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February to Forget Volume 2 - 2020


TalcottWx
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16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That look next week is probably the tastiest we’ve seen since the new year. Hopefully NNE can cash in at least.

Did you see the holy shit eye-popper planetary wave event out there around the [ highly likely to happen ] 300 hour GFS ...  

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oh ...guess you did.. 

Goes without saying, it's more probable that there is a kind of physical marker our there around that time for an index/pattern change event, sans all details or even system type - the models will do that. A 'vulnerable' period gets filled in with 'computer imagination' when it's way out there in time.

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5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Some of our Archambault events have occurred in these change periods, Wouldn't it be fitting to for some to start out with a big event and go out with one and nothing in between this season and finish above normal................lol

Nice look at 12 Z for you Maniacs,pretty much as we described this morning.

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10 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Some of our Archambault events have occurred in these change periods, Wouldn't it be fitting to for some to start out with a big event and go out with one and nothing in between this season and finish above normal................lol

Actually ...the American teleconnectors don't really flag that ...  So, maybe a signal will emerge, who knows... but its a much easier assumption there will be a ridge with seasonal homage to spring on that day - heh

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Prob a little heavier 3/8/05 than 3/13/1888 on the GFS...but still pretty fun solution.

The week period following the 2/27 threat is probably our best shot....you still have the mean trough over the east and a chance for a few shortwaves to dive into it.

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