StantonParkHoya Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I have talked to different folks in the triad, New Bern and Greenville and they are all below expectations. It's too early for a post mortem but I think this storm deserves some studying They already have 2 inches on the ground in Washington, NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Just now, wxdawg10 said: what are you talking about? This storm is performing like it was predicted to. 2-4 inches around the triangle, 3-6 inches points northeast. No one predicted a foot of snow anywhere in NC or VA. you can't hug models when they're spewing clown maps and choose to ignore experienced mets who predict reasonable totals. Thats on you. Who has 4 inches in the triangle? I havent seen any reports more than 2. I will wait to see complete snow maps once the storm is finished. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: what are you talking about? This storm is performing like it was predicted to. 2-4 inches around the triangle, 3-6 inches points northeast. No one predicted a foot of snow anywhere in NC or VA. you can't hug models when they're spewing clown maps and choose to ignore experienced mets who predict reasonable totals. Thats on you. 1-3" sounds more accurate for the Triangle. Actually 1-2" with a few isolated 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 9 minutes ago, Snownado said: 1-3" sounds more accurate for the Triangle. Actually 1-2" with a few isolated 3". Yeah, 1-2" seems accurate for the Triangle. Not sure I've actually seen any 3" reports. I just went for a walk and there's less than an inch in all of my neighborhood near North Hills. It's already melting, too. Flurries falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Just now, NCsandhills said: Yeah, 1-2" seems accurate for the Triangle. Not sure I've actually seen any 3" reports. I just went for a walk and there's less than an inch in all of my neighborhood near North Hills. It's already melting, too. Flurries falling now. Probably won't be many areas with an inch left on the ground by daylight tomorrow with the melting going on before the colder air arrives later tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 41 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It appears this storm will bust low for just about everyone. Places modeled to get 3 to 6 inches in eastern NC are getting half of that at best. Places like Norfolk and VA Beach barely have anything due to Easterly winds off of the ocean. Areas just east of the Blue Ridge got a dusting to an inch and even Asheville and Hendersonville had an inch or less when almost all modeling had them at 2 to 4 inches. I'm curious as to precip amounts for these areas when all is said and done. Obviously lack of heavy precip hurt many NC areas but toasty boundary level temperatures were equally troublesome. The storm also seemed to be a bit weaker and further south than progged. Too early but you are more right than wrong. Let's see how it plays out but it has been a bust from Edenton through Elizabeth City and up into Hampton Roads. This was a bull's-eye on many models. I suspect someone southeast of Greenville will end up getting four or five inches but that may be max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Als23 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Hey, congrats to all that got some! To those that didn't, you never know. Still time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 If you compare the ground truth to the official NWS forecasts, the Triad and Triangle got basically what they were supposed to get, though. Actually, the Triad overperformed a bit, if anything. It just didn’t meet some of our weenie expectations. I was expecting 2-4” IMBY and that’s basically what we got (albeit on the lower end). I thought Raleigh would do a little better, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 It's only a novelty at this point, but many of the models are continuing to show an area of light snow developing in Virginia and dropping into the northern Piedmont of NC before 7am. Accumulations look to be light, an inch or less on most of the models, but it's an interesting feature never the less. I have noticed the radar is just now starting to show returns blossoming between Roanoke and Lynchburg so this may be the beginning stages of what the models are showing. I'm not sure if I'm going to be able to stay awake long enough to see how this plays out though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 1.4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 10 hours ago, wncsnow said: It appears this storm will bust low for just about everyone. Places modeled to get 3 to 6 inches in eastern NC are getting half of that at best. Places like Norfolk and VA Beach barely have anything due to Easterly winds off of the ocean. Areas just east of the Blue Ridge got a dusting to an inch and even Asheville and Hendersonville had an inch or less when almost all modeling had them at 2 to 4 inches. I'm curious as to precip amounts for these areas when all is said and done. Obviously lack of heavy precip hurt many NC areas but toasty boundary level temperatures were equally troublesome. The storm also seemed to be a bit weaker and further south than progged. I disagree. Seems to have played out almost exactly as forecast. Lotta 2-3 in reports in the Triangle and 2in reports in Triad. Looks like snow fell all the way into far SE parts of the state. My farm in Louisburg has over 3in on the ground this morning after melting so I bet they had close to 4 in. Looks like a large area of 3-4 in reports East of here, which was right in line with 2-4 in forecast. I saw some 5 in reports sprinkled in. Only thing that didn't happen was a heavy band with 6-8 in lollipops, which I fully expected somewhere east of here, but overall it was well-forecast. Places that didn't do as well as forecast look like SE VA and extreme NE NC. CLT was never forecast to get much and same story with the upstate. I can tell you this, if the BL was a couple degrees cooler, this would have been a widespread 4-6 in storm for much of NC. We hit 2.5" and stayed there for 4 hours of steady snow once the heaviest rates moved out. It was just compensating for melting. We finished with around 2.75" depending on where you measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Overall this was just your run of the mill NC snow that you see pretty much every winter. Nothing notable or memorable about this storm. However, I will increase the grade for this winter from an F to a D-. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Overall this was just your run of the mill NC snow that you see pretty much every winter. Nothing notable or memorable about this storm. However, I will increase the grade for this winter from an F to a D-. Agreed. Just feels good to see snow on the ground. Been Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 For the sake of that guy who drove 800 miles from Tuscaloosa to Elizabeth City, I hope they got clobbered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 8 hours ago, superjames1992 said: If you compare the ground truth to the official NWS forecasts, the Triad and Triangle got basically what they were supposed to get, though. Actually, the Triad overperformed a bit, if anything. It just didn’t meet some of our weenie expectations. I was expecting 2-4” IMBY and that’s basically what we got (albeit on the lower end). I thought Raleigh would do a little better, though. This system did what I expected here in the Triad. Wasn’t a blockbuster by any stretch, but it is what it is considering. I ended up with 2” mostly because the temps were good up this way. We didn’t have the QPF we needed, but everything that fell was snow from start to finish. No rain or mixing at all. The NW Piedmont did overachieve slightly compared to expectations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Getting a widespread wintry event in this pattern is pretty fantastic. I loved it. A small gift from above before a brutal summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 42 minutes ago, Snownado said: For the sake of that guy who drove 800 miles from Tuscaloosa to Elizabeth City, I hope they got clobbered. I saw a 2 and 3 inch report from there....yikes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 1 hour ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: I saw a 2 and 3 inch report from there....yikes. What an idiot. He could have drove a similar distance to Minneapolis or buffalo lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 1 minute ago, broken024 said: What an idiot. He could have drove a similar distance to Minneapolis or buffalo lol Colorado was probably much closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternNC_wxm Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Cullowhee NC ending with a solid 0". Typical around here in our microclimate, snowed all day yesterday but just a little too warm for accum. Last good storm I remember here was something around 8"-10" two years ago!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 17 minutes ago, WesternNC_wxm said: Cullowhee NC ending with a solid 0". Typical around here in our microclimate, snowed all day yesterday but just a little too warm for accum. Last good storm I remember here was something around 8"-10" two years ago!! Dec storm from last winter had to of been a good one for you, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 As I expected, very few places had over 4 inches of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Fayetteville got hosed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 1 hour ago, burrel2 said: Fayetteville got hosed. And on top of that, they have to live in Fayetteville 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: And on top of that, they have to live in Fayetteville Im new to NC. Is Fayetteville generally considered to be one of the less desirable places to live in NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smdriver Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Im new to NC. Is Fayetteville generally considered to be one of the less desirable places to live in NC? They don't call it "Fayettenam" for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Im new to NC. Is Fayetteville generally considered to be one of the less desirable places to live in NC? Really the whole 74 corridor from Wadesboro to Lumberton up to Fayetteville is probably lowest on the list of NC places to live due to high poverty levels, crime rates, and overall lack of things to do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Just now, wncsnow said: Really the whole 74 corridor from Wadesboro to Lumberton up to Fayetteville is probably lowest on the list of NC places to live due to high poverty levels, crime rates, and overall lack of things to do Sounds very depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 A solid 1/2" or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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