Chicago Storm Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 On 2/9/2020 at 10:34 PM, Stebo said: As Joe noted the phasing of this system is what will make or break it. My concern is the northern stream being quicker and suppressing this into a sheared out mess. That said the Euro has been very consistent on timing and this isn't that far away either.That is my biggest concern as well, and is what most guidance shows, outside of the Euro...which is still not a perfect outcome.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 On 2/9/2020 at 10:51 PM, Chicago Storm said: That is my biggest concern as well, and is what most guidance shows, outside of the Euro...which is still not a perfect outcome. . Expand Typically I would say that this is DOA, but with that northern stream piece being so significant and large in size it leads me to take pause that it could be a bit slower than projected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 The ICON would be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 On 2/9/2020 at 11:40 PM, Hoosier said: The ICON would be ok. Expand Your in better position than most Chicago posters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/9/2020 at 11:48 PM, Cary67 said: Your in better position than most Chicago posters Expand Agree with that. There is some room for this system to come north but without a negatively tilted trough, not sure how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 Any credibility to the two days of sub-zero temps after this for LOT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/9/2020 at 6:36 PM, sbnwx85 said: 2019-2020: The winter of the Winter Weather Advisory. Expand I haven’t laughed that hard at a forum post in years. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 there is an 8"-12" storm lurking....even in the worst of winters............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 1:53 AM, Baum said: there is an 8"-12" storm lurking....even in the worst of winters............ Expand It'll be March 30th, and will fall from Carbondale IL to Athens OH. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 1:53 AM, Baum said: there is an 8"-12" storm lurking....even in the worst of winters............ Expand When’s the last winter that failed to produce at least one storm of at least 6 inches of snow for the majority of the Midwest? Has there ever been one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 1:53 AM, Baum said: there is an 8"-12" storm lurking....even in the worst of winters............ Expand Yep. It just happened over Central Wisconsin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 18z Euro was definitely not a positive trend for a big storm, the northern stream piece was even faster this run. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 2:21 AM, Stebo said: 18z Euro was definitely not a positive trend for a big storm, the northern stream piece was even faster this run. Expand The few times we've had a northern stream piece in play this season would suggest that is a believable issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 2:01 AM, Cary67 said: Yep. It just happened over Central Wisconsin. Expand There ya go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 Zzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 2:21 AM, Stebo said: 18z Euro was definitely not a positive trend for a big storm, the northern stream piece was even faster this run. Expand This is going SE. Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 2:44 AM, Cary67 said: This is going SE. Next Expand there is no next. I suggest you say a prayer . This is it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 3:08 AM, Baum said: there is no next. I suggest you say a prayer . This is it. Expand I know. +EPO see ya next year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 1:56 AM, cyclone77 said: It'll be March 30th, and will fall from Carbondale IL to Athens OH. Expand It was November 11th in southeast Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 1:58 AM, Sciascia said: When’s the last winter that failed to produce at least one storm of at least 6 inches of snow for the majority of the Midwest? Has there ever been one? Expand Kind of difficult to answer that, saying a "majority of the midwest". Most individual locations in the Midwest have had many winters locally without a 6"+ snowstorm, however I doubt that there has ever been a Winter where no one in the midwest got a 6"+ snowstorm, and this one has already had several. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 Looks really good for some more snow, but if those 2 streams could just phase... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 The Euro with a nice 35 degree rain for Cleveland how special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 This would probably be a wide zone of 4-6" when factoring in ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 6:50 AM, Hoosier said: This would probably be a wide zone of 4-6" when factoring in ratios. Expand Northern stream came in weaker and flatter, allowed for better phasing as the southern piece came northeast. That would be one way to overcome the northern stream issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 6:52 AM, Stebo said: Northern stream came in weaker and flatter, allowed for better phasing as the southern piece came northeast. That would be one way to overcome the northern stream issues. Expand Not ideal but I won’t complain about four ish inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 The NAM is certainly stepping in the right direction for this storm. Southern vort is more robust and compact, and the northern stream is a little slower and weaker. Instead of a sheared our mess, we get a strengthening low that tracks through the Ohio Valley. Closer to a phase, but not quite there yet. Vort over the Hudson Bay should limit how far north this goes. This run has a widespread 4-7” from N MO - CHI - DET. Also hangs a surface trough back in Michigan at the end of the run, continuing snowfall as the main low departs. Euro shows something similar. Don’t hate where I sit in SEMI for this one. Just hope the seasonal trends of SE and strung out don’t rear their ugly heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 Welp. Still hope this AM i see. I'm going to enjoy this final week of winter..personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 3:08 AM, Baum said: there is no next. I suggest you say a prayer . This is it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 Zzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 On 2/10/2020 at 12:26 PM, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzz Expand Starting to think you not being on board this one is good for the forum, given your recent track record :p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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