CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:11 PM, MJO812 said: This is what I mean when I said the models look bad this morning. The stupid trough in the west keeps coming back. Expand Verbatim it’s not bad here, but I know what it could entail with that look. Just wish we could shake things up. It’s had that look for a couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Just something to keep an eye on. Prob will be nothing notable. Pattern changes don’t typically come in immediately. If we get a change at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Street lights....people? Expand -NAOooooooooooooooooh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 11:29 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Actually last night’s ensembles were the best they’ve looked since December. Not saying I believe them , but there’s no denying winter at least has a chance starting next Thursday. I think you live south of NYC, so maybe there they look bad Expand Chrysalis forming... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Somebody want to tell me about the Euro fail in the SE. 06 Euro now down to an inch or 2. Nam headed that way, GFS there. Euro has been meh for a long time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 12:55 PM, CoastalWx said: Don't. Expand On 2/20/2020 at 1:04 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Stop Expand On 2/20/2020 at 1:10 PM, EastonSN+ said: Believing Expand On 2/20/2020 at 1:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Street lights....people? Expand LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 That early week wave could have a huge say in things. The airmass for much of next week is quite warm..perhaps if that early week wave comes weaker/flatter that will mute the air mass a bit...but it just seems like it might be another system with crappy airmass and then after the storm (end of week) we get the cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:38 PM, weatherwiz said: That early week wave could have a huge say in things. The airmass for much of next week is quite warm..perhaps if that early week wave comes weaker/flatter that will mute the air mass a bit...but it just seems like it might be another system with crappy airmass and then after the storm (end of week) we get the cold Expand Hows that massive NC snowstorm look today. What does Eric say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:35 PM, Ginx snewx said: Somebody want to tell me about the Euro fail in the SE. 06 a now down to an inch or 2. Nam headed that way, GFS there. Euro has been meh for a long time Expand We'll see....there were several runs in a row around D3 where the Euro had almost zero. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 3:28 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: You have run away and hidden from me at 38". Expand It’s only been the past 2 weeks, before that we were even as usual. Dave is 10” ahead of me up in the ORH Co. elevated nether regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:18 PM, CoastalWx said: Verbatim it’s not bad here, but I know what it could entail with that look. Just wish we could shake things up. It’s had that look for a couple of days. Expand It might just be one of those years we don’t get another opportunity. Just incredibly frustrating winter. I just hope we can get one more storm chance before this disaster is over. Still haven’t plowed snow yet this winter. That would be a first for me if we go without one plowable event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:39 PM, Ginx snewx said: Hows that massive NC snowstorm look today. What does Eric say? Expand If we can't get snow they shouldn't be able to get it either (: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Anyone know what's been going on with bufkit and the completely unrealistic levels of dry air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:46 PM, weatherwiz said: If we can't get snow they shouldn't be able to get it either (: Expand HRRR still very bullish. If that's correct that's a very nice snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:39 PM, Ginx snewx said: Hows that massive NC snowstorm look today. What does Eric say? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:53 PM, Ginx snewx said: HRRR still very bullish. If that's correct that's a very nice snowstorm. Expand It's going to be super close...definitely probably not going to be a widespread event, but despite all the shifts and uncertainties one thing which has been pretty consistent is the area getting hit pretty good where the WSW is up. But looks like the system is going to end up a bit flatter which is going to hurt quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Let’s discuss the Carolinas more. Doesn’t look good for them next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:59 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Let’s discuss the Carolinas more. Doesn’t look good for them next week Expand 174 hr GFS? I would think you would post Ens if you were serious 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:04 PM, Ginx snewx said: 174 hr GFS? I would think you would post Ens if you were serious Expand Def not serious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 1:11 PM, MJO812 said: This is what I mean when I said the models look bad this morning. The stupid trough in the west keeps coming back. Expand And you were right , it’s just semantics and the knee jerk of maybe losing another “good “ look and the step down process we like to mute into “ok”. Hopefully the trough out west goes away edit thou I haven’t looked at anything , after being on the board and reading the posts from Mets , one really doesn’t have to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 Let the Carolina's get the snow now and we can get their severe wx this summer 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 12:55 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: What side of town are you on? I would think you have a general 4-6”. Expand I'm near Hager Park/Meeting House pond......like 2 minutes from downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:24 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: And you were right , it’s just semantics and the knee jerk of maybe losing another “good “ look and the step down process we like to mute into “ok”. Hopefully the trough out west goes away edit thou I haven’t looked at anything , after being on the board and reading the posts from Mets , one really doesn’t have to Expand Well its definitely a totally different pattern days 8 thru 14 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 The Blizzzard of 13 came with a trough(-PNA) out west...big storms can happen with a trough out west. But this year..nothing seems to be popping for us, so I can understand the angst. At this point who cares is my opinion. If we don't get any more snow/or nothing of consequence, we can say this year beat out the Ratter of 11-12, and this year can be the worst Ratter in a generation or more for SNE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:46 PM, WinterWolf said: The Blizzzard of 13 came with a trough(-PNA) out west...big storms can happen with a trough out west. But this year..nothing seems to be popping for us, so I can understand the angst. At this point who cares is my opinion. If we don't get any more snow/or nothing of consequence, we can say this year beat out the Ratter of 11-12, and this year can be the worst Ratter in a generation or more for SNE. Expand 2013 had a neg NAO...tough to deal with a tough out west when the arctic and atlantic suck. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:50 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 2013 had a neg NAO...tough to deal with a tough out west when the arctic and atlantic suck. Expand No I get it....this year sucks for sure...more working against us for sure. I'm curious....was there a -NAO for the Feb 13 monster? I think I remember there wasn't? But I certainly could be mistaken on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:52 PM, WinterWolf said: No I get it....this year sucks for sure...more working against us for sure. I'm curious....was there a -NAO for the Feb 13 monster? I think I remember there wasn't? But I certainly could be mistaken on that? Expand I feel like there was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:46 PM, WinterWolf said: The Blizzzard of 13 came with a trough(-PNA) out west...big storms can happen with a trough out west. But this year..nothing seems to be popping for us, so I can understand the angst. At this point who cares is my opinion. If we don't get any more snow/or nothing of consequence, we can say this year beat out the Ratter of 11-12, and this year can be the worst Ratter in a generation or more for SNE. Expand Agreed. I'm fine either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:54 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like there was. Expand Ya you could be right? Maybe Will remembers? I was thinking there wasn't much blocking for that one...but again I could be completely mistaken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 20, 2020 Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 2:50 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 2013 had a neg NAO...tough to deal with a tough out west when the arctic and atlantic suck. Expand March '18 had that -PNA, -NAO combo if I recall rightly. Cold air was a little hard to come by, but it certainly worked out for plenty of folks here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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