rclab Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 55 minutes ago, dendrite said: We should make a panic room thread. If thing get really out of hand we can always see if WXWATCHER007, from the Mid Atlantic, will come north for a working vacation. As always .... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 57 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: You're definitely going to need to play with fire to win with this one. Higher QPF is south where there's more mix and rain, lower QPF to the north where it's all snow. You are assuming all 10:1 ratios even across the board. There are signs that some SSW to ENE type axis up in far NNE that takes 0.3-0.4” of QPF and piles up 6-7” while you are getting 8:1 ratios on 0.7-0.8” QPF. I’m not big on banking on ratios but the GFS has some decent UVVs in that H7-H5 mid-level magic zone where the DGZ is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Weather Underground has my hood getting 3-5” Sell You’ll meh your way to another 4 or 5 again. Congrats. Been a good winter there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Keep building the pack. I’ll be up there at months end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: You’ll meh your way to another 4 or 5 again. Congrats. Been a good winter there Nah. Not with this one. Very marginal airmass. The “good winter” has given me a pack that is around 2-4”. Pretty tenuous. Very close to my house towns are as brown and bare as in South Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: You’ll meh your way to another 4 or 5 again. Congrats. Been a good winter there lol there is such a dripping animosity as you head south in latitude towards those north of them...except for Ginxy, haven’t seen a salty post out of him and probably never will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol there is such a dripping animosity as you head south in latitude towards those north of them...except for Ginxy, haven’t seen a salty post out of him and probably never will. It’s not like it has been deep winter here. Manky thin cover. An occasional refresher but quickly looks ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: It’s not like it has been deep winter here. Manky thin cover. An occasional refresher but quickly looks ugly Only in the last few days have we gotten deep winter too. You had more snow than me for December. It’s like in 2011-12 folks thought it was deep winter up here because we got at least some snow, but it was still the 2nd worst in the last 20 years. When you have zero snow though, I guess even consistent ground cover and just flakes flying is deep winter. Relative to normal though neither of us can touch what the full ratter folks have amassed in positive snow departures since 2012. But in warm shitty winters we should have more serviceable winter weather. Anyway, time for the panic thread. Back to the upcoming storm discussion.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 No one really has had what i would call a deep winter, I base it on a deep pack and we have had none of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 28 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol there is such a dripping animosity as you head south in latitude towards those north of them...except for Ginxy, haven’t seen a salty post out of him and probably never will. Well he enjoys tracking snow for other areas more than he does for his BY. 99% of posters here care about only their local environs and find it interesting , yet somewhat upsetting when other areas receive it and they don’t , especially when it’s happened like that all winter. There’s only so much heartbreak one take. . Tip is a great example of this . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, White Rain said: Even for places that have had it relatively good, the retention has been awful. True. The past week seems like the first time we've held on to a pack >12" for a reasonable time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 18z euro weaker and a tic or two south, Trends on modeling today has been heading to a weaker system overall and not much change in the air mass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z euro weaker and a tic or two south, Trends on modeling today has been heading to a weaker system overall and not much change in the air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Max stripe right over the chickens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 1 hour ago, White Rain said: Even for places that have had it relatively good, the retention has been awful. Surprisingly I have had better retention than last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Ewwww Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 44 minutes ago, dryslot said: qpf Yeah the snow map is a QPF map...just move the decimal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah the snow map is a QPF map...just move the decimal 10:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: lol there is such a dripping animosity as you head south in latitude towards those north of them...except for Ginxy, haven’t seen a salty post out of him and probably never will. Not salty at all. I’ve seen that same post like half a dozen times this winter. Lots of “sell” followed by several inches of snow. Im not mad, that area looks fine for 2-4”, that’s my take anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 That NAM run blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Poof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Sucks for NNE...who cares here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, White Rain said: I guess I forgot how bad it was. I feel like spirits were running higher then. Its still doesn't change the fact its been awful though..... I haven't seen the board so miserable in my 14 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, White Rain said: I guess I forgot how bad it was. I feel like spirits were running higher then. It still doesn't change the fact its been awful though..... I just kept getting wiped out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 I guess we’ll see what the rest of the guidance looks like, but may have to watch nrn MA near NH and esp by hunchie late tomorrow night and early Thursday. Bit of a moisture blob heading in. Could be a decent thump. Not going to stay up, but curious what the globals and HREF look like later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2020 Author Share Posted February 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I guess we’ll see what the rest of the guidance looks like, but may have to watch nrn MA near NH and esp by hunchie late tomorrow night and early Thursday. Bit of a moisture blob heading in. Could be a decent thump. Not going to stay up, but curious what the globals and HREF look like later on. If we had another couple degrees of antecedent airmass this would be a lot more interesting for the pike region. The lack of high is the big thing though. This really isn’t that different aloft for antecedent airmasses than a system like 2/6/14. But that had a high in a good spot. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2014/us0205.php#picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shanemacdonald23 Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 6 cm very compact snow.. looks like another thump few hours. Another system Thursday perhaps 6 inches up here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Winter weather advisory. guess it's better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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