CentralVaNATS Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 This whole thread is a parody.It is a parody and this entire season has made sense all along with advertised long range hunting for a pattern that hasn't materialized yet, but there always is next winter.Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 32 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yea...I assumed it was meant to be a parody Haha. Unfortunately it’s not. Jaded emotionalism lol. But not parody. FWIW 0z NAM is north btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 33 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Haha. Unfortunately it’s not. Jaded emotionalism lol. But not parody. FWIW 0z NAM is north btw. Man, at this point, if we gotta suck this month, we may as well go for the historic Feb. mark of not even a trace...lol So unless we have a legit shot at an inch, I don't want a trace to ruin it, haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Letz do it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 00z CMC at hour 204 is a prime example of what can happen if the energy doesn't all dump into the SW US. GFS at the same timeframe has the energy diving into NM/AZ so it amplifies the flow and it ends up cutting. CMC dives it into TX instead. Would like to see the EURO do something similar this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 9 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Our better bet might be to root for that system to phase into the NS and set up more confluence to try to force the bigger one behind it south. That one is getting closer on the EPS. It's still likely all going to fail but that one is the best bet of a sorry lot. @showmethesnow the gem just did exactly what I was envisioning above. Gfs wasn’t that far off either. It might be a viable idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Man, at this point, if we gotta suck this month, we may as well go for the historic Feb. mark of not even a trace...lol So unless we have a legit shot at an inch, I don't want a trace to ruin it, haha I didn’t realize DCA has never had a zero (i.e. not even a T) February... BWI had zeroes in 1884 and 1898 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: I didn’t realize DCA has never had a zero (i.e. not even a T) February... BWI had zeroes in 1884 and 1898 though. So has Central Park, in 1998. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Okay, I want names! Whom in the Mid-Atlantic has pissed off the Snow Gods? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 7 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Okay, I want names! Whom in the Mid-Atlantic has pissed off the Snow Gods? Talk about salt in the wound. If that happens I am giving up this hobby. Chances are I will be taking up bowling again. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 4 hours ago, psuhoffman said: @showmethesnow the gem just did exactly what I was envisioning above. Gfs wasn’t that far off either. It might be a viable idea. I think it is a very viable option as long as the NS drop behind it doesn't dump into the SW. We see that and with the height builds we see in the East it more then likely kills any chance of that lead SW being a player as the setup more then likely would get pooched. Actually have thought of quite a few scenarios since the models started moving away from dumping the NS into the SW and moving that eastward. But the odds of any particular one playing out will be dependent on exactly how far east (if in fact it does) and how deep a drop we see with that NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Definite move by the models to show the NS energy pulling through the Pac NW (day 4/5) to drop farther to the east vs. into the deep South West. Now that may change in future runs but the fact that we saw the models begin hinting at it around 7 days and the signal has only gotten much stronger is a good sign. This really opens up the options (much more snow friendly) for us vs. the alternative which was the SW dump. Now what it does afterwords is also key. Right now the models have that tracking this feature to our N and W. Not the best solution but one we can work with as it does open up the possibilities for any trailing energy. What we probably want to see is that energy/closed low?/500's tracking through or just south of our region. Not only does that put us into play with that feature but it in most likelihood sets up a favorable, potentially very favorable, setup for the period afterwords unlike what we would see with it moving into the Lakes/southern Canada. And it that regards (tracking through or south) the models have been steadily moving towards the possibility over the last couple of days. Now I am not predicting snow, all I am doing is presenting what IMO gives us the best odds to see snow and nothing more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 2 hours ago, showmethesnow said: Okay, I want names! Whom in the Mid-Atlantic has pissed off the Snow Gods? Its ours. Nice fit. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 38 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Its ours. Nice fit. I salute you. A man that freely admits he would steal others snow for his BY. Let's do this. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Unrelated to weather, but perhaps I have been banned. I can't upload maps anymore. Something about file size. Anyone tell me where to go for instructions or what to do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Unrelated to weather, but perhaps I have been banned. I can't upload maps anymore. Something about file size. Anyone tell me where to go for instructions or what to do? Your attachments folder is probably at 100%. Delete stuff. Or... Copy and paste. I do it all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 The 15-day EPS snowfall mean for College Park is in the 1 to 1.5" category, its largest in several days. 30 of the 51 members give measurable snow/sleet during that period 8 of the 51 members give measurable snow/sleet this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 6Z WB GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 DT be woofin for our our Southern friends 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: Unrelated to weather, but perhaps I have been banned. I can't upload maps anymore. Something about file size. Anyone tell me where to go for instructions or what to do? So right now your probability of posting the the snow probability maps is 0% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 GFS is closer for us at 186 FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GFS is closer for us at 186 FWIW. Yeah, noticed that as well. Not holding out for anything, but it's all we got. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 36 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, noticed that as well. Not holding out for anything, but it's all we got. Yeah that particular look we have seen too many times on the models this year...ain't buyin' it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Canadian dangling the carrot as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Canadian dangling the carrot as well... That’s from 00z but it was a nice run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: That’s from 00z but it was a nice run obviously the 12z is a fail because we havent had 2 good runs in a row all season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Congrats VA tidewater? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 8 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: That’s from 00z but it was a nice run Ah...thanks. Just assumed 12z was out already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 9 minutes ago, Ji said: obviously the 12z is a fail because we havent had 2 good runs in a row all season 12z not out yet on TT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 12z not out yet on TT. It’s out on WB and it’s a miss to the NW. Similar to 12z GFS but worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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