Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good forecast, but not perfect. I think @Ginx snewx mentioned that it may snow a bit further south than I had suggested. Nice call, bud. I would have been better served to extend the 1-3" to the pike, as opposed to near route 2. And the under 1" totals to the south shore, rather than Boston. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/02/thursday-213-verification.html You really are doing very well this year. Keep the Berks and NWCT in mind for the future. Different world latitudually 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You really are doing very well this year. Keep the Berks and NWCT in mind for the future. Different world latitudually Thanks. My best season was 2017-2018....this season is still pending. I need a another couple of good storms, or I can't grade this greater than a B- in good faith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 2.5", Weak sauce.1" more than me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks. My best season was 2017-2018....this season is still pending. I need a another couple of good storms, or I can't grade this greater than a B- in good faith. I think your individual storm forecasts have been better this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I think your individual storm forecasts have been better this season. They’ve been easy-ish forecasts. Glop to rain. Rinse and repeat. Not to detract..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: They’ve been easy-ish forecasts. Glop to rain. Rinse and repeat. Not to detract..... Except the one biggie...I did get that to within a couple of days from November 13, then nailed going all-in on a MECS when most were fence-riding. That was a tough one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 51 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 1" more than me Hopefully, The Tues-weds deal slips east some, We have not lucked out on anything this winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 This event blew chunks even up here. Forecast was for 4-6” and ended with 1.75”. Another close in model fail. Becoming almost routine now. Glad this winter is past the halfway point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 One of the bigger busts I can remember up here. About 1.75" total snow with a glaze of ice underneath at the mountain. 3/4ths to an inch at home maybe? We can usually rely on orographic lift to produce snow but in this case there was plenty of low level lift but no ice crystals to be found. The freezing rain was the craziest part. It was freezing drizzle and at times just legit straight freezing rain. In a column completely below freezing. Low level lift with no nuclei in for the super-cooled drops to freeze to. Fascinating event and I actually enjoyed it. From a met standpoint a bust is a good learning experience when it's an anomaly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Just cleared (or attempted to) the driveway that sucked!!! two storms in a row of beastly slush to move 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 52 minutes ago, powderfreak said: One of the bigger busts I can remember up here. About 1.75" total snow with a glaze of ice underneath at the mountain. 3/4ths to an inch at home maybe? We can usually rely on orographic lift to produce snow but in this case there was plenty of low level lift but no ice crystals to be found. The freezing rain was the craziest part. It was freezing drizzle and at times just legit straight freezing rain. In a column completely below freezing. Low level lift with no nuclei in for the super-cooled drops to freeze to. Fascinating event and I actually enjoyed it. From a met standpoint a bust is a good learning experience when it's an anomaly. Pete found the best snow at Magic today, pic by Radar man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 8 hours ago, Hazey said: This event blew chunks even up here. Forecast was for 4-6” and ended with 1.75”. Another close in model fail. Becoming almost routine now. Glad this winter is past the halfway point. Balancing act between the storm that was not supposed to and the one that was supposed to be appreciable but became the one that failed. We got more last night in the sea effect which is still occurring. Brett Anderson mentioned on Accuweather in his new long range outlook that the ground in SE Canada is very warm which might factor into the snow melting on impact scenario as why it seems that the system was a bust though officially in my area the snowfall that fell was exactly in the 5-10 cm range but we got far less that actually stuck. Halifax Airport officially got 11 cm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 hour ago, Ogmios said: Balancing act between the storm that was not supposed to and the one that was supposed to be appreciable but became the one that failed. We got more last night in the sea effect which is still occurring. Brett Anderson mentioned on Accuweather in his new long range outlook that the ground in SE Canada is very warm which might factor into the snow melting on impact scenario as why it seems that the system was a bust though officially in my area the snowfall that fell was exactly in the 5-10 cm range but we got far less that actually stuck. Halifax Airport officially got 11 cm. Tell Brett Andersen rates overcome warm ground, system was shat because of no lift in the DGZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Tell Brett Andersen rates overcome warm ground, system was shat because of no lift in the DGZThis. You can’t lipstick that pig. It never came together as advertised. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 3 hours ago, Ogmios said: Balancing act between the storm that was not supposed to and the one that was supposed to be appreciable but became the one that failed. We got more last night in the sea effect which is still occurring. Brett Anderson mentioned on Accuweather in his new long range outlook that the ground in SE Canada is very warm which might factor into the snow melting on impact scenario as why it seems that the system was a bust though officially in my area the snowfall that fell was exactly in the 5-10 cm range but we got far less that actually stuck. Halifax Airport officially got 11 cm. The 40 cm subsurface temperature across nova scotia is near freezing on average and only above freezing in far southwest areas. If you post "warm ground" arguments in southeast canada in late feb and march you should get your ****ing degree revoked. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 12 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: The 40 cm subsurface temperature across nova scotia is near freezing on average and only above freezing in far southwest areas. If you post "warm ground" arguments in southeast canada in late feb and march you should get your ****ing degree revoked. That guy is a complete moron for posting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Another dud in a dud winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 44 minutes ago, dryslot said: Another dud in a dud winter. What's extra frustrating in this case is that it seemed like a relatively straightforward setup for our area. We weren't waiting to see if 17 different elements would come together at just the right time. Looked like a very predictable 3-6" thump, and we barely pulled off a sloppy inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Is the ground ever warm in the maritimes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 minute ago, PWMan said: What's extra frustrating in this case is that it seemed like a relatively straightforward setup for our area. We weren't waiting to see if 17 different elements would come together at just the right time. Looked like a very predictable 3-6" thump, and we barely pulled off a sloppy inch. It was straightforward, Its just that when we needed it to maintain its track it slipped south and we ended up getting fringed, It was also forecast to be between 5-10mb stronger a few days back as well and it just ended up weak and shredded, I knew when i woke up and looked outside yesterday, Then checked the radar and it looked like sh it we were done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Is the ground ever warm in the maritimes? Even in summer, it’s winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 23 hours ago, klw said: only .7 here as of 8 am. Second round in late afternoon/evening brought us up to 1.5 inches or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: It was straightforward, Its just that when we needed it to maintain its track it slipped south and we ended up getting fringed, It was also forecast to be between 5-10mb stronger a few days back as well and it just ended up weak and shredded, I knew when i woke up and looked outside yesterday, Then checked the radar and it looked like sh it we were done. Greatest total I spotted in Maine was 3.5" at Union and Belmont - another midcoast town - was the only other site reporting 3". North of my place had many 1-2" reports, south 1.5-3, but my 0.4" on 0.04" reflects the Route 2 snowshield going back into effect. Glad it was for a puny storm rather than one with SECS potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 16 minutes ago, tamarack said: Greatest total I spotted in Maine was 3.5" at Union and Belmont - another midcoast town - was the only other site reporting 3". North of my place had many 1-2" reports, south 1.5-3, but my 0.4" on 0.04" reflects the Route 2 snowshield going back into effect. Glad it was for a puny storm rather than one with SECS potential. Maybe we get the weds one to work out, At least it looks to be ok for the Mtns and northern Maine where the rich have been getting richer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: Maybe we get the weds one to work out, At least it looks to be ok for the Mtns and northern Maine where the rich have been getting richer. IDK - GFS has already started losing QPF, instead of waiting to do it during the final 36 hours pre-storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Just now, tamarack said: IDK - GFS has already started losing QPF, instead of waiting to do it during the final 36 hours pre-storm. lol, Its also a furnace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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