February 9-10 Winter Storm

[madwx]

All of the models are consistently showing a swath of 3-6"+ for the northern half of the subforum from early Sunday through Monday, with the higher totals to the west and lower totals to the east as the wave weakens.  The Euro is further N with the band of snow while the GFS, Canadian and UKMET are in the southern camp for now.  GEFS mean looks solid for N Iowa, S Minnesota and Wisconsin.

[A-L-E-K]

1.5 final call

[SchaumburgStormer]

40 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

1.5 final call

Yep, another dog turd duster. 

 

Nothing to see or get excited about here. 

[IWXwx]

Down here we will wave at the clipper as it passes by to our north. Final call

[Baum]

If winter trends hold it will fade south and end up another wet dog turd duster. Mad town will see a few flurries.

[Chicago Storm]

No point in discussing, unless you're in MN/WI/MI.

[UMB WX]

And nobody really cares here about snow north of the cheddar curtain or east of LM.

[hawkeye_wx]

There is some significant model spread.  The Euro is north and is the best for MSP.  The Canadian is south and is best for Iowa.  I even get heavy snow from the Canadian.  Other models are in between, but the trend is to drift it south a bit.  The latest UK now has the best snow from northern Iowa into southern Wisconsin.

[MIstorm97]

Can’t wait for another snow event that happens mostly overnight and ends as light drizzle 

[A-L-E-K]

36 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

No point in discussing, unless you're in MN/WI/MI.

i think we get a brief period of daytime WAA snows before the flip to drizzle, gonna be a top 10 event of the winter

[RCNYILWX]

i think we get a brief period of daytime WAA snows before the flip to drizzle, gonna be a top 10 event of the winter

Sometimes the WAA wing in these setups can produce a short period of nice rates.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

[A-L-E-K]

31 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Sometimes the WAA wing in these setups can produce a short period of nice rates.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

agree, euro playing ball now as well

[Chicago Storm]

First and final call 1.0"

[madwx]

12z Euro trending southward. Brings 3-5" snow totals to S Wisconsin

[Geoboy645]

This will be an interesting one to watch. Not expecting too much here as I am more to the east, but still could be a decent hit. 

[Cary67]

Could surpass todays event. 1.5" call

[wisconsinwx]

First calls -

MKE: 2-4"

MSP: 2-4"

ORD: 1-3"

DTW: 2-4"

Alek: DAB-DAB+

[Frog Town]

Not only did the Euro trend south with this one, but also for the big dog next week.  

[Malacka11]

2 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

Not only did the Euro trend south with this one, but also for the big dog next week.  

While the CMC and and GFS trended it clean out of existence

[Baum]

22 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

While the CMC and and GFS trended it clean out of existence

easy toss on those two. We are clearly in a pattern where storms should be on the models 5 days out. The fade does not occur until within 36 hrs. 

[SchaumburgStormer]

1 hour ago, Baum said:

easy toss on those two. We are clearly in a pattern where storms should be on the models 5 days out. The fade does not occur until within 36 hrs. 

This is so true it hurts. 

Locked in for 6" at 18 hours? Think again! Here comes .9"

[cyclone77]

Not really expecting much with this one for the DVN cwa.  This looks like a MN/WI special.

[Hoosier]

Not expecting a whole lot of accumulation this far south but this kind of setup does look good for a quick mini thump before thermal profiles become hostile.

[Snowstorms]

This clipper will ride the polar jet. Not much room for amplification but some localized areas might score some decent amounts. 

We'll get more clarity once the current storm moves out of the region. 

[sbnwx85]

First and last call: 35 and rain.

[ChiTownSnow]

8 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

First and final call 1.0"

Well that would be half of what we just got and spent 3 days tracking 

[OrdIowPitMsp]

My gut says euro is too far north and this is more of an I-90 special in MN. First call 2.9” imby 

[OrdIowPitMsp]

Going to have to break out the powder skis for the back bowl at Welch Village ski area Sunday morning. 40 miles south of msp should mean an additional couple inches 

[madwx]

GFS with a very solid hit for N IA through S WI. Even Rockford gets 3-4” on this run.  But it’s the GFS 72 hours out so who knows 

[Maneee]

10 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

First and final call 1.0"

The only problem with that call is that you have a full inch

There are elements to this one the scream spread the wealth. Warm air advection over a cold snow pack. That being the main one. However there’s not much wealth for spreading.