Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 16 minutes ago, Baum said: Am I missing that this looks like a solid 5"-10 " event with potential for greater totals through the heart of Chicago Metro, and a 200 mile wide swath of plowable snow from NE MO. through S and central lower Michigan? Perspective's are getting a bit skewed me thinks. 15" plus events are rare to say the least. Also, some fluctuations in intensity and path are part of the game. Yesterday after 12Z runs everyone had it in Madison, today Toledo. To me, models have now all converged on a high quality snow event with a 30-50 mile fluctuations both north and south. Dude same. I would be ecstatic for 12z euro run. Esp since days ago I was going to get nothing. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 12z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 It's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 12z EPS Ratter and a big weenie there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 18 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Hopefully the 12z suite overdid it a bit with the southeast trend, and things correct back nw with the 00z runs. Either way, I'm riding the 6" call till I go down in flames lol. NAM FTW! One more Euro run south and we'll be toasting the UK with the Crown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Chicago area looking pretty locked in on pretty much everything. Guessing LOT will issue watches today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Just now, UMB WX said: One more Euro run south and we'll be toasting the UK with the Crown Oh yeah. Holding to that 2.5" call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 We all were locked in at one point. Last Stop Motown City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Chicago area looking pretty locked in on pretty much everything. Guessing LOT will issue watches today I would wait to see the 0z runs before issuing any watches and warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Just now, ILSNOW said: I would wait to see the 0z runs before issuing any watches and warnings DVN jumped the gun with those and I’m curious to see when they cancel them. It was pretty bullish as far as warnings go too. Only one model shows good snow here now and it’s everyones favorite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 ALEK gonna bust low.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Took a quick look at the lake parameters. Nothing really seems to jump out but the airmass is cold enough for some enhancement and the lake is wide open, so I think totals near the western shore could certainly be at least 1-3" higher than farther inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Plumes mean with another nice bump...ORD mean up to 7.5” but still a lot of spread from clunkers to 12-15” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, hlcater said: DVN jumped the gun with those and I’m curious to see when they cancel them. It was pretty bullish as far as warnings go too. Only one model shows good snow here now and it’s everyones favorite. Well it looked like a good call till 12z guidance came out. Getting in that time frame where watches need to be issued 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 ^ this.. weenies get so pissy about when offices throw up a watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 13 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: I would wait to see the 0z runs before issuing any watches and warnings Honestly I wouldn't. Nearly every model looks good for their area. Even with the south shift 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 NAM looks to have got the memo. Next stop Cleveland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 18z NAM will definitely be south/weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 LOT issuing watches, it’s about time for everything to go wrong now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 At least it looks like it has room to save chicago. Only a state away from a phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 LOT watches exclude Cook and points south/east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 These new headlines issued by LOT/MKE have huge bust potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Yeah this Big Dog might perish if the bleeding don't stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Lol MKX going WSW for most of the CWA. Not sure I would have done that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 1 minute ago, madwx said: Lol MKX going WSW for most of the CWA. Not sure I would have done that I wouldn't have. Trends are big time going in reverse there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, mimillman said: LOT watches exclude Cook and points south/east Will be interesting to read their PM AFD....as that seems like an odd move given todays runs. Does not include Dupage or Cook...so clearly discounting any south east fade.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Just now, Stebo said: I wouldn't have. Trends are big time going in reverse there. the text for the watch is 7-12" for MSN. That's just taking the GFS straight and disregarding any other guidance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Lost the Tugboat back on NAM so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 It's not uncommon for watches to turn into advisories Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Just now, madwx said: the text for the watch is 7-12" for MSN. That's just taking the GFS straight and disregarding any other guidance Yeah I just don't see the GFS being right on this especially in light of all other guidance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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