Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 All that’s left are a couple broken ankles flapping in a pair of Reebok pumps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. We are steeping down several steps from awful by month end, hopefully it’s enough for a storm or two but the downside is a slow start to spring. Just a little less awful. Lol. It will be mid season before long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: All that’s left are a couple broken ankles flapping in a pair of Reebok pumps Kemba style Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s more false flags, nothing more than that No not necessarily. I look at it and go...”eh.” Last year we got a storm in a meh pattern early March, so it happens. But March 2018 ain’t walking through that door. No -NAO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Kemba style This is still the best ankle breaker I’ve ever seen. Get chills watching and remembering that game. The Pitt player falling down is someone in Southbury. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No not necessarily. I look at it and go...”eh.” Last year we got a storm in a meh pattern early March, so it happens. But March 2018 ain’t walking through that door. No -NAO. I will keep peeking now and then but won’t get heavily invested. On the bright side there is more time to do other stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is still the best ankle breaker I’ve ever seen. Get chills watching and remembering that game. The Pitt player falling down is someone in Southbury. Lol. Yeah that dude was way out his league against Kemba. I think he is now pan handling outside of Madison Square Garden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Still looking toward the end of the month for a possible event. Long ways to go though. Might actually help those who've developed a kind of ...'codependency' on whether they get to experience the gestation spectrum of weather events in the model cinema, all the way to go time, who turn into smoldering trolls if that process is polluted in anyway ( such as ...oh, reality ) eh hm, to rephrase your missive as: "still looking toward the end of the month for a possible improved pattern that could plausibly offer an event(s). Long ways to go though." The overnight operational model runs were bad, period. For several cycles immediately prior, they seemed to be just on the temporal boundary in the extended where they might be detecting a paradigm shift in the general circulation - necessary to set the table. In a sense, we're trying to set the dining hall, so that we can set then set the table. The tele's has some hints of support. And, then there were some seasonality arguments adding conceptually ... But these 00z guidance regressed and lost that homage - it could be par for the course in a season that has shown exceptionally bad late mid and extended range scoring ( relative ). Maybe that is all this is, but we are back to the previous look by increasing the isohypses ( geopotential lines ) count between the lower latitudes and mid/upper latitudes over our side of the hemisphere ( probably everywhere for that matter..). In short, sped back up... Yeah I don't know this for certain and it will surely get cackling rubes making fun, but it seems the +AO relaxes, but the HC expansion issues are still in play, so yeah..we get some relaxation but the flow still ends up f'ed up. I start to wonder if we're just gonna have to deal with this as part of CC more and more in the future seasons; and I don't mean to ignite a ...shall we say, 'spirited debate' - it's a one sentence reality check that I believe is more real than apprehension chooses to accept. Either way whatever this winter does, July is still coming. That means, everything gets destroyed of lieu of the new season; more importantly, there has to be a progression of events leading to that deconstruction, and common wisdom goes ... this crazy velocity saturation, which at more times than not has become a kind of base-line destructive interference, is going to have to break-down. My contention ...beyond when, is what - usually when fast flows break down there is a tendency to reverse and go blocking ... I see that as plausibility as we aged this month and flip the script into March climo. If the AO tendency does neutralize on time of that climo it would probably be in March. There have been big Marches in the past. Though those years probably bore no resemblance to this one in terms of flow characteristics ( whereby the global indices only be numerical, 'hide' those tenors and are thus used wrongly as guides ...), there is still some value in the notion that it can snow prodigiously - it's just gets more and more difficult for the downtrodden to be objective. As an afterthought ... it seems we're having trouble more in the middling -scaled cyclonic organization in this stream-bi-passing quasi sheared high velocity atmosphere, but are getting more 'hyper-bombs' ... just a matter of whether they're in NF or UK ...or gosh forbid along the EC. It's takes more precision to time phasing in fast flow, so by definition ... rarer. But when it clicks, look out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 We haven’t even figured out what city to put in the dining hall, never mind setting it up... then we need to find a band, hire a photographer etc. Yeah time is ticking. It gets harder and harder to expect anything to pop. The Hadley Cell will keep flexing its muscles and we will ride the warm and boring train for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Might actually help those who've developed a kind of ...'codependency' on whether they get to experience the gestation spectrum of weather events in the model cinema, all the way to go time, who turn into smoldering trolls if that process is polluted in anyway ( such as ...oh, reality ) eh hm, to rephrase your missive as: "still looking toward the end of the month for a possible improved pattern that could plausibly offer an event(s). Long ways to go though." The overnight operational model runs were bad, period. For several cycles immediately prior, they seemed to be just on the temporal boundary in the extended where they might be detecting a paradigm shift in the general circulation - necessary to set the table. In a sense, we're trying to set the dining hall, so that we can set then set the table. The tele's has some hints of support. And, then there were some seasonality arguments adding conceptually ... But these 00z guidance regressed and lost that homage - it could be par for the course in a season that has shown exceptionally bad late mid and extended range scoring ( relative ). Maybe that is all this is, but we are back to the previous look by increasing the isohypses ( geopotential lines ) count between the lower latitudes and mid/upper latitudes over our side of the hemisphere ( probably everywhere for that matter..). In short, sped back up... Yeah I don't know this for certain and it will surely get cackling rubes making fun, but it seems the +AO relaxes, but the HC expansion issues are still in play, so yeah..we get some relaxation but the flow still ends up f'ed up. I start to wonder if we're just gonna have to deal with this as part of CC more and more in the future seasons; and I don't mean to ignite a ...shall we say, 'spirited debate' - it's a one sentence reality check that I believe is more real than apprehension chooses to accept. Either way whatever this winter does, July is still coming. That means, everything gets destroyed of lieu of the new season; more importantly, there has to be a progression of events leading to that deconstruction, and common wisdom goes ... this crazy velocity saturation, which at more times than not has become a kind of base-line destructive interference, is going to have to break-down. My contention ...beyond when, is what - usually when fast flows break down there is a tendency to reverse and go blocking ... I see that as plausibility as we aged this month and flip the script into March climo. If the AO tendency does neutralize on time of that climo it would probably be in March. There have been big Marches in the past. Though those years probably bore no resemblance to this one in terms of flow characteristics ( whereby the global indices only be numerical, 'hide' those tenors and are thus used wrongly as guides ...), there is still some value in the notion that it can snow prodigiously - it's just gets more and more difficult for the downtrodden to be objective. As an afterthought ... it seems we're having trouble more in the middling -scaled cyclonic organization in this stream-bi-passing quasi sheared high velocity atmosphere, but are getting more 'hyper-bombs' ... just a matter of whether they're in NF or UK ...or gosh forbid along the EC. It's takes more precision to time phasing in fast flow, so by definition ... rarer. But when it clicks, look out! So you’re saying there’s a Chance....After a “War and Peace” novel write up? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Jesus. Need the cliff notes for that one. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 0.6 last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. Go back to bed. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 I like Tips posts, especially in the context of today’s text and abbreviate culture. We have collective cultural ADHD. The thought of having to actually sit and think and read and think more to make sense of something seems to be a shrinking skill. Damn I sound old. But weather patterns are complicated and can’t always be reduced to a tweet. We Should be greatful for the skilled posters who are willing to take the time to really dissect something, and Tip is not the only one. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 11 hours ago, UnitedWx said: We haven't gone to NH for a number of years because of the insane amount of the fish and game cops. It gets ridiculous when you get stopped several times a day for registration checks etc. Its maddening after a while!! No such issue in VT and Maine I don’t know about that. I have ridden close to 20k miles all over the state and I’ve seen them less than 10 times. I’ve been stopped once, and that was a legit stop, I was going way too fast. no ticket though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. Me too, I’m actually excited for a 3-5 inches tomorrow because it is snow on snow so I can pretend it’s a bigger storm, and u like most this year it will be happening in broad daylight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. So do you set an alarm at like 2 or 3 am? That’s kinda fascinating to me. It’s like a weenie in FL waking up to track a d7 frost. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 If I lived in the outer banks this week I’d be doing that lol. Get some sleep ant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I like Tips posts, especially in the context of today’s text and abbreviate culture. We have collective cultural ADHD. The thought of having to actually sit and think and read and think more to make sense of something seems to be a shrinking skill. Damn I sound old. But weather patterns are complicated and can’t always be reduced to a tweet. We Should be greatful for the skilled posters who are willing to take the time to really dissect something, and Tip is not the only one. Couldn't agree anymore here...people are willing to wait hours in line for food or shopping, but when it comes to reading something forget it. Same goes to forecasting...constructing an excellent forecast requires a great deal of time and detail. Forecasters who spend the time to look over all variables and use knowledge to determine "what makes the most sense" are going to be more accurate than those who don't. Forecasting now is almost becoming a joke b/c it's just rip and read off a few products and go from there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Couldn't agree anymore here...people are willing to wait hours in line for food or shopping, but when it comes to reading something forget it. Same goes to forecasting...constructing an excellent forecast requires a great deal of time and detail. Forecasters who spend the time to look over all variables and use knowledge to determine "what makes the most sense" are going to be more accurate than those who don't. Forecasting now is almost becoming a joke b/c it's just rip and read off a few products and go from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: One of these days when I have time I'm going to go on a nice ranting blog post about this and snow maps. Perhaps I'll do that this upcoming Sunday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 30 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. In a cold sweat with the sheets soaked from urinating? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: One of these days when I have time I'm going to go on a nice ranting blog post about this and snow maps. Perhaps I'll do that this upcoming Sunday. You do it all the time already. We get it. You hate social media and snow maps while having a problematic compulsive behavior towards any hint of convection, globally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kuchera FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You do it all the time already. We get it. You hate social media and snow maps while having a problematic compulsive behavior towards any hint of convection, globally. Only part of this statement is fully accurate...though the jest of it is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 43 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Jesus. Need the cliff notes for that one. Please put a limit on how many characters in a post, at least for ALL our amusement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 40 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. LOL. if you wake up tonight at 2am, the models will look like they did on Jan 20th-a pile of garbage-too much to fix for us...finished. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 49 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I am still waking up during the night to see the overnight models. I am hoping for a snowstorm. Close the shades, Or is it shut them? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: Close the shades, Or is it shut them? We boarded up the windows here on the coast. The winter that wasn’t. But hey, at least it’s winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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