DanLarsen34 Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 Wanted to get a thread started on this. SPC has a 30% area outlined already in the day 4 forecast on Wednesday (February 12). A squall line looks likely based off the latest model runs, but the SPC also mentions the potential for supercells posing all severe hazards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FHSC Sam Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 Honestly, the latest GFS and NAM runs of this system look fairly mediocre IMO. I think we could still see some fairly robust convection, but likely will be a linear storm mode, like you initially said. Definitely will be interesting to see how this system plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Need ENH along north of I-20 from JAN to BMX, including MSU and UAH (latter or universities not airports). Temps/Dews are way ahead of progged. Meh soundings on models are worthless. Winds ARE turning with height. CAPE with lifting WF going into evening in Dixie. What could go wrong? A lot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vman722 Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 44 minutes ago, nrgjeff said: Need ENH along north of I-20 from JAN to BMX, including MSU and UAH (latter or universities not airports). Temps/Dews are way ahead of progged. Meh soundings on models are worthless. Winds ARE turning with height. CAPE with lifting WF going into evening in Dixie. What could go wrong? A lot! Certainly seems like a pretty impressive environment right now given the slight risk. Interested in how this develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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