Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 1:58 PM, SchaumburgStormer said: 6z GFS must have come down from its high. Yea, nice bump south.We are surprisingly close to a consensus between Euro/NAM/ICON/GFS, with the UKMET being the furthest off.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 4 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 ^ The man, the myth, the legend...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 the nam is not gonna suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 2:01 PM, A-L-E-K said: Expand This is our moment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 NAM is going to be hawt for N IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 2:23 PM, SchaumburgStormer said: NAM is going to be hawt for N IL Expand Hours and hours of pound town. Going to have widespread 10-12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Geos must be back in town, I see that magnet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 NAM with only 6:1-10:1 ratios much of the event, due to the marginal surface temps most of the time.12:1 with that QPF would have been like ~25”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 yeah garbage temps have been the major flaw from day one, no avoiding it a legit 10 of 6:1 cement would be v solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Lakefront/Geos with a 16” loli. It’s time for the “event continues getting better until onset” storm, but given seasonal trends remain cautiously optimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Congrats to Chicago. Detroit not looking so great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 nest also bringing the goods, 10" imby with more to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crispus Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Ugh, looking like another 1-3" for Peoria. Even if it magically stretches to 4", I don't want it, because I'm tired of these little nickel-and-dime snows. If we can't get 8"+, I'd rather skip it and go straight to spring. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Man I'm right on the southern end of significant snows on nam and euro. I only need this to creep a bit south and will see my totals increase drastically. But I feel like a south trend is probably not in my favor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 2:45 PM, Crispus said: Ugh, looking like another 1-3" for Peoria. Even if it magically stretches to 4", I don't want it, because I'm tired of these little nickel-and-dime snows. If we can't get 8"+, I'd rather skip it and go straight to spring. Expand Dude you are preaching to the choir! Every storm this winter has been on the edge here. The cutoff in Peoria county is laughable from north to south. Praying we see that northern vort dig more but not hopeful. I'm like you, so sick of these little storms. Go big or go home 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 For reference for ORD... The last 10”+ snowstorm was Nov 20-21st 2015. (11.2”) The last 12”+ snowstorm was GHD2 in 2015, and the previous before that was GHD1 in 2011. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 2:43 PM, Moosey2323 said: Congrats to Chicago. Detroit not looking so great. Expand If we could just get it to nudge more south we would be good. But can't say im confident in that happening. Getting 3 or more storms of 6"+ in one season for Detroit is unusual. Its only happened 15 times in the previous 139 years. How hilarious it would be if it happens in such a frustrating Winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Hope nobody gets their hearts broken with this storm. We’re all prepared for something to go sideways with this 24 hours before the event happens. Not saying it will...but this winter has taught us to be prepared. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 2:48 PM, StormChaser4Life said: Dude you are preaching to the choir! Every storm this winter has been on the edge here. The cutoff in Peoria county is laughable from north to south. Praying we see that northern vort dig more but not hopeful. I'm like you, so sick of these little storms. Go big or go home Expand the nickel and dime winter..yet we are above average on snowfall to date on another note..I noticed the official snowfall observation location is now in a different spot for decades it was '2 miles SW' near the airport... last snow it was "8 miles NE" and when i typed in the coordinates it was Peoria Heights clock tower park 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 3:27 PM, janetjanet998 said: the nickel and dime winter..yet we are above average on snowfall to date on another note..I noticed the official snowfall observation location is now in a different spot for decades it was '2 miles SW' near the airport... last snow it was "8 miles NE" and when i typed in the coordinates it was Peoria Heights clock tower park Expand Well that explains a lot. The higher totals this winter have been along and north of I74. Would be nice to have one decent storm with warning criteria snow. We're so close on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 The GFS has shifted east. It appears this system may not phase in time to hit Iowa, outside of the far east/southeast. The darn lead wave is 3-6 hours too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 The truth lies between the GFS and the Euro. I still like this as a Madison special and points slightly south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 3:56 PM, hawkeye_wx said: The GFS has shifted east. It appears this system may not phase in time to hit Iowa, outside of the far east/southeast. The darn lead wave is 3-6 hours too fast. Expand It's the GFS though. I would put absolutely no faith in it. It's been performing terribly and is very inconsistent run to run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 On 2/23/2020 at 4:03 PM, mimillman said: The truth lies between the GFS and the Euro. I still like this as a Madison special and points slightly south Expand Yup. really thought by 12z the GFS would have smoothed things out but its still trying to back the ship in to LM. Once it loses that you smooth things out more like other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 I dunno. Lots of optimism. During this season, that hasn’t ended so well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 The Canadian just totally caved southeast. It had been consistently clobbering Iowa. Now Iowa gets nothing. F this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luftfeuchtigkeit Posted February 23, 2020 Share Posted February 23, 2020 Yeah, on the GEM Madison just went from 10 inches to 10 flakes in one model run lol. Oh well, we've had our share this winter, so I can't complain either way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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