IllinoisWedges Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: This is great. . Prayers for you and the other ISC members dealing with Facebook comments, lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 This is just really bad lol even by this winters standards 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: 18Z NAM is depressing even for the all snow areas Looks good here..but who knows how much more it trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: This is great. . Models just sent us back to the Stone Age for forecasting 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, michsnowfreak said: Looks good here..but who knows how much more it trends me, 12 hours ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, Stebo said: I'll be surprised if we see more than 4" and that is coming from the inside of all the current bullseyes. I'm liking how we reeled this one in, but the trends are ridiculous lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 lol reeled in a goldfish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Not gonna have confidence till the flakes are done falling. In the bullseye right now, but that south trend may not be done EPS mean and control: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 9 minutes ago, IllinoisWedges said: Prayers for you and the other ISC members dealing with Facebook comments, lol Just blame everything on 5G. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Jackstraw and I were sitting on the bank, just watching the action when we actually hooked what we thought was a big one. So we judiciously used the reel's drag and slowly brought it alongside the boat. It was at that point we realized that the big dog we thought we hooked was actually a minnow. At this point, I'm ready to catch and release so maybe it will swim back northwest. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 updated LOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, Baum said: updated LOT. That is such wishful thinking. this winter is like the last hundred years before 2016 for Cub fans. There’s always next storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 1 minute ago, IWXwx said: Jackstraw and I were sitting on the bank, just watching the action when we actually hooked what we thought was a big one. So we judiciously used the reel's drag and slowly brought it alongside the boat. It was at that point we realized that the big dog we thought we hooked was actually a minnow. At this point, I'm ready to catch and release so maybe it will swim back northwest. Fat Lady sings at 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 10 minutes ago, MIstorm97 said: Not gonna have confidence till the flakes are done falling. In the bullseye right now, but that south trend may not be done EPS mean and control: Take it to the bank. At least it's still interesting for the far east sub and I'm really curious what SSC and the Toronto posters end up with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2020 Author Share Posted February 24, 2020 19 minutes ago, IllinoisWedges said: Prayers for you and the other ISC members dealing with Facebook comments, lol No doubt. Have already been hearing it about why we were so low compared to every other outlet. Going 4-7" max in the main axis was a good call. Obvi big shift south is needed and coming though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baum said: updated LOT. looks reasonable if there was any confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: No doubt. Have already been hearing it about why we were so low compared to every other outlet. Going 4-7" max in the main axis was a good call. Obvi big shift south is needed and coming though. Always try and support you guys in the comments as much as I can. You wouldn’t believe that people can get so worked up about a forecast map. Isc was the ONLY forecasting agency (from everything I looked at) that went conservative. And that wasn’t an easy choice with the euro and the NAM and even the GFS showing big snows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, UMB WX said: looks reasonable if there was any confidence. The amounts in the main band look ok. The placement obviously looks problematic. This storm had trended so bad that even the Dow Jones hates it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 ILX afternoon AFD Quote LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday) ISSUED AT 243 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020 A 120+kt jet currently along the British Columbia coast will plunge into the central U.S. trough reinforcing it tomorrow and allowing arctic area to move south into the Midwest. The wave associated with the jet should be strong dynamically and will be able to wring out and moisture that remains in place in the trough after the initial wave pulls out. There is a diverse range in solutions with respect to the position of the highest QPF axis, amounts, and thermal profiles from Tuesday through Wednesday. Run- to-run trends have been moving the QPF axis southeastward as the pattern evolves. However, with SREF trends showing a run-to-run surface warming there remains a question as to when accumulation will begin. This is certainly not your average set-up for a significant winter storm with little in the way of a surface reflection and only weak isentropic lift. Although, the most likely forecast would keep accumulations below warning level will retain watch and expand it southward this afternoon to cover the uncertainty and the potential for additional shifting south. Differences in tens of miles and two or three degrees will lead to very different solutions. Latest guidance suggests late afternoon northwest of the Illinois River and before midnight further southeast. As the system works east it is expected to tap additional moisture and increase snowfall rates. This combination leads to the unusual arch shape in the storm total snowfall forecast. Once the low moves out the cold air mass remains in place several days with abundant cloud cover until the axis of the trough can pull east of Illinois Thursday Night. Wind Chills may drop to near zero northwest of the Illinois River both Thursday and Friday mornings. A warm-up should begin over the weekend, with highs again reaching near 50 degrees by Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 12 minutes ago, UMB WX said: looks reasonable if there was any confidence. Looks generous for NW burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 58 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Latest nam utter trash. Unbelievable how bad this has trended. Would barely be wwa worthy here now You got your watch Quote URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lincoln IL 256 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020 ...Significant Snowfall Possible Tuesday Night and Wednesday... ILZ029-031-036>038-040-250500- /O.EXB.KILX.WS.A.0002.200226T0000Z-200226T1800Z/ Peoria-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler- Including the cities of Peoria, Eureka, Canton, Pekin, Bloomington, Normal, and Rushville 256 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches expected. There remains significant uncertainty with this system and small changes in position or temperature could produce higher amounts and significant impacts. * WHERE...Portions of central and west central Illinois. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow will likely begin as a mix late Thursday afternoon northwest of the Illinois River. Rain will transition to snow for Woodford, Tazewell, and McLean counties during the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2020 Author Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, Cary67 said: Looks generous for NW burbs. And that's an understatement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Detroit, get ready for your round of disappointment 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: And that's an understatement. I'm sure many if not all at LOT would like to paint that map a different way Are they Handcuffed from making bigger changes than they would like to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2020 Author Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, UMB WX said: I'm sure many if not all at LOT would like to paint that map a different way Are they Handcuffed from making bigger changes than they would like to? @RCNYILWX could go into it further if he wants, but yea kind of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 ILX latest graphic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Detroit, get ready for your round of disappointment I was born ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 March 3-4 on the euro looks golden for Toronto at this range. Who wants to start the thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, mimillman said: March 3-4 on the euro looks golden for Toronto at this range. Who wants to start the thread? too soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 I locked in 3-5" online with as minimal confidence as possible. Watch or not I have no confidence of these 6"+ amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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