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One More Shot: Feb 20-21 Event


Tar Heel Snow
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1 minute ago, goldman75 said:

It’s been 779 days since the last flake fell in myrtle beach.  HRRR looks like I’m gonna be up with the kids hoping to see some flakes falling around 5am.  Would be their first time seeing snow that they are old enough to remember, even if it doesn’t stick 

Cheering for you! 

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Just now, NCsandhills said:

No precip here so far, but obs thread has reports of flurries/sleet in Garner near Clayton...

Yeah we will see if it can eek its way in soon. I know there have been epic virga busts in Raleigh before.

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RAH is talking about a cut back:

Very few if any changes this morning. Looks like a later
start to the snow across the north as the precipitation has not
quite filled in across the north this morning. The longer these
areas remain precipitation free, the more temperatures will be
allowed to rise and the lower chances for significant snowfall
amounts. Generally, expect snow accumulation to largely hold off
until after 4 PM this afternoon, with increasing chances for snow
through the evening and early overnight. However, there is still a
good bit of uncertainty with respect to amounts.
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1 minute ago, eyewall said:

RAH is talking about a cut back:


Very few if any changes this morning. Looks like a later
start to the snow across the north as the precipitation has not
quite filled in across the north this morning. The longer these
areas remain precipitation free, the more temperatures will be
allowed to rise and the lower chances for significant snowfall
amounts. Generally, expect snow accumulation to largely hold off
until after 4 PM this afternoon, with increasing chances for snow
through the evening and early overnight. However, there is still a
good bit of uncertainty with respect to amounts.

They posted that around 11AM.  No big deal.  We ALWAYS have to overcome dry air around here before the snow gets going.  That's because our cold source is usually arctic (or near arctic) air that is very dry to start with.   

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1 minute ago, HKY_WX said:

I think RDU is wrong on the later start. IMO the later the better, as it gives more time for the dry air to filter in. There will be some pretty epic temperature drops over central/eastern NC as the column moistens later this afternoon.

It went from 43 to 38 in a heavy sleet shower on my lunch break, once the consistent heavier precip fires up the surface will crash, that combined with a setting sun will put most of us under the mod to heavy snow at or below 32 IMO....

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