Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, Ji said: snow tv---but it is snow not rain lol This is a good setup for an upside surprise. I'm not spiking any footballs but all systems have been juicy this year whether they hit us or not (who cares cuz rain..). Looking just at h5 vort panels it looks healthy and track is good. Keep that locked in for now and see if we can catch a break when we're inside of 3 days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Temps in the cities are around 34-35 at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 EURO 12Z at 6Z Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: This is a good setup for an upside surprise. I'm not spiking any footballs but all systems have been juicy this year whether they hit us or not (who cares cuz rain..). Looking just at h5 vort panels it looks healthy and track is good. Keep that locked in for now and see if we can catch a break when we're inside of 3 days. 528 thickness. Cant complain about that even if the surface is warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 A small handful of the upside solutions on the 00z ens runs for the euro were pretty powerful. It’s definitely a good sign that 12z is trending to a stronger shortwave when coupled with that BUT at 5 days out let’s not forget what happened to that thump we were tracking a few weeks ago from 5 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 WB 12Z EURO Precip panels...actually very similar to OZ except for Eastern shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I sure hope that juice up closer to game time, especially with those suspect surface temps. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: 528 thickness. Cant complain about that even if the surface is warm. Just gotta sweat it out until Thursday or so. I don't care about any gyrations in surface panels as much as holding and increasing the upper level energy. Get a good strong vort pass overnight even with marginal air it should work out in some way. The nice thing about the track on the euro is surface winds turn northerly while it's precipitating. That's been a rare occurrence this year. We're usually fighting tooth and nail against southerly winds 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, Bob Chill said: Just gotta sweat it out until Thursday or so. I don't care about any gyrations in surface panels as much as holding and increasing the upper level energy. Get a good strong vort pass overnight even with marginal air it should work out in some way. The nice thing about the track on the euro is surface winds turn northerly while it's precipitating. That's been a rare occurrence this year. We're usually fighting tooth and nail against southerly winds in a few minutes...we will see the disappearance of Bobs banana high from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ji said: in a few minutes...we will see the disappearance of Bobs banana high from yesterday There's nothing to look at imho beyond the weekend. Whatever comes next is going to be rainy and lame. Save yourself the stress and forget about next week. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: There's nothing to look at imho beyond the weekend. Whatever comes next is going to be rainy and lame. Save yourself the stress and forget about next week. Hope we can pull off a PD weekend miracle, then (or something that week because after Feb 20th or so that's it for Feb (sure we could squeeze out an inch or two, but nothing beyond that has ever happened between the 20th and the end of the month, lol) Don't wanna look to March to salvage something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: There's nothing to look at imho beyond the weekend. Whatever comes next is going to be rainy and lame. Save yourself the stress and forget about next week. Thanks Bob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 @Ji We oughta call the weekend the congregational attendance wrecker...cause you know how folk (particularly the older ones) get around here if there's anything frozen falling on Sunday morning, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Thanks Bob Lol. I didn't think about context. I was only saying that next week looks really lame. Beyond d10 anything is possible. Maybe it flips cold and snowy or maybe it sticks with warm and rainy. I don't have any insight there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Banana highs is still there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, Ji said: Banana highs is still there Is they? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 54 minutes ago, Ji said: i think its an overall fail...light and quick--its over by Late sat night but its something so.... Seriously, watching the pbp and the posts leading up to sat-sun you would think we are tracking a MECS lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z EPS def showing upside surprise potential for the weekend. Nice run. Oddly, the CMC and GEPS don't have the wave at all. Hard to flat out ignore that but I will. Go EPS! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 50 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Temps in the cities are around 34-35 at this time. Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 38 minutes ago, Ji said: in a few minutes...we will see the disappearance of Bobs banana. High from yesterday Little punctuation change and wow, plot twist. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Huggable multi param mean panel... The real fun starts as the whiffs drop out and big hits replace them over the next 4 days. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Eps has some big hits for Sunday. Ninjad by Bob If only I wasn't on this 30 foot extension ladder trying to post lol Define "big". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 12z EPS def showing upside surprise potential for the weekend. Nice run. Oddly, the CMC and GEPS don't have the wave at all. Hard to flat out ignore that but I will. Go EPS! What is the EPS doing in the upside hits? Slowing it down? Juicing up? It’s perplexing to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Huggable multi param mean panel... The real fun starts as the whiffs drop out and big hits replace them over the next 4 days. Do you have the panel before this? I'm going to be at snowshoe this weekend from friday through Monday. Hoping to score some decent snowfall over the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, BristowWx said: What is the EPS doing in the upside hits? Slowing it down? Juicing up? It’s perplexing to me Strong juicy shortwave and good track. Still a fast mover no matter what. All the good ones look about the same with strength and track. Still plenty of crappy or whiff solutions. Just a notable uptick in the larger hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Define "big". Are we talking about Bob's banana high still or the lp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Seriously, watching the pbp and the posts leading up to sat-sun you would think we are tracking a MECS lol. Sadly if we get over 1.5” it would be the event of the winter for a lot of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 In case anyone is wondering I know Bob and how he speaks. Bob Chill is giving this storm a green light. Its a go. We can't fail now. Best shot all fall/spring. 53 men and women in this together. How can we lose? Apologies to Dick Vermeil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Define "big". EPS mean is 2.5" at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z EPS is a def improvement over 6z EPS when comparing the two of them FWIW... 12z EPS is on top, 06z on bottom 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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