powderfreak Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/18/2020 at 7:26 PM, ORH_wxman said: Too early to start the 2/27 storm thread? Expand That track looks familiar this season.... for all the crap we give Blizzy for his persistence forecast, even the clown range models can't buck the seasonal trend for even a run or two . That EURO snow map Ginxy posted too looks like a lot of snow maps we've seen this season. It's bizarre how stable that has been for months now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:16 AM, powderfreak said: That track looks familiar this season.... for all the crap we give Blizzy for his persistence forecast, even the clown range models can't buck the seasonal trend for even a run or two . That EURO snow map Ginxy posted too looks like a lot of snow maps we've seen this season. It's bizarre how stable that has been for months now. Expand The ensemble mean track would actually be pretty nice for interior SNE. Might be some taint but def a good bit of wintry precip. It’s subtle...but definitely enough better than other tracks to do well. The mean track this winter has been some low up in Toronto with a triple point secondary over or just east of SNE. This would actually be a redeveloped low coming out over the midatlantic and south of SNE. A little earlier than the typical garbage storm this winter. But there’s plenty of time to get that primary into tornto and Ottawa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Probably better off setting your sites after next week. At least the airmass will be better. Kind of a crap airmass for that system as modeled. Maybe it works out for the interior, but just my hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/18/2020 at 1:37 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve been saying this since the start of the month, just not as eloquently as you. Glad you’re on board. Expand I started in November. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:26 AM, CoastalWx said: Probably better off setting your sites after next week. At least the airmass will be better. Kind of a crap airmass for that system as modeled. Maybe it works out for the interior, but just my hunch. Expand Yeah I’m not expecting anything from those systems. But if the second one improves a little bit in the next 3 days or so then it may be worth tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:31 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I started in November. Expand Truth. Big skilled balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:07 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Truth. Big skilled balls. Expand Any level if skill I have is just from failing a million times...we'll see what happens. Should at least have some shots, which is more than we can say for the past two months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 3:23 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Any level if skill I have is just from failing a million times...we'll see what happens. Should at least have sime shots, which is more than we can say for the past two months. Expand Maybe so but any competitor within themselves gets better from not allowing failure to block them from continuous improvement. Otherwise, we would always just remain the same in whatever profession or personal achievements we seek. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Let's March 1956. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Just keeping snowing up north and I’ll keep firing up the Corsica 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 4:33 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Just keeping snowing up north and I’ll keep firing up the Corsica Expand 10' of snow PF, 10" here. Deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Real quiet...........get outside enjoy the sun.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 11:21 AM, 512high said: Real quiet...........get outside enjoy the sun.. Expand It’s coming. Patience and level headiness will be rewarded. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 11:29 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s coming. Patience and level headiness will be rewarded. Expand EPS still shows the marginal threat next week even though I’m fairly pessimistic on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 11:29 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s coming. Patience and level headiness will be rewarded. Expand I'm very patient , this late in the game ,I'm in it till the end, not going to join Dews..... I was hoping that the "change" was next mon-tues or at least starting too, it will be nice to see the sun, looking forward to wind and colder temps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 11:36 AM, ORH_wxman said: EPS still shows the marginal threat next week even though I’m fairly pessimistic on this one. Expand Yea thanks. the better chances for sne come after with miller B potential. We’ll see, another week to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:07 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea thanks. the better chances for sne come after with miller B potential. We’ll see, another week to go. Expand I agree that things look better after the next 7 days or so, but we definitely can’t afford to kick the cab anymore. It’s either improving this time and we’ll have legit chances or we are done. And as everyone knows, better pattern does not equal snow. So for now, just hoping we don’t end up punting anymore time, because frankly, we can’t afford it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Week of 3/2 starts our little run if we’re going to have one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Cutter after cutter after cutter on the gfs. Not that 300 hour solutions mean much... but it has been pretty consistent with that... and we are through almost a full week of March on these runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:19 PM, weathafella said: Week of 3/2 starts our little run if we’re going to have one. Expand Let's March 1956 says the CFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:26 PM, Ginx snewx said: Let's March 1956 says the CFS Expand The March 2012 pusher is full of confused emoji’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 That thing is just a black hole in the arctic until further notice. The Pacific improves, but arctic and NATL are just so putrid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:26 PM, Ginx snewx said: Let's March 1956 says the CFS Expand can’t forecast shit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:17 PM, dendrite said: can’t forecast shit? Expand When do we hand off the baton from the CFS to the ICON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:17 PM, dendrite said: can’t forecast shit? Expand Euro weeklies mimic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:10 PM, CoastalWx said: That thing is just a black hole in the arctic until further notice. The Pacific improves, but arctic and NATL are just so putrid. Expand We don't need it be eviscerated and replaced with March 2018...just neutralize it a bit to get a fighting chance....we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:10 PM, CoastalWx said: That thing is just a black hole in the arctic until further notice. The Pacific improves, but arctic and NATL are just so putrid. Expand Yeah it’s all PAC driven. Atlantic is going to offer nada in this. Hope we 1993 (also had a putrid Atlantic) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We don't need it be aviscerated and replaced with March 2018...just neutralize it a bit to get a fighting chance....we'll see. Expand There are always chances in March even in a crap pattern....but I wish things could shake up a bit. It doesn't give me a warm and fuzzy feeling, but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:29 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it’s all PAC driven. Atlantic is going to offer nada in this. Hope we 1993 (also had a putrid Atlantic) Expand What a bizarre look for that month. If you gave me that 500 look...no way in hell would I expect that outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 I feel like we could run the risk of a late month March bomb. Just sort of has that look. Canada should be cold and the south starts to warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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