forkyfork Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 how many day 12 weenie looks have come to fruition this winter? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 8:42 PM, CoastalWx said: Weenie sort of look on EPS. NE Canada ridging (better than -EPO) and split flow. AO weakens. Expand Tried to tell em but they refuse, stuck in the same mud the pig dug up for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Nobody is locking that in. Just stating what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 8:58 PM, forkyfork said: how many day 12 weenie looks have come to fruition this winter? Expand Especially on the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 8:26 PM, Hoth said: Wasn't there a freak winter tornado somewhere in Mass a few years back? Expand In the winter? Not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:06 PM, MJO812 said: Especially on the eps Expand Different as the season ages and vortex’s are more susceptible to punches. Locked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 hopefully a pattern change for March, we need some rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 8:59 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Tried to tell em but they refuse, stuck in the same mud the pig dug up for them. Expand Yup..a couple days ago I posted about the Day 14-15 GEFS/GEPS showing signs of a shakeup..but it got a few snowflakes riled up. Lets see if we can get a reasonable March pattern in place for the last few weeks of winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:10 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Yup..a couple days ago I posted about the Day 14-15 GEFS/GEPS showing signs of a shakeup..but it got a few snowflakes riled up. Lets see if we can get a reasonable March pattern in place for the last few weeks of winter. Expand We could still get shafted from individual events which all most care about but from a science perspective, it makes sense and we like what we see for month end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 The abstract message in my opinion from mother nature is that when March does come people who are still hoping for that pattern change are going to be disappointed when if there is any cold air it goes rate back into the west and that winter lovers are still going to be frustrated for at least the first half of the month as the subjective message to our subjective feelings is that "I am not letting you out, and you need to learn lessons that you cannot expect to receive what you want and nor do I care how you feel." Even the long term CFS charts which are often probabilities that change on a whim everyday seem to be backing off the cold and moving towards a lesser warm but relatively ridged continuation of a variety of a negative pna. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 8:26 PM, Hoth said: Wasn't there a freak winter tornado somewhere in Mass a few years back? Expand On 2/14/2020 at 9:07 PM, Dr. Dews said: In the winter? Not sure. Expand EF1 2/25/17 in Goshen and Conway, MA. Also damage further east. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:08 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Different as the season ages and vortex’s are more susceptible to punches. Locked. Expand Unlocked and lock broken so it can’t be relocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:28 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Unlocked and lock broken so it can’t be relocked Expand Even a thin frozen weenie in NECT can’t unlock it as it wanders around a snow filled lawn in March puzzled why it’s not 2012 all over again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 8:04 PM, powderfreak said: What’s really interesting is how massive the variance looks on there the past 2-3 decades. Some huge winters and some huge ratters. A lot more spread recently it seems. Going back to the 90s that looks like 6 winters above 75” and 6 winters below 25”? Expand Have to account for different measuring procedures too. Snowfall can be deceiving 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 8:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: 1937-38 There’s our cane analog. It’s coming Expand 36 37 lol can you get anything right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:44 PM, Ginx snewx said: Have to account for different measuring procedures too. Snowfall can be deceiving Expand Yeah it probably enhances the variance a little bit. But overall it’s def been more variant than the prior 60-80 years. Like I don’t think measuring technique would change Boston’s top 3 winter rankings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:46 PM, Ginx snewx said: 36 37 lol can you get anything right Expand Just focus on pooper scooping on the family room floor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:26 PM, radarman said: EF1 2/25/17 in Goshen and Conway, MA. Also damage further east. Expand Thanks! Pretty surreal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 9:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Just focus on pooper scooping on the family room floor Expand Damn son it only takes a little effort to get facts right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 19730306 19730311 19770307 19840221 20040307 19540222 19770302 19510215 19710221 20050210 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 10:34 PM, Dr. Dews said: 19730306 19730311 19770307 19840221 20040307 19540222 19770302 19510215 19710221 20050210 Expand Day 11 is 10 days away from end of week 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 I’m all set with the cold when it’s dipping below zero by 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 10:38 PM, Ginx snewx said: Day 11 is 10 days away from end of week 3? Expand high this evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 CPC likes a mild-down week 3/4. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 5.5f. gonna be chilly tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 10:46 PM, powderfreak said: I’m all set with the cold when it’s dipping below zero by 6pm. Expand The chickens were not enthused this evening. 6.4F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 10:48 PM, Dr. Dews said: high this evening? Expand What's a week 3 4 outlook have to do with a day 11 map? Drunk? Too many packages today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 10:53 PM, dendrite said: The chickens were not enthused this evening. 6.4F Expand Same temp, And the panko crusted chicken was excellent tonight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 On 2/14/2020 at 11:01 PM, Ginx snewx said: What's a week 3 4 outlook have to do with a day 11 map? Drunk? Too many packages today? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 Suggestion in the deep field that the hemisphere's getting ready for spring slosh back and that will likely mean substantive blocking ... probably/more likely in the NAO or overlap regions of the adjacent AO ..along with some flow relaxation and more increase r-wave numbers yielding a pretty definitively different circulation bias comparing the predominately longitude/speed shear we've seen everywhere. Leaning toward March ..mainly the first the first half, as being a bootleg savior for seasonal totals per an active pattern that is more meridianal in structure which connotes cyclogen regions activate. I also wouldn't be suprised if the east Pac finally juts a ridge node into western Canada, too. These are not unprecedented season ending regimes after fast flows, and in fact...fast flows tend to decompose into blocking intervals when they break down anyway, but we'll be superimposing the seasonal temporality on top of that so the two may constructively interfere. It's a three week ...maybe four squeezed in of vulnerability when the sun actually eases the gradient, while still having enough cold in the hemispheric bank - 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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