Ralph Wiggum Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ji said: thats pretty good. Im going to give up on the Feb 24-25 storm lol I've moved on to the Ides of March trouncing for the region! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I've moved on to the Ides of March trouncing for the region! Reverse March 2001 bust incoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 the worst period of winter ever started in March 2001 and lasted through the 01-02 winter and then finally ended on Dec 5,2002. Just dark dark days lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 56 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: lock it in Looks great for Washington, NC. They will join Saudi Arabia, Iran and Tazmania as the score zones in winter 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 I realize that I'm tracking what is almost certainty a loser but the 12z EPS was a step up based on raw mean snowfall. I'll let someone else (if they still care) do a better analysis to find out why. 12z: 06z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 26 minutes ago, Ji said: thats pretty good. Im going to give up on the Feb 24-25 storm lol But when was that ever a storm, though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Even at 7 to 8 days out? That's still way out there in time. Significant changes could still occur and that's the beauty of this hobby imo . You simply never know even with all the advancements. I'll keep tracking that time frame till at least the end of the week . Besides it would only be the appetizer that preceeds our March 1st HECS ( that will piss off all the March snow haters ) Ordinarily I'd agree about lot giving up 7-8 days out...but that whole week is so historically futile for us (for some strange reason) that I just skip it, lol But hopefully we can have something for the week of the 1st start popping up by the end of the week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 It's 4th and L-O-N-G, definitely going to punt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Folks need to pick up other hobbies and stop tracking this dreadful winter. It's a beautiful day out there for a cycle, round of golf, till the garden or take the kids to the playground. Tulips and daffodils are already emerging. Lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 End of the NAM is intriguing, but it's the end of the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 End of the NAM is intriguing, but it's the end of the NAM North Carolina clearly deserves it more than we do all that said, it was a big shift in the right direction. I’d take one more of those 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: End of the NAM is intriguing, but it's the end of the NAM Meh. Maybe for Richmond but it still sucks. Gets snow up to about Richmond at hour 81 but then starts shrinking it S & E at 84. This is hopeless for anyone north of Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: North Carolina clearly deserves it more than we do Good for them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 WB 12z EPS thru Day 15. No changes. Nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Y'all know how this early March 'cold' period is gonna go, right? Just save yourselves the misery and head on over to the Panic Room. Drinks are on me. The rest happens pretty quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Y'all know how this early March 'cold' period is gonna go, right? Just save yourselves the misery and head on over to the Panic Room. Drinks are on me. The rest happens pretty quickly. If it doesn't snow then we want an early spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Does anyone remember the snowstorm back in early December 2018? Imo I see some similarities with this one NAM 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 WB 12z EPS thru Day 15. No changes. Nada. Not true at all...uptick in snow in southern and central va day 14 and 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 For those holding out hope for late week, that stretched out vort max dropping down from Central Canada on Thursday is the feature to watch. It ultimately will act as the kicker, but if it digs a bit further west as it heads south, it can turn the flow a bit more ENE instead of due East. The runs that have been interesting, esp the 0z Euro and CMC, have this feature sharper and digging further west. It's a long shot for DC north any way you slice it, but there is a chance for southern parts of the region to get in on the northern fringe of the precip shield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 A central NC jackpot 4 days out usually ends up being a central VA jackpot when all is said and done..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Icon is trying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, ryanconway63 said: A central NC jackpot 4 days out usually ends up being a central VA jackpot when all is said and done..... This has never been more true than this winter. We have seen these advertised set ups end up working out great for N PA into NNE. In this case however, its hard to see how that happens. The flow is so progressive and flat, and the southern energy is on the weak side, with any significant development occurring offshore. Perfect set up for the MA to get screwed a different way lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 ICON is fired up....says central/eastern va looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Icon is trying Just like back in 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 This is why the ICON looks good at the surface, and what I mentioned in my post above. This is the feature to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Just like back in 2018 Seems we still have a chance, but GFS has to do something now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2020 Author Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: This is why the ICON looks good at the surface, and what I mentioned in my post above. This is the feature to watch. Need a bit sharper AND farther west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: This is why the ICON looks good at the surface, and what I mentioned in my post above. This is the feature to watch. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Need a bit sharper AND farther west Yup. But its close. As was the EURO at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 This is what the GFS looked like at 12z. Lets see if it can do better for HH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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