OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Was referring to days 11-15 inconsistencies I know. That's what I'm saying, there are more ways for 11-15 to suck on the warm side than there are to be good on the cold side. So yeah it may actually feel like warm verifies and cold does not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Didn’t break freezing here today, low teens, some warmth. But it sounds good. Yup, one normal day in a sea of warmth. 37 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Meanwhile 12z euro while a cutter trended east of 0z. So this to me is not a done deal yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: yeah, it looked fine actually. Probably a good snow event right off the beaches That’s snow to the coast where the MLs hold. This isn’t early December. Anyway, it probably doesn’t matter because it will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Meanwhile 12z euro while a cutter trended east of 0z. So this to me is not a done deal yet. Yeah.... I get that people are doing the defense mechanism thing... but that one definitely has a chance.... regardless of what the overall look is over the next few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 26 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I know. That's what I'm saying, there are more ways for 11-15 to suck on the warm side than there are to be good on the cold side. So yeah it may actually feel like warm verifies and cold does not. Fails at 5h trough low heights can’t compare to cutter, no cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 25 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah.... I get that people are doing the defense mechanism thing... but that one definitely has a chance.... regardless of what the overall look is over the next few weeks Don’t do it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t do it.... 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t do it.... Saw a flat today, Boston had less snow last year at this time than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Saw a flat today, Boston had less snow last year at this time than this. We had events in January. Also their measuring was fake news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t do it.... Meh.... at some point you’d think we’d catch one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh.... at some point you’d think we’d catch one. Not this year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh.... at some point you’d think we’d catch one. Same people have never taken a chance outside their comfort zone for fear of disappointment, it’s a defensive mechanism. Odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 2 hours ago, weathafella said: Weirdly-it could be positive in slowing warming at least in the NHEM. It is ... that's precisely right. +AO -70 C at 500 mb in 1900 is a +AO -50 C at 500 mb in 2020+Climate change... Folks ( not you per se but in general ) need to realize that the poles warm the most because they have the greatest cold to shed. It's just a matter of numerology in the upper vs lower limit of Terran atmospheric thermodynamics. Those regions that are very cold, will warm more than those regions that are already hot. It's really not complicated; that means the the poles warm the most in global warming. etc.. By the way, I read a report that some station in Antarctica put up a 65 the other day. ... speak of the devil. Granted it's summer down there, but I believe that's a historic number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Same people have never taken a chance outside their comfort zone for fear of disappointment, it’s a defensive mechanism. Odd How’s it working out this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: How’s it working out this year? Kno when to fold , Know when to hold em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It is ... that's precisely right. +AO -70 C at 500 mb in 1900 is a +AO -50 C at 500 mb in 2020+Climate change... Folks ( not you per se but in general ) need to realize that the poles warm the most because they have the greatest cold to shed. It's just a matter of numerology in the upper vs lower limit of Terran atmospheric thermodynamics. Those regions that are very cold, will warm more than those regions that are already hot. It's really not complicated; that means the the poles warm the most in global warming. etc.. By the way, I read a report that some station in Antarctica put up a 65 the other day. ... speak of the devil. Granted it's summer down there, but I believe that's a historic number. Yup. Warmest on record but I think the period of record is rather short? still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not this year. Meh... I get the defense mechanism stuff. If I say nothing will happen, I can’t be disappointed. It’s not a horrible look though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Yup. Warmest on record but I think the period of record is rather short? still... Actually the station has records going back to 1961. blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It is ... that's precisely right. +AO -70 C at 500 mb in 1900 is a +AO -50 C at 500 mb in 2020+Climate change... Folks ( not you per se but in general ) need to realize that the poles warm the most because they have the greatest cold to shed. It's just a matter of numerology in the upper vs lower limit of Terran atmospheric thermodynamics. Those regions that are very cold, will warm more than those regions that are already hot. It's really not complicated; that means the the poles warm the most in global warming. etc.. By the way, I read a report that some station in Antarctica put up a 65 the other day. ... speak of the devil. Granted it's summer down there, but I believe that's a historic number. That was in the northern area. Whenever a new warm record shows up, the global warming crowd is quick to blame so-called "climate change", but when a new cold record takes place or record snow, they say it's just weather, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Sure, 65F in Antarctica is NBD. That’s still only borderline shorts weather. Probably still a long sleeve tee if a little breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 We’ll probably get a big April once everyone is ready for tulips and tankinis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh... I get the defense mechanism stuff. If I say nothing will happen, I can’t be disappointed. It’s not a horrible look though There’s no defense mechanism. SE ridge and troughing out west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 What happened to the negative epo that was supposed to develop? Everything looks good 10+ days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: What happened to the negative epo that was supposed to develop? Everything looks good 10+ days out. Not always. Looks like crap 10 days out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: We’ll probably get a big April once everyone is ready for tulips and tankinis. They’ll be out in a couple weeks. This reeks of a pseudo Morch 2012, even up there. Once past this coning week.. winter ends south to north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: How’s it working out this year? Works out every time if you think about it. It’s why people never take chances in life. Afraid of failure. I am not emotionally invested so it’s easy to not give up completely like those who shed tears over not getting frozen water. It’s winter there’s chances, but I understand your need to be wary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There’s no defense mechanism. SE ridge and troughing out west. Sure it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: What happened to the negative epo that was supposed to develop? Everything looks good 10+ days out. We just went through it... it's ending in 5 days.. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/teleconn/forecast.html It's just me but I have personal terminology I use to categorize these things and this was what I call a 'flat EPO' cold loading .. It's basically just a low amplitude EPO that almost behaves more like one at times when not a more discerned ridge up over Alaska. It came on sneaky because of that, and there are -20 850 mb plumes circulating through southern Canada in the models now a couple days down wind - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: What happened to the negative epo that was supposed to develop? Everything looks good 10+ days out. We had it.....but the cold went west thanks to -PNA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 29 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: That was in the northern area. Whenever a new warm record shows up, the global warming crowd is quick to blame so-called "climate change", but when a new cold record takes place or record snow, they say it's just weather, lol. Yeah, climate change is a hoax... it's amazing how that 150 years of empirical evidence has been faked. I don't understand why humanity can't just accept the dark society's gag reels of landing on the moon, dinosaurs, and climate change - yet they keep getting sucked into the conspiracy to fake science. Unreal - 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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