Recent rapid warming in ENSO Region 1+2 has also typically preceded a warmer than normal March and spring in the Middle Atlantic region. A warmer than normal March and spring remain the base case. The ECMWF monthly and seasonal guidance initialized on March 1 shows a much warmer than normal March. It also shows a warmer to much warmer than normal spring. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 83% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: Yep I dont remember it as well as 1995....but we definitely had lots of watering restrictions in 2002.... 1999 was another year with a drought and watering restrictions until Floyd hit. Floyd --- 14" of the most intense rain I've ever seen. I won't ever forget what I saw that day and we are still able to see some of the results of that day in the local forests. I have flurries now after a misty soggy day. The wind came up a few hours ago, the temp dropped and we're getting a reminder that it's still March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: summer of 2010 was definitely my favorite..... hot and low humidity but active severe weather season in the fall...... 2009 through 2016 might have been my favorite time period of weather excluding the winter of 2011-12 of course. Great winters in that stretch but some of those summers were absolutely awful. Although Dewsaster 2018 can compete with any of those. As for Floyd, that was the second weather event I remember from growing up after the 1998 Labor Day derecho. The small lake next to my elementary school tripled in size and merged with a nearby creek to force the only rain-induced early dismissal of my school career. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowFeen1 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Some spots in our region are seeing some snow showers tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Getting a light rain /snow mix here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Moderate snow earlier this evening in lower Manhattan..if you're up around the top half of WTC. Rain at street level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Tonight has some wintry appeal goin' on. I'd call it moderate flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Some sleet and snowflakes mixed in with the rain.... A little sleet coating on car tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Just missed a powerful costal to our East. Satellite looks amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Rain/snow mix in Huntington. More snow when the precip comes down heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Just missed a powerful costal to our East. Satellite looks amazing shocking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 21 minutes ago, Dan76 said: shocking That's why +AO, crazy progressive patterns are the worst. They cause warm cutters but also late developing/suppressed storms like this and the one that recently hit NC/VA and out to sea. When storms do form to our south the fast jet shoves them out to sea. Phasing happens too late or not at all. It all just comes together to shaft our area time after time. Needless to say some small tweaks could've caused a monster for our area. Instead we have some light rain and some kinda mangled snowflakes when you look at the streetlight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 5 hours ago, LibertyBell said: see summer of 1995 for Chicago.... hundreds of people died, temps hit 106 on back to back days.... and remember all the wild fires here? 0 rainfall for August after hitting 103 in July with a 130 heat index at LGA in late July. I remember those hot days summer of 95. My girlfriend at the time thought I was nuts for wearing a black t shirt on one of them. Big mistake lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 5 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Yes and you could clearly see the snow sticking to the players hats! They still play that game on Yankee classics. JFK had 4" with that storm. April 1982, 1996, 2003, and 2018 were all memorable for snowstorms near Yankee home openers.....we seem to get about one every decade lol. My favorite part of that day? Being at work, seeing the snow falling and it looking like January and having WFAN on the radio and Mike and the Mad Dog are just laughing while watching the game on tv and killing Steinbrenner for not canceling the game. I feel pretty confident that won't be an issue this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 Could have been a nice little snowstorm with a little luck as precip amounts turned out higher than what models showed at 12z... Up to 0.57" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Just missed a powerful costal to our East. Satellite looks amazing That is an absolute beast offshore. Tough that it missed, but there will be others. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 48.5degs., or about 7degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging (06Z, GFS)49degs.[42/56], or about 6 to 7 degrees AN. No snow showing. How boring can it get: 37* here at 6am. 41* by Noon. 47* by 3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 The last measurable snowfall of 2.1 inches in NYC was on January 18th. So NYC is currently a day ahead of 2002 for the earliest last measurable snowfall. First/Last Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Difference 2002 01-19 (2002) 3.0 12-05 (2002) 6.0 319 1878 02-01 (1878) 2.0 11-07 (1878) 0.1 278 1925 02-12 (1925) 1.3 10-30 (1925) 0.8 259 2012 02-12 (2012) 0.2 11-07 (2012) 4.3 268 1903 02-15 (1903) 0.3 12-02 (1903) 0.8 289 1986 02-15 (1986) 0.1 12-09 (1986) 0.6 296 1979 02-19 (1979) 12.7 12-19 (1979) 3.5 302 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted March 7, 2020 Share Posted March 7, 2020 15 hours ago, sussexcountyobs said: Steady moderate snow falling. All non paved surfaces getting white. 34° We got a trace of snow here in western morris/eastern Warren counties. With the sun and temps in mid 40s, I expect it to be gone by sunset. Bring on Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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