FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, PackGrad05 said: Seems like it is alone with that trend and overamping the system. Really doesn't change much other than how long areas take to transition. Everyone sees snow eventually due to the storm track. HRRR and the NAM both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said: Seems like it is alone with that trend and overamping the system. Really doesn't change much other than how long areas take to transition. Everyone sees snow eventually due to the storm track. Good point. May have not given it enough time to develop. Only out to 27 on Pivotal when I posted my earlier content. Hour 30 shows snow back further south now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Yeah the NAM has been showing a nice backside for a few runs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForsythWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Winter Storm Watch just issued for Greenville, NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 That is the 5th run in a row of the NAM with double digits for Durham on the Kuchera maps. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Somewhere between Greenville and Edenton, NC has around 17 inches on this NAM run. Absurdity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, ForsythWx said: Winter Storm Watch just issued for Greenville, NC Here in SEVa too. Saying 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, ForsythWx said: Winter Storm Watch just issued for Greenville, NC Forecast discussion doesn't mention a Watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just got a WWA, here in CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 28 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Me likey the 18z HRRR... keeps the warm nose at i-85 in SC for the duration of the storm. Assuming it's surface temps are off, it's all snow for the northern upstate... 2-4 inches assumig its cold enough to stick. Precip looks anemic for the piedmont of NC though. poor mackerel is 6 miles south of 85...I'm about 6 miles north of 85. Crazy how that interstate seems to always be a dividing line. Of course, there is that ole Duke Power Nuclear Plant bubble! Hoping we all are happy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 WWA advisory out of GSP: Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston- Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke- Eastern McDowell-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-York- Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain, Lincolnton, Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, Monroe, Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Forest City, Rutherfordton, Spindale, Tryon, Columbus, Mill Spring, Gaffney, Catawba, and Rock Hill 311 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, with spotty 3 inch accumulations near the I-40 corridor, and amounts around 1/2 inch southeast of I-85. * WHERE...Portions of the eastern Upstate of South Carolina as well as the foothills and Piedmont of western North Carolina. * WHEN...From 10 AM Thursday to midnight EST Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Roads will initially be warm and wet, but with slippery conditions developing as temperatures fall through the day. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread black ice is expected Thursday night into Friday morning as temperatures fall into the 20s. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, QC_Halo said: Just got a WWA, here in CLT. I think it's gonna be like it usually is there. The minimum in Ballantyne, maximum at Davidson. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 So this run was actually slightly colder in the upper levels and had better RH numbers in the DGZ. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForsythWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Forecast discussion doesn't mention a Watch? Yeah, not sure about that. But MHX has it on their homepage and also tweeted it out. ...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... .Rainfall will transition to a wintry mix, and then to all snow for much of eastern North Carolina Thursday evening through Friday morning as low pressure strengthens off the coast. Greatest snowfall accumulations are generally expected along and north of the Neuse River, where sub-freezing temps will arrive earlier in the night. The heaviest snow will fall through the overnight hours, with potential banding leading to locally higher amounts. Snow will gradually taper off from west to east early Friday morning as the low moves further off the coast. NCZ029-044>046-079>081-091-193-200815- /O.NEW.KMHX.WS.A.0001.200221T0000Z-200221T1200Z/ Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Greene-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde- Lenoir-Northern Craven- Including the cities of Williamston, Robersonville, Oak City, Jamesville, Greenville, Bethel, Farmville, Grifton, Grimesland, Plymouth, Roper, Creswell, Columbia, Gum Neck, Snow Hill, Hookerton, Walstonburg, Washington, Chocowinity, Belhaven, Bath, Aurora, Engelhard, Fairfield, Ponzer, Scranton, Swanquarter, Kinston, La Grange, Pink Hill, Vanceboro, Ernul, Dover, and Cove City 302 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of up to three inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of eastern North Carolina mainly along and north of the Neuse River. * WHEN...From Thursday evening through Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3K has basically the same map with a little less snow owing to less QPF(about .15 less). There is less snow down to Charlotte and in the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 There have been a few sleet reports north of Raleigh already today as an FYI. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said: poor mackerel is 6 miles south of 85...I'm about 6 miles north of 85. Crazy how that interstate seems to always be a dividing line. Of course, there is that ole Duke Power Nuclear Plant bubble! Hoping we all are happy! Yup...the duke power (glowing green) bubble usually gets us here in the western upstate alot of times. We usually do OK when cold air settles in a day or so before but, that damn warm air bubble... it pretty much parks itself right in this area in a set up like this one! Hopefully Burrell is onto something with the HRRR.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 15 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: That is the 5th run in a row of the NAM with double digits for Durham on the Kuchera maps. We’re playing with fire here, but verbatim we got destroyed on the Happy Hour NAM. I’m sweating sleet pellets, though. The Wake County gradient depicted was classic and painful for those down there, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, eyewall said: There have been a few sleet reports north of Raleigh already today as an FYI. My brother lives in Apex and says it is sleeting right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, eyewall said: There have been a few sleet reports north of Raleigh already today as an FYI. Have you seen actual pellets there? Surface temperatures are in the upper 40's wasn't sure if their ASOS was reporting accurate info. On a separate note 12Z Euro in good agreement for RDU with 1-3" possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, bargainmusic said: My brother lives in Apex and says it is sleeting right now. Sleet with temps near 50. Pretty interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Sleet with temps near 50. Pretty interesting Happened a few years ago in Georgia, I think it was 48 or 49 when it started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, bargainmusic said: My brother lives in Apex and says it is sleeting right now. I can confirm this. I am in Apex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, It's Always Sunny said: Have you seen actual pellets there? Surface temperatures are in the upper 40's wasn't sure if their ASOS was reporting accurate info. On a separate note 12Z Euro in good agreement for RDU with 1-3" possible. We had sleet just south of chapel hill 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Sleet with temps near 50. Pretty interesting I have seen sleet in the 40's plenty of times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 5 minutes ago, superjames1992 said: We’re playing with fire here, but verbatim we got destroyed on the Happy Hour NAM. I’m sweating sleet pellets, though. The Wake County gradient depicted was classic and painful for those down there, though. It looks like we at least held the line this run if not pushed it a few dozen miles south this run. Hope it continues! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted February 19, 2020 Author Share Posted February 19, 2020 12 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: 3K has basically the same map with a little less snow owing to less QPF(about .15 less). There is less snow down to Charlotte and in the foothills. Also gives south Orange County a little bit of a burst, suppose it depends on where the bands set up. I could use classes getting cancelled tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, eyewall said: I have seen sleet in the 40's plenty of times. Yeah i have too but not 50. I wonder what the warmest temp is that sleet has ever occurred ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mwp1023 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 I can confirm sleet mixing with rain in Morrisville. I am 2 miles south of RDU 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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