michsnowfreak Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 12:15 AM, MIstorm97 said: Kuchera vs 10:1 still time to get to my DAB+ first call for DET Expand Looks good but that dam Southeast trend needs to stop lol. I honestly cannot believe what we have witnessed with these models the last few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Almost seems to be getting worse from southwest to northeast, along the main axis of snowfall. So not only is it shifting southeast, it's weakening from southwest to northeast. By this time tomorrow we might be looking at a 1-3"er from Indy to Cleveland lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterStorm294 Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 IIRC DTX was thinking 8-10:1 ratios, so the 10:1 map is probably much closer to reality. But still time for a NW adjustment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 12:22 AM, WinterStorm294 said: IIRC DTX was thinking 8-10:1 ratios, so the 10:1 map is probably much closer to reality. But still time for a NW adjustment. Expand lol, NW adjustment 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 25, 2020 Author Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 12:21 AM, cyclone77 said: Almost seems to be getting worse from southwest to northeast, along the main axis of snowfall. So not only is it shifting southeast, it's weakening from southwest to northeast. By this time tomorrow we might be looking at a 1-3"er from Indy to Cleveland lol. Expand Looks to be due to our main northern wave digging more southward into the Plains, and in turn phasing later with the 2nd wave diving SE into the Lakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 My first call is 4" for Toronto. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 12:21 AM, cyclone77 said: Almost seems to be getting worse from southwest to northeast, along the main axis of snowfall. So not only is it shifting southeast, it's weakening from southwest to northeast. By this time tomorrow we might be looking at a 1-3"er from Indy to Cleveland lol. Expand Banding potential still looks decent with this imo, so I think that is going to help bail out some areas and the mesoscale models may have a better handle in that regard. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 12:26 AM, Chicago Storm said: Looks to be due to our main northern wave digging more southward into the Plains, and in turn phasing later with the 2nd wave diving SE into the Lakes. Expand So many chances blown in this one. Maybe Buffalo will score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 12:28 AM, Ottawa Blizzard said: My first call is 4" for Toronto. Expand At least, at this point, it looks like we'll get something wintry. I'd say the range is 2-4" if we transition to rain/PL for an extended period to ~10" of cement if we can stay all snow and avoiding any major slotting issues. Reality will likely be somewhere in the middle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 18z Euro ensembles actually coming in a bit juicier for MI and Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Just wait tomorrow morning Buckeye will be in the bulls-eye at this rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Wow, either everyone's drinking their sorrows away, or they're wondering if the they will wake up from this nightmare, LOL. SE Michigan and NW Ohio will probably be joining you all tomorrow as we watch this thing fade away into CLE..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 1:57 AM, Frog Town said: Wow, either everyone's drinking their sorrows away, or they're wondering if the they will wake up from this nightmare, LOL. SE Michigan and NW Ohio will probably be joining you all tomorrow as we watch this thing fade away into CLE..... Expand Holding my breath at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 25, 2020 Author Share Posted February 25, 2020 NAM gonna tick SE and weaker again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 12:43 AM, snowstormcanuck said: At least, at this point, it looks like we'll get something wintry. I'd say the range is 2-4" if we transition to rain/PL for an extended period to ~10" of cement if we can stay all snow and avoiding any major slotting issues. Reality will likely be somewhere in the middle. Expand I'd say closer to 4" near the Lake and more north of 401. We're riding the thin line again but a majority of the precip comes in late Wed and that gives us ample time to cool the thermals. Going with 4-6" for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 25, 2020 Author Share Posted February 25, 2020 If the original northern wave can stop trending slower/south, the 2nd northern wave diving into the Lakes has been trending further south...Could give DET crew hope of goods still.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 1:53 AM, WestMichigan said: Just wait tomorrow morning Buckeye will be in the bulls-eye at this rate. Expand I hope so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 2:07 AM, Chicago Storm said: If the original northern wave can stop trending slower/south, the 2nd northern wave diving into the Lakes has been trending further south...Could give DET crew hope of goods still. . Expand Sucks to see Chicago get shafted again and again. Just brutal. Models have been awful this year even within 36-48 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 2:07 AM, Chicago Storm said: If the original northern wave can stop trending slower/south, the 2nd northern wave diving into the Lakes has been trending further south...Could give DET crew hope of goods still. . Expand Exactly.. Looked like it was trending slightly slower south before hr 30. hr 33 doesn't look too hot. or 36. Frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Wow and the trend continues. Unbelievable. I really thought the se trend would stop. Barely get 1-2in now. Like I said days ago when I was suppose to get rain....punt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 2:07 AM, Chicago Storm said: If the original northern wave can stop trending slower/south, the 2nd northern wave diving into the Lakes has been trending further south...Could give DET crew hope of goods still. . Expand Noticed this as well, which is why the snow swath is becoming more sw-ne oriented run to run. Just need to stop shifting the swath eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Will probably be congratulating Florida by tomorrow morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Tri-cities get shut out now on the NAM. Really need the original northern wave to stop its south trend. Sweating bullets here in DET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 2:25 AM, WeatherMonger said: Expand It feels like two tens counterfeited on the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 25, 2020 Author Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 2:07 AM, Chicago Storm said: If the original northern wave can stop trending slower/south, the 2nd northern wave diving into the Lakes has been trending further south...Could give DET crew hope of goods still. . Expand This trend is really putting Toronto crew in the game for goods too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 NAM verbatim = biggest storm of the winter for Toronto. We have more wiggle room with further SE shifts than with a NW bump, so it's fortunate that's the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 Out of the game here obviously, so it almost feels like I'm sitting in one of those lifeboats looking back at the Titanic as she slowly sinks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 00Z NAM with ~10" for Toronto. Let me enjoy this before we get robbed like Chicago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 25, 2020 Share Posted February 25, 2020 On 2/25/2020 at 2:31 AM, cyclone77 said: Out of the game here obviously, so it almost feels like I'm sitting in one of those lifeboats looking back at the Titanic as she slowly sinks. Expand I’d rather be in the titanic 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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