ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Persistence is the same as luck when discussing the weather. Both of them have nothing to do with it You just used the winter to date to justify your call. That means you are using persistence as a key part of your March forecast. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You just used the winter to date to justify your call. That means you are using persistence as a key part of your March forecast. I cited 4 things . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Was it just a lot of NW flow...I mean dew points and muggy days were well below average weenies are still angry about last July's scorcher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I cited 4 things . And two of them were “the winter” and “the vibe of the season”. Lol. That’s persistence. Anyways, I’m not gonna keep harping on the semantics here. In my view, March is a muddled signal at the moment...it could end up warm and snowless but I wouldn’t make that call right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Day 10 Euro went out of its way to make my point ... You can see the ambient velocities have slackened as the +AO height depths in the N elevate with the easing off of that particular index, which means ... the integrated gradient everywhere also reduces... The only problem is, the heights remain elevated in the S. No bueno on that look. Seems more and more like this winter is the first one where CC has more coherently f'ed up winter; and the vitriol soon to follow as to what caused this winter to behave the way it did, I can assure....CC will be the last reason entered - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Sometimes jumping onto this site is like reading Joyce....total stream of consciousness. So what if March (aka "Morch" to some of the pre-teens here) blows? Winter is climatologically nearly over. On the other hand, if we get cold and snowy, its a gift. There is something to be said for a blizzard followed by enough high sun to help melt the stuff on roads and walkways in something less than two weeks. Anyhow. Looks like our 4 months of mud season will end before mid May this year. Be thankful for the small things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Feb 16 at 11:02 AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Feb 16 at 11:02 AM? It hasn’t changed from that look. In fact I’d say today is pretty close. Not sure it happens but it’s modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Feb 16 at 11:02 AM? Does it matter...still on target. Stuff your floaties and swim goggles back in your drawer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: It hasn’t changed from that look. In fact I’d say today is pretty close. Not sure it happens but it’s modeled And we’re not calling for deep winter either. I think the modeled look moderates a bit but it should be enough to give SNE the best chance since the stone age, early Dec. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: And we’re not calling for deep winter either. I think the modeled look moderates a bit but it should be enough to give SNE the best chance since the stone age, early Dec. Love how early next week looks to have a pretty good track, but we have no cold air around so it end up a cold rain....lol, can't win this winter it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 27 minutes ago, weathafella said: It hasn’t changed from that look. In fact I’d say today is pretty close. Not sure it happens but it’s modeled Anyone on the snow train days are numbered . Possible ? Ok sure. Likely.. probably not 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Man was it warm today in the mid 40s, I even went for a walk in shorts. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Man was it warm today in the mid 40s, I even went for a walk in shorts. Dear Lord save us... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 That's a nice hit down in the Carolinas for Friday on the 18z NAM., LOL. SE Forum starting to perk up a bit. Would be fitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 10 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: That's a nice hit down in the Carolinas for Friday on the 18z NAM., LOL. SE Forum starting to perk up a bit. Would be fitting. I laughed at that one... Deep South gets a snowstorm but everything relaxes jussssstttttt in time for our next Rainer early next week. Winter 19-20 rolls on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: You just used the winter to date to justify your call. That means you are using persistence as a key part of your March forecast. He’s such a putz!! Just pathetic. You catch him in a lie/contradicting himself..and he lies again to try and get out of it. 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 we can watch a 1-2" flizzard shut down the state of NC, that's win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: He’s such a putz!! Just pathetic. You catch him in a lie/contradicting himself..and he lies again to try and get out of it. Walk on home boy 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 35 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: You catch him in a lie/contradicting himself..and he lies again to try and get out of it. C’mon Wolfie, are talking about weather here, not the President. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: We are talking about weather here, not the President. Let him alone . Will and I know https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1229514605870841860?s=21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let him alone . Will and I know https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1229514605870841860?s=21 It certainly doesn’t look cold, but it can still be serviceable as we enter bowling season in March. I totally get your pessimism from months of the same thing, but I still think from a law of averages standpoint, the longer it doesn’t snow the more likely something breaks favorably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It certainly doesn’t look cold, but it can still be serviceable as we enter bowling season in March. I totally get your pessimism from months of the same thing, but I still think from a law of averages standpoint, the longer it doesn’t snow the more likely something breaks favorably. Do canes work like that? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 19 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It certainly doesn’t look cold, but it can still be serviceable as we enter bowling season in March. I totally get your pessimism from months of the same thing, but I still think from a law of averages standpoint, the longer it doesn’t snow the more likely something breaks favorably. March starts cold. Good late season skiing up there and hopefully something breaks right down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Do canes work like that? I wonder what else works like that snowstorms, canes, maybe even getting lucky ...James should prolly anticipate a late nite random knock on the door any day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 When you have to hope for March to deliver to make things up....: Has it happened before...sure, but the odds aren't great. It's like being 20-games out of a playoff spot with 21-games left...it's over...it sucks but move on. "Hoping" isn't going to make things change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Do canes work like that? How many canes do you think you average every 100 years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 maybe this Icelandic low will be the pattern changer...heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: How many canes do you think you average every 100 years? Depends on what 100 years. 1900-2000 was probably 1-2 per decade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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