lilj4425 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I'm not sure where you're going to manufacture crashing surface temps down there but good luck! Pays to be optimistic I sacrificed my goldfish to the weather gods. 2 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 1 minute ago, goldman75 said: It’s been 779 days since the last flake fell in myrtle beach. HRRR looks like I’m gonna be up with the kids hoping to see some flakes falling around 5am. Would be their first time seeing snow that they are old enough to remember, even if it doesn’t stick Cheering for you! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I'm not sure where you're going to manufacture crashing surface temps down there but good luck! Pays to be optimistic It's dependent on rates. If we get 2 inch per hour rates it'll crash temps. Same for your location. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcblimp95 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 10 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Can someone post the 17z HRRR map Still with three hours left on it to run, but very similar to the past 4-5 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mx3gsr92 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 17z HRRR increased snow amounts for SEVA/NENC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Starting to have concerns about dry air for RDU 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWakeCo Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, CaryWx said: Lowering over Wake though looks like 17z increased totals in Wake from 16z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, CaryWx said: Lowering over Wake though looks like No, shows about a half inch more. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Increasing for my area. That's good but I need the temps to drop. They were steady at 44 for about 1 1/2 hours. Just recently dropped back down to 43 after rising to 44 at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwick20 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Sure hope you're right Burrel2 but I still just don't see it. I'm pulling for you to be right and me wrong. I don't know that the temps aloft are quite cold enough to do the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 6 minutes ago, eyewall said: Starting to have concerns about dry air for RDU No precip here so far, but obs thread has reports of flurries/sleet in Garner near Clayton... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, NCsandhills said: No precip here so far, but obs thread has reports of flurries/sleet in Garner near Clayton... Yeah we will see if it can eek its way in soon. I know there have been epic virga busts in Raleigh before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: No, shows about a half inch more. Thanks I realized I misread #%% mobile phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 The radar will fill in. You also have to remember that snow returns are always lighter.. I switch my radarscope to precipitation depiction mode usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 I don't think the surface is going to cooperate in time before the good moisture is gone IMBY. Shame, these snow rates are incredible but it's pure white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Getting rain to fall here near ODU's campus in Norfolk! Let the column saturation begin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 RAH is talking about a cut back: Very few if any changes this morning. Looks like a later start to the snow across the north as the precipitation has not quite filled in across the north this morning. The longer these areas remain precipitation free, the more temperatures will be allowed to rise and the lower chances for significant snowfall amounts. Generally, expect snow accumulation to largely hold off until after 4 PM this afternoon, with increasing chances for snow through the evening and early overnight. However, there is still a good bit of uncertainty with respect to amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 As I post that a mix of IP/SN is falling by hillsborough and the beltline 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 1 minute ago, eyewall said: RAH is talking about a cut back: Very few if any changes this morning. Looks like a later start to the snow across the north as the precipitation has not quite filled in across the north this morning. The longer these areas remain precipitation free, the more temperatures will be allowed to rise and the lower chances for significant snowfall amounts. Generally, expect snow accumulation to largely hold off until after 4 PM this afternoon, with increasing chances for snow through the evening and early overnight. However, there is still a good bit of uncertainty with respect to amounts. They posted that around 11AM. No big deal. We ALWAYS have to overcome dry air around here before the snow gets going. That's because our cold source is usually arctic (or near arctic) air that is very dry to start with. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Thinking 3 to 5 is still a good bet for raleigh. Don't see much yet that would alter the forecast. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moultrie Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Heavy wet flakes Greenville at patewood hospital. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: Thinking 3 to 5 is still a good bet for raleigh. Don't see much yet that wold alter the forecast. The Weather Channel just said very unlikely to get more than 1" in Raleigh. They said a dusting to 1". 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Thinking 3 to 5 is still a good bet for raleigh. Don't see much yet that wold alter the forecast. Starting off with frozen precip is a solid beginning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 I think RDU is wrong on the later start. IMO the later the better, as it gives more time for the dry air to filter in. There will be some pretty epic temperature drops over central/eastern NC as the column moistens later this afternoon. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Snowing in north Greensboro nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snownado said: The Weather Channel just said very unlikely to get more than 1" in Raleigh. They said a dusting to 1". Seriously... The weather channel? 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: I think RDU is wrong on the later start. IMO the later the better, as it gives more time for the dry air to filter in. There will be some pretty epic temperature drops over central/eastern NC as the column moistens later this afternoon. It went from 43 to 38 in a heavy sleet shower on my lunch break, once the consistent heavier precip fires up the surface will crash, that combined with a setting sun will put most of us under the mod to heavy snow at or below 32 IMO.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, HKY_WX said: Seriously... The weather channel? Are they not a reliable source? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mx3gsr92 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Are they not a reliable source? No. Fake news. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Are they not a reliable source? They are the most reliable source there is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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