ILSNOW Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 ^Passes that man 2 hotdogs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Genuine question, can someone please explain why the Kuchera method outputs more snow on the Euro, but less on most other models (for this storm)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Lock in the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 6 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Genuine question, can someone please explain why the Kuchera method outputs more snow on the Euro, but less on most other models (for this storm)? Assuming that differences in qpf amounts aren't driving the differences in snow map output, it may be because of a colder max temp aloft which is the basis of the Kuchera formula. But to confuse things more, there is more than one way of calculating with the Kuchera method. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Congrats to Chicago for the 300th time in the past decade. You really deserve this one. Meanwhile it’s been a casual 12 years since our last 12” snow, but that’s a meaningless statistic. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Sure do^ CHI-DET will reel this one in 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: . Stevie's grandmother says hi! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Been some time since MKE and Chicago shared a good storm together. Let's toke up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, hlcater said: Congrats to Chicago for the 300th time in the past decade. You really deserve this one. Meanwhile it’s been a casual 12 years since our last 12” snow, but that’s a meaningless statistic. Climo does explain the discrepancy to some extent. Chicago has better big storm climo because of the frequent lake enhanced contribution in those instances. A storm that produces a general 8-10" inland may give 14" to Chicago, or when there is a general band of 12-18" then it may be over 20" in Chicago. Just how it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 5 minutes ago, wisconsinwx said: Stevie's grandmother says hi! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Climo does explain the discrepancy to some extent. Chicago has better big storm climo because of the frequent lake enhanced contribution in those instances. A storm that produces a general 8-10" inland may give 14" to Chicago, or when there is a general band of 12-18" then it may be over 20" in Chicago. Just how it is. Does seem pretty strange how Cedar Rapids seems to always fail at getting a footer considering they line up with Dubuque/Madison for cutters. Just must be terrible luck I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 That cutoff in Indiana. Oof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Madison seems to get their Big ones when I taint in far SE wisconsin. My Big storms I dont think Madison fares nearly as well most of the time. Madison seems to be a good location for deformation snow setting up and double dipping. Maybe that's harder to come by back by cedar rapids 12 yrs ago was in some of our prime years back this side of the lake. Its been tougher finding Big Dog/Warning opportunities for all of us up here since that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 EPS trended a little better for the Chicago area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 18 minutes ago, MIstorm97 said: EPS trended a little better for the Chicago area Euro had sorta that look a few times earlier and then went for a few drinks with GFS and NAM but it's sobering up. I didn't feel this was a good candidate for a substantial SE trend but now I think those up here and north shouldn't be surprised if the EPS slip away the other direction some, It doesn't take much in this storm to miss out on most of both waves. Lots of game to play yet in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 NAM should end up nice and safe south of the border. Getting a theme here. Sorry Cheese heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Gfs is going to have to leave my place soon and head back on the ferry and start over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 GFS still wants to bob around in LM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Gonna be sad when the euro does its usual shave off 10% of qpf each run routine starting at 12z. Still liking my call imby and somewhat discounting big dog amount 1'+ this far south, liking far nw burbs / s wisc to jackpot around 10. Hopefully the snowy solutions gain some consensus soon, hard to trust the euro lately EDIT: catching up on 6z guidance, NEST was hotness and GEFS appear to have taken a big step towards big hit based on freebies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 4 hours ago, Hoosier said: Climo does explain the discrepancy to some extent. Chicago has better big storm climo because of the frequent lake enhanced contribution in those instances. A storm that produces a general 8-10" inland may give 14" to Chicago, or when there is a general band of 12-18" then it may be over 20" in Chicago. Just how it is. best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 good morning...another day of model watching ftw....whatta hobby! words for the day per LOT:THE BASIC MESSAGE HOWEVER IS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS ESPECIALLY NORTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA MID-WEEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 That cutoff in Indiana. Oof. Story of the winter. Me you and Hoosier just missing the best snows. Last event we did better than others but that was like a 4 inch score 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Gonna be sad when the euro does its usual shave off 10% of qpf each run routine starting at 12z. Still liking my call imby and somewhat discounting big dog amount 1'+ this far south, liking far nw burbs / s wisc to jackpot around 10. Hopefully the snowy solutions gain some consensus soon, hard to trust the euro lately EDIT: catching up on 6z guidance, NEST was hotness and GEFS appear to have taken a big step towards big hit based on freebies. Tue night into Wed accum snow event. More than enough model run time to tame this thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Tue night into Wed accum snow event. More than enough model run time to tame this thing. still a little room on the hype train if you want on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 19 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: still a little room on the hype train if you want on Will board the train 12Z Tues. when WSWs are in place. We still have 36hrs to watch mesoscale models contradict globals and for people who thought they were out of it to gain temporary hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 6z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 6z GFS must have come down from its high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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