WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 OMG those snow maps. Are they ever close to reality? Ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: OMG those snow maps. Are they ever close to reality? Ever? I think they are the most useless tool known to weather (at least outside of a reasonable timeframe...I wish they'd only be shown when there is an imminent storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 Yeah they might be a accurate within a couple of days. You take it out to 10 and I doubt they are hardly ever remotely accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 today was just a disaster in modeling. Maybe the worst day of the year 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: today was just a disaster in modeling. Maybe the worst day of the year How was it any worse than the rest of any of the days in January and February? At least nothing took away 2 feet of digital snow today! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 50 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: OMG those snow maps. Are they ever close to reality? Ever? They're accurate when they show us with no snow -- 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Count me with Ji in the "not at all comforted to see a suppressed solution" in the long range. We could definitely see something suppressed. We did a few times this year, often so suppressed that nothing ended up happening or it was a rain event for NC that would have been snow up here. So I am not saying I expect it to actually snow a lot in the south...but in this type of progressive pattern the most likely outcomes are either cutter or weak suppressed wave. We are in the least likely in between zone. The prospects of a pattern change towards the end of February have way more interest to me than anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 31 minutes ago, Ji said: today was just a disaster in modeling. Maybe the worst day of the year Dude, it just like every other day has been this month. It's all really bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Count me with Ji in the "not at all comforted to see a suppressed solution" in the long range. We could definitely see something suppressed. We did a few times this year, often so suppressed that nothing ended up happening or it was a rain event for NC that would have been snow up here. So I am not saying I expect it to actually snow a lot in the south...but in this type of progressive pattern the most likely outcomes are either cutter or weak suppressed wave. We are in the least likely in between zone. The prospects of a pattern change towards the end of February have way more interest to me than anything else. Ah so basically...this has a low likelihood and really not worth tracking? (I could understand that...if those are the only two options then perhaps we should just skip it?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 15 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Ah so basically...this has a low likelihood and really not worth tracking? (I could understand that...if those are the only two options then perhaps we should just skip it?) we are probably 15 days away from someting worth tracking.....March 4 seems to be a good time for snowstorms or fake snowstorms in modeling. Ask PSU about the March 4,2001 event lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Checks in this morning. Things on the up and up. Checks in just now. Things are a dumpster fire. Rinse and repeat every damn day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Checks in this morning. Things on the up and up. Checks in just now. Things are a dumpster fire. Rinse and repeat every damn day. Definition of insanity. But tomorrow will be different....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ji said: we are probably 15 days away from someting worth tracking.....March 4 seems to be a good time for snowstorms or fake snowstorms in modeling. Ask PSU about the March 4,2001 event lol Man I don't wanna hear about any dang upper elevation snowstorm, lol I'm like Bob...if it ain't odds for here I ain't interested. For March, give me an 8 incher or more and we can talk (heck, I'd even take right at WSW criteria). March saves are awful down here and may have only happened 3 times (at the most) in our history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 6 minutes ago, Scraff said: Checks in this morning. Things on the up and up. Checks in just now. Things are a dumpster fire. Rinse and repeat every damn day. I didn't think the runs were that bad...but if what PSU said is true and that the two more likely options are suppressed or cutter...then no, not a particularly good day. But, ya never know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 10 minutes ago, Scraff said: Checks in this morning. Things on the up and up. Checks in just now. Things are a dumpster fire. Rinse and repeat every damn day. Drink a beer and check back in 30 mins or so. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 20 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Drink a beer and check back in 30 mins or so. I see it's been par for the course in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: I see it's been par for the course in here. We have triple bogeys on every hole this year 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: I see it's been par for the course in here. I think a coating of snow from a suppressed, strung out mess the 12z Euro gave to NC late next week has some folks shook up in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Snow showers currently in Wise and Norton. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Daniel Boone said: Snow showers currently in Wise and Norton. There’s an obs thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Six to 10 day outlook for Feb 19-23 calls for below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation in MD. Likely a cold and dry / cool and wet scenario given the unfavorable Pacific but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 I don’t know where you guys are getting the stamina to keep analyzing this putrid “winter.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Six to 10 day outlook for Feb 19-23 calls for below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation in MD. Likely a cold and dry / cool and wet scenario given the unfavorable Pacific but who knows Yep below normal when its bone dry and above normal when we have precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Just now, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, dallen7908 said: Six to 10 day outlook for Feb 19-23 calls for below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation in MD. Likely a cold and dry / cool and wet scenario given the unfavorable Pacific but who knows Yep below normal when its bone dry and above normal when we have precip I would just take some actual damn cold at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I would just take some actual damn cold at this point. Savor the next couple days. Mid teens tomorrow night. Then back in the 50s with another cutter next week. DW our time will come. March. Next March, for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 I would just take some actual damn cold at this point. That's more depressing knowing there is zero chance you will see snow from it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 29 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: I think a coating of snow from a suppressed, strung out mess the 12z Euro gave to NC late next week has some folks shook up in here. Kind of confused here. Models were showing our snow chances starting to increase roughly day 9/10 and onward. And after just looking over the GEFS and the EPS that doesn't look like that has really changed. So what are some people worried about? The system that comes before that time period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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