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One More Shot: Feb 20-21 Event


Tar Heel Snow
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23 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Well the UKMET also stepped back on precip totals and snow totals for western areas.. I'm guessing the euro will be pretty dry too

sn10_acc.us_ma (2).png

I did drop out of meteorology my freshman year but I can just about promise you that’s not going to verify in the Morganton Hickory area

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2 hours ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

I don’t think I’m buying a Lee side minimum with this storm. I have never seen one to my memory with a SW to NE fetch of moisture. Doesn’t make sense. 

Have to agree....given how the system looks currently and the setup I have a hard time believing it's that extreme. 

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HRRR crushes i-85 and north in the upstate with over one half inch of liquid after the column reaches isothermal at 1pm. According to this model, we only waste about .05 inches of liquid before the change over. Here's the radar valid at 3pm today. You can see the R/S line

Screen Shot 2020-02-20 at 4.48.36 AM.png

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25 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

HRRR crushes i-85 and north in the upstate with over one half inch of liquid after the column reaches isothermal at 1pm. According to this model, we only waste about .05 inches of liquid before the change over. Here's the radar valid at 3pm today. You can see the R/S line

Screen Shot 2020-02-20 at 4.48.36 AM.png

Burrel2 are you really buying this? I believe the warm bubble that often effects eastern Oconee County and western Pickens County will rear its ugly head for this event. I am in Walhalla, about 8 miles from Oconee Nuclear Station and the soundings are razor thin at best. I exppect a sloppy mess at best and plain rain at worst. Looking at the soundings the slightest tick up in temps may allow us to have some sleet mixed but that may be it

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1 hour ago, burgertime said:

Have to agree....given how the system looks currently and the setup I have a hard time believing it's that extreme. 

Burger sighting!...... Glad you're still alive and well. I have to agree here. I am skeptical of the lee-side snow-hole with the trajectory of the precip that's coming in.

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