Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2020 Author Share Posted February 24, 2020 Unless there are drastic changes, the Ukie definitely handled things the best overall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: . The call of riding the Ukie is not so much its performance. The UKMET is one of the tallest midgets. The score for the highest verification is whatever model shows the weakest lamest event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 The 12z 3km NAM still looks “ok” (it’s all relative) for NE IL, but the bleeding has to stop right now. If it doesn’t, it’s game over. Not the best thing to be hanging our hat on, but it’s all we got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 12z guidance is coming in really bad across the board, what a collapse job again, gotta just lol at this point EDIT: getting worse, this could be legit DAB here at this rate, yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 WI posters really got boned with this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, King James said: WI posters really got boned with this one Dude yeah. Like, it's one thing that it's trending south of Chicago and all, but the fact that the heavy snow was once modeled in Wisconsin is mind blowing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, King James said: WI posters really got boned with this one you assuming the south/weak trend is just gonna stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, King James said: WI posters really got boned with this one Eh we've been pretty lucky overall this winter with a few overperformers and deep snowcover for about the past month. Also my mind is switching to spring mode so by the end of this month I'm rooting for warmer weather and thunderstorms vs cold and snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 you assuming the south/weak trend is just gonna stop? I was never teased with any watches. I’m so far south that this is trending A+ for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 GFS going to be weak and southeast continuing its trademark seasonal move of being totally wrong for many runs before baby stepping towards the right solution inside 24 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 It is absurd how each and every storm this season has trended to complete southern garbage within 24 hours all season. You would think the models would handle at least one correctly. Oh well, on to the next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: It is absurd how each and every storm this season has trended to complete southern garbage within 24 hours all season. You would think the models would handle at least one correctly. Oh well, on to the next. If the next one is this winter I will ride the lamest, weakest, most SE sheared model run there is. Ukie doesn't always show that it just did this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Comparing that 12z GFS yesterday to the 12z today is hilarious. Liking the trends here in Southeast Michigan. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 GFS finally fully capitulated, down to less than an inch here on all models. Was looking back and at the 12z run two days ago the GFS had a 15" jackpot in green bay. Not the best winter for our hometown model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 It's not lost on me that the loss most are experiencing from this storm is my gain...and for that I'm sorry. Please accept my condolences. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 AccuWeather just released a notification about this storm "possibly being the largest of the season", with 6"-10" amounts. Bit late to the party I'm afraid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 DVN still going with 8" for here/QC. Looking more and more like a 0.5-1.5" type of event lol. For whatever reason the models seem to be over-amping/phasing everything in the 30-90hr range this season. It seems like the Euro is slowly reverting back to what it was showing beyond 90+hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 On 2/21/2020 at 3:00 PM, SchaumburgStormer said: I won't get sucked into watching another storm shit the bed... I won't get sucked into watching another storm shit the bed... Why couldn't I just follow my own advice? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 53 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: It is absurd how each and every storm this season has trended to complete southern garbage within 24 hours all season. You would think the models would handle at least one correctly. Oh well, on to the next. Yeah, next season please 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Icon and CMC trying to perform CPR on this event to save Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 This is truly the biggest disappointment. I don't remember the last time there was so much agreement and then it craps out at the last second. Way to go Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 Now we start the trend back up at 18z bahahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 A little nervous to make a call with all of the shifting, but not a lot of time left for large shifts. Getting missed north looks off the table. I'd go 7-9" here... yes, deliberately capping it just short of double digits although I do think the heaviest band has a good chance of producing 10+ wherever it sets up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Now we start the trend back up at 18z bahahaha I hope. I'd believe it when I see it but I'll just silently hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Why couldn't I just follow my own advice? Probably because you would think it couldn't possibly happen yet again right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 I am liking the trends of 6-10" from my house to @michsnowfreak home 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 12z UK is back south and weaker. The UK is caving to the UK. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2020 Share Posted February 24, 2020 1 hour ago, King James said: I was never teased with any watches. I’m so far south that this is trending A+ for me LOT fired out an update a little while ago but did not expand the watch any more than the overnight package. With the GFS now on board for a farther south solution, the expansion has to come with the afternoon package. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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