Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:10 PM, LP08 said: You received .5 digital inches at 12z. You’re up to 1.5 now. Progress!It washes out and it's too warm. It's great for Kentucky though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I'll be the voice of optimism. I'm just happy the odds seem to be increasing of seeing snow fall. It may be 40 degrees with no accumulation, but I'll enjoy what we can get lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:11 PM, Ji said: On 2/4/2020 at 10:10 PM, LP08 said: You received .5 digital inches at 12z. You’re up to 1.5 now. Progress! Expand It washes out and it's too warm. It's great for Kentucky though lol Expand Amp it too much and you’ll be enjoying another bout of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:14 PM, Steve25 said: I'll be the voice of optimism. I'm just happy the odds seem to be increasing of seeing snow fall. It may be 40 degrees with no accumulation, but I'll enjoy what we can get lol Expand I’ve seen that enough times already. I need my first storm that at least produces a complete covering of the blades of grass and complete road caving. I haven’t seen that yet. This GFS run doesn’t do it for me verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 WB 18Z GFS. Remember it is still playing catch up to EURO...at least I hope! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:11 PM, Ji said: On 2/4/2020 at 10:10 PM, LP08 said: You received .5 digital inches at 12z. You’re up to 1.5 now. Progress! Expand It washes out and it's too warm. It's great for Kentucky though lol Expand That's the part that has me mostly disinterested. It's close on the heels of the Friday storm, the flow is fast/progressive, and the wave dampens as it moves east. With marginal temps we need something more dynamic to get more than snow tv or a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 The gfs is doing an excellent job at keeping Ji from latching onto an unrealistic run and then hating his 3-6 sat night. I thought the gfs looked great. You can easily see how this can pop but you can't do that if you only look at surface panels... 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:20 PM, C.A.P.E. said: That's the part that has me mostly disinterested. It's close on the heels of the Friday storm, the flow is fast/progressive, and the wave dampens as it moves east. With marginal temps we need something more dynamic to get more than snow tv or a coating. Expand If that sw digs a bit more it would slow it down wouldn’t it. Maybe get a bit more separation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:18 PM, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS. Remember it is still playing catch up to EURO...at least I hope! Considering the temps and track that's pretty generous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:21 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: If that sw digs a bit more it would slow it down wouldn’t it. Maybe get a bit more separation? Expand Certainly possible. A lot of action to get through before we get to that wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:21 PM, Bob Chill said: The gfs is doing an excellent job at keeping Ji from latching onto an unrealistic run and then hating his 3-6 sat night. I thought the gfs looked great. You can easily see how this can pop but you can't do that if you only look at surface panels...Okay boss...so this is the real bob chill storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I think it will be 12z Friday before we know. Anxious to see and GEFS trends. On 2/4/2020 at 10:23 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Certainly possible. A lot of action to get through before we get to that wave. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Gfs has another system with frozen to rain next Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:27 PM, MD Snow said: Gfs has another system with frozen to rain next Wednesday night. It has shown it once a day for the past week and then the very next run is all rain and 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 So yeah, the sfc temps look a tad high along the i-95 corridor, but even if it's 34, that's a wet snow sounding with such a shallow layer of "warmth" at the ground. Add in the fact that the GFS has been running warm at the sfc in recent winter events here and the fact that it's at night, and I'll be very happy with what will be falling if we can get some decent precip. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:31 PM, Ji said: On 2/4/2020 at 10:27 PM, MD Snow said: Gfs has another system with frozen to rain next Wednesday night. Expand It has shown it once a day for the past week and then the very next run is all rain and 60 Expand Worth keeping an eye on. Could our fortunes be turning finally? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 I keep saying next week looks interesting. Can I get an amen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:31 PM, Ji said: On 2/4/2020 at 10:27 PM, MD Snow said: Gfs has another system with frozen to rain next Wednesday night. Expand It has shown it once a day for the past week and then the very next run is all rain and 60 Expand I think the 12z Euro had the entire region pushing/exceeding 70 next Wed. Even torched NE. Op runs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 They ruined the gfs. It was much more fun last year when it spit out 10 inches of snow a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:24 PM, Ji said: On 2/4/2020 at 10:21 PM, Bob Chill said: The gfs is doing an excellent job at keeping Ji from latching onto an unrealistic run and then hating his 3-6 sat night. I thought the gfs looked great. You can easily see how this can pop but you can't do that if you only look at surface panels... Expand Okay boss...so this is the real bob chill storm. Expand Not just no... helllz noes. I never want a storm named after me again. I didn't want it when it happened in 2012. It's the only gd shortwave I've seen in a month that has real promise at d5. My interest has more to do with withdrawal than potential. The temp issues can prob only be overcome if it winds up and stays south. Gfs runs surface lp to Pittsburgh. That's not going to work (and it didn't). Euro/eps like a track from KY thru Central VA. That works. If it's weak and lame then .2 - .3 qpf = 0-1" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:34 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I keep saying next week looks interesting. Can I get an amen?Euro shows 74 for you...amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:35 PM, Ji said: On 2/4/2020 at 10:34 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I keep saying next week looks interesting. Can I get an amen? Expand Euro shows 74 for you...amen Expand I only believe in the euro when it shows snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Hmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:55 PM, Ji said: Hmm Expand There's a chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 11:25 PM, jaydreb said: Expand Been a while since we had multiple panels to choose from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Been really busy. This weekend is starting to look like a very good chance. Basically the best way to make this pattern work...front clears then a nice virt pass timed up before the next ridge comes. These waves have a tendency to juice up a bit at the end too. 2.4” at DCA seems like a good idea to me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:27 PM, MD Snow said: Gfs has another system with frozen to rain next Wednesday night. Expand As long as these storms continue to run to our west our goose is cooked, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 11:36 PM, Wonderdog said: As long as these storms continue to run to our west our goose is cooked, unfortunately. Expand What does goose taste like? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 11:38 PM, psuhoffman said: What does goose taste like? Expand Chicken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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