UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 23 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Exactly. 6-10" snowfalls dramatically increased the past decade over the area, but the 12"+ ones remain on the elusive side. Last 1 at DTW was 16.7" on Feb 1/2, 2015 Yeah Big Dog potentials out this way go to rest in SE, MI buried under 6-10" Just the way it works and the pattern we've been in for awhile. Hence your uptick in Big Dog 6-10" events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 hrrr has the look of a 1-3 max band event, just pure winter 2020 stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: hrrr has the look of a 1-3 max band event, just pure winter 2020 stuff Toss worthy again due to the warm 2m bias. Too warm during the day tomorrow means it will be too slow to cool temps to near/below freezing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 IWX saying WSW will probably be needed but no watch Edit: lol they just issued one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 To my surprise GRR goes with a Winter Storm Watch... surely this will end up being a 2-4” incher (isolated 6” here and there) over the period of roughly 36 hours. Confidence = 60% of the time, it works every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 nam struggling to even get a flake to ord now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 I'm just hoping that this whole thing shows up tomorrow fifty miles north of what models predict because there's definitely not gonna be any northerly correction at this point lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: nam struggling to even get a flake to ord now SREF totals cut in half at GRR in the last 6 hours. This thing better hurry up and get here or the models might start showing 0" for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 I know nobody gives a damn about what my accuweather app says, but just in case somebody does, Aurora's up to 8-12 now. Maybe this is some crossover episode between two universes and in the other one this is a major blizzard. Dunno anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 What would be excellent is if we could still manage to get a BS SSW in mid march like I mentioned at the beginning of this thread to ensure maximum suffering.If that happens and kills the tornado season just like in 2018, 100% chance I lose all interest in weather. Been nice knowing y'all. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 1 minute ago, WestMichigan said: SREF totals cut in half at GRR in the last 6 hours. This thing better hurry up and get here or the models might start showing 0" for here. DAB line gonna make it south of I80 by tomorrow morning at this pace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 LOT just updated the WSW for Chicago to reflect the following wording Quote * WHAT...Heavy snowfall with totals in excess of 6 inches possible, mainly toward Interstate 80 and Lake Michigan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Castaway said: Woke up to weather channel showing 8-12” for Chicago and I’m like came here and starting looking around and I’m like game still on. No final call yet, but feeling confident 8”+ around here in Oak Brook. Coffee should be ready now Where in oak brook are you? I’m at York and 22nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Latest nam utter trash. Unbelievable how bad this has trended. Would barely be wwa worthy here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 I hope the 2:11pm winter storm watches sent out by the Chicago nws are auto generated because they r still calling for 6 plus inches and we r likely to not get 6 flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 1 minute ago, StormChaser4Life said: Latest nam utter trash. Unbelievable how bad this has trended. Would barely be wwa worthy here now A couple days ago you were rain.. Take it and run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, RyanDe680 said: Where in oak brook are you? I’m at York and 22nd Nice!! By 83 and 22nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 rain > miss south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Waiting to see what ILX afternoon AFD looks like. Here was this mornings Quote LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday) ISSUED AT 317 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2020 Heading into Tuesday, this is when things get a little questionable. A secondary Low pressure system will fall from the northern Plains into the Midwest. As this system falls on the backside of the current Low, cooler air will filter in with it. This cooler air will allow for rapid temp changes in which snowfall will develop. As the Low sinks into the mid-Mississippi River Valley, it will become a closed Low, allowing for deepening and then stall out over the region. This will allow for moisture inflow to the storm, from Lake Michigan, bringing the potential for a substantial snow storm. A Winter Storm Watch has been initiated this morning, for the far northern 3 counties, for the possibility of 6+ inches of snowfall. The main axis of snowfall is expected to develop to the north and east of our CWA, where upwards of 1 foot of snow is forecast in northeastern Illinois. Once this system slides out of the region, cooler temperatures will arrive during the second half of the week. This will bring a dry spell to the area as well. And then heading into the weekend, temps slowly warm, with dry conditions persisting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: I hope the 2:11pm winter storm watches sent out by the Chicago nws are auto generated because they r still calling for 6 plus inches and we r likely to not get 6 flakes I do not believe those type of products are computer generated. That is their up date...and it is 6" or more possible. The noon update stated their thoughts, and I'm guessing another will come shortly. I think you'll see wording in the actual zone forecast start to show a walk back to some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 18Z NAM is depressing even for the all snow areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Latest nam utter trash. Unbelievable how bad this has trended. Would barely be wwa worthy here now I can't complain about the trends, yet at the same time I can't put any faith into the amounts either. Kuchera on 18Z shows 4.2" yet snow depth never gets over 1.6" Figure it will be just enough for them to salt the roads and rust some more frames Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2020 Author Share Posted February 24, 2020 This is great.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 hlcater saying, feel the burn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: This is great. . Its remarkable. gotta love it though. This system has played the masses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2020 Author Share Posted February 24, 2020 rain > miss southCounterpoint...Less snow to melt here and points SW ahead of the next warm up.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 I'll be surprised if we see more than 4" and that is coming from the inside of all the current bullseyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: 18Z NAM is depressing even for the all snow areas There are 2 types of storm fails. 1) when the storm simply shifts out of someone's backyard and 2) when the storm totally falls apart and screws everyone. At least we are not all the way at #2 yet but would be nice to see beefier trends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 It's been so close to a monster at some point in 3 days from Iowa to MI. Just can't get it too hook up for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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