dryslot Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: We boarded up the windows here on the coast. The winter that wasn’t. But hey, at least it’s winter. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: We boarded up the windows here on the coast. The winter that wasn’t. But hey, at least it’s winter. 2 more weeks and it's spring...no matter how much someone tries to tell you otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. Walk on home boy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Open up the screen porches. Take the covers off the pools Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Close the shades, Or is it shut them? Close the shades, roll down the shades, close the blinds, close the shutters...turn out the lights, snuff out the candle ...ALL OF IT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Despite the 23 degree temp this morning, the sun felt warm and the Spring birds were singing away...Time for Spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, Spanks45 said: Despite the 23 degree temp this morning, the sun felt warm and the Spring birds were singing away...Time for Spring! DST starts in 3 weeks-it's the earliest it can be this year. Hoping for a March 2012 analog 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Traveling 2/23-28 and then 3/9-13, so really only two more weeks of this nonsense for me. Maybe we get something the first week of March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: I like Tips posts, especially in the context of today’s text and abbreviate culture. We have collective cultural ADHD. The thought of having to actually sit and think and read and think more to make sense of something seems to be a shrinking skill. Damn I sound old. But weather patterns are complicated and can’t always be reduced to a tweet. We Should be greatful for the skilled posters who are willing to take the time to really dissect something, and Tip is not the only one. Totally agree, though like the great "stream of consciousness" author, Thomas Wolfe, Tip could use a good editor! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Open up the screen porches. Take the covers off the pools Epic March incoming: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Channel 5’s website has a very quick look back video on the President’s Day Blizzard of 2003. One of my favorite storms in an overall great winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Epic March incoming: lol, I looked at that trailer in the background and quickly read it as "ice cold coronavirus". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Epic March incoming: That was the Greenfield GTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 GFS is keeping us wedged up here tomorrow and that bit of backed sfc flow is giving a little extra weenie lift over the cold dome. A nice 7" weenie jack around Gene with a good ~5" here. Then we chill...then we mild up. Could be a nice weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 hour ago, FRWEATHA said: Channel 5’s website has a very quick look back video on the President’s Day Blizzard of 2003. One of my favorite storms in an overall great winter. that storm sucked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 We P Day. Great event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: We P Day. Great event. That was a pretty prolific north trend in that one. I remember about 3-4 days out NYC was getting fringed or almost nothing....esp on GFS which always was too far south on those. But even Euro was decently south. Then it was like every single run it bumped north. The old ETA of course was obsessed with hammering SNE and turned out mostly correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Does anyone know of any publicly or subscription based EPS/GEFS/GEPS combined products? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 hour ago, Hailstoned said: Totally agree, though like the great "stream of consciousness" author, Thomas Wolfe, Tip could use a good editor! Thanks for the sidled compliment but ... meh, a properly edited 'stream of consciousness' becomes stilted ( typically ), and besides ...for this venue, the polishing given are plenty sufficient, because a more refined effort and or attention to detail would go unheralded. No thanks on the time waste - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 32 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS is keeping us wedged up here tomorrow and that bit of backed sfc flow is giving a little extra weenie lift over the cold dome. A nice 7" weenie jack around Gene with a good ~5" here. Then we chill...then we mild up. Could be a nice weekend. Maybe an overperformer for a change. Haven’t had one since our supersquall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS is keeping us wedged up here tomorrow and that bit of backed sfc flow is giving a little extra weenie lift over the cold dome. A nice 7" weenie jack around Gene with a good ~5" here. Then we chill...then we mild up. Could be a nice weekend. Looks like I might get an inch of crud again if “lucky”. Theme of the winter on these shredded SWFEs that are too far northwest to hammer the good dynamics into us. This one is probably going to have a lot of holes in the maxes and min up in NNE. I hate when the vortmax goes from like DTW to northwest of Ottawa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That was a pretty prolific north trend in that one. I remember about 3-4 days out NYC was getting fringed or almost nothing....esp on GFS which always was too far south on those. But even Euro was decently south. Then it was like every single run it bumped north. The old ETA of course was obsessed with hammering SNE and turned out mostly correct. I thought PDay was modeled ok but the big north trend was January 2005. The day before 2003 was really cold....highs in the teens down to nyc. Snow began close to noon and rocked on heavy deep into the evening. I have some photos I took on a walk during the storm on Don Sutherlamd’s digital snow machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Man what a crap year for winter weather in SNE...a Ratter to remember 19-20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Man what a crap year for winter weather in SNE...a Ratter to remember 19-20. Just wait 10 days. If that doesn't work out then just wait 10 more. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 8 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Just wait 10 days. If that doesn't work out then just wait 10 more. 88 Likes the 4/10 period. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 10 hours ago, Fozz said: How has this winter been generally in northern VT? Since this is my first winter in New England (not a good first, lol), I don't have much point of reference. 10 hours ago, mreaves said: Very warm. Not overly snowy but not the worst. In the lower half but not the bottom quarter. The gradient seems to cut right through this area but these are just personal observations and not rooted in anything formal. The best obs by far for northern VT are done by JSpin, who I believe teaches at UVM. Data is his thing and he does an outstanding job analyzing it. I don’t really track temperatures, my primary focus is snowfall, but I do also have snowpack data for our site. From what I’ve heard, temperatures have been above normal recently as mreaves indicated. I think Powderfreak said our area was +7 F for January? He, or others that follow temperatures, may have some other numbers to fill you in here as well if they get the chance. As long as they don’t drastically affect snowfall/snowpack/snow quality, warmer midwinter temperatures are a plus in my book – that’s especially the case in January around here. Our average winter temperatures in January are cold enough, and below average is brutal if you’re going to be out on the slopes (or just living everyday life). I believe November temperatures were below average in this area though. That’s a good time to have below average temperatures around here, and it was likely a plus in terms of snowfall as I’ll mention below. I don’t track snowpack in too much detail, but I have our daily depth data since I report it to CoCoRaHS. Using my current data set, mean snow depth days (SDD) through Feb 17 at our site are 786.4, and currently we’re at 585.0, which is 74.4% of average. That’s pretty in line with how it’s felt with respect to snowpack. Although our continuous winter snowpack did start on the early side (November 8th) this season, probably aided by the below average November temperatures, the depth has felt well below average until just recently when we got that shot from Winter Storm Kade earlier this month. It took a storm like that, with 17.0” snow/1.86” liquid to get things back to average. Currently our snowpack depth is reading 15.5”, which is actually just a few inches below average, and it’s generally been hanging around that mark for the past week or so. I’ve added a plot below that gives one sense of how the season’s snowfall has been around here. It shows the running deviation in snowfall (± inches) relative to the cumulative seasonal average for our site. November snowfall here was actually only a few inches above average, but a good chunk of it came so early (7.1” from a storm on 11/7, and then another 5.1” from Winter Storm Caleb on 11/10) that it put us well ahead of average as the positive deviation spike in early November shows in the plot. December snowfall was slightly below average overall, so you can see that the positive deviation spike hung on, but faded toward the end of the month. January snowfall was a bit below average, but overall not bad, and you can see that the notable negative deviation spike developed at the end of the month into the start of February. So far February has sort of been like the other months, keeping things about average overall with just a slight drop below average as of late. Average snowfall for our site through today is 106.3”, and we’re just a couple of inches behind that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 18 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thought PDay was modeled ok but the big north trend was January 2005. The day before 2003 was really cold....highs in the teens down to nyc. Snow began close to noon and rocked on heavy deep into the evening. I have some photos I took on a walk during the storm on Don Sutherlamd’s digital snow machine. They both had big north trends. PDII was def a miss here several days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 We could really be heading towards a snooze fest of a pattern...to me it seems like a pattern we would see between the transition from fall to winter...where things sort of quiet down after the fall and then we establish our winter pattern. But there seems to be strong support for large high pressure to become established over a major chunk of the U.S. Patterns like that can hold for quite a while too. I'm guessing after that pattern we could bold right into a late spring type pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: We could really be heading towards a snooze fest of a pattern...to me it seems like a pattern we would see between the transition from fall to winter...where things sort of quiet down after the fall and then we establish our winter pattern. But there seems to be strong support for large high pressure to become established over a major chunk of the U.S. Patterns like that can hold for quite a while too. I'm guessing after that pattern we could bold right into a late spring type pattern. There’s been circles discussing 2012 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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