CAPE Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Half inch here. Bust so far. LOL Flood watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 31 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Half inch here. Bust so far. LOL Flood watch. Noticed around lunch time the heavy stuff was 95 and well east. Not even a half inch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 18z Euro is the best run yet for tomorrow. Dusting to 2 inches from maybe 15 miles north of i70 on n+w Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Best 6 hr panel Euro dumps 1/2" of qpf in 3 hrs tomorrow morning over north central Md. A good bit of that with 850s around 0 or just below . Surface temps range from 34 -38 in these areas . A bit warm but with rates u never know. I can see Catoctins doing pretty well verbatim. I might have to drive the 3 miles to the top of route 77 to see whats going on tomorrow morning.My house is about 750 ft in elevation. Top of 77 is around 1200 ft. Theres been times over the years ive left thurmont and its raining, coming over the catoctins theres several inches then back to rain when I get into Smithsburg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Some folks are thinking about snow showers in northern MD tomorrow, and that is on the table, but I'm more interested in the "warm sector" along the I-95 corridor tomorrow morning ahead of the occluded front. A lot of guidance briefly puts this area into the low-mid 50's, and there should be a band of convection along the front. Some of the CAMs develop a little bit of instability, and it's really cold aloft with decent lapse rates, so while I'm not ready to call for thunder, I'm wondering if some places might get a burst of graupel or small hail. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 7, 2020 Author Share Posted February 7, 2020 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 930 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020 DCZ001-MDZ003-011-013-014-016>018-503-504-506-VAZ052>055-057-505- 506-WVZ051>053-071030- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0006.200207T1400Z-200207T2000Z/ District of Columbia-Washington-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Dahlgren, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 930 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, portions of central, north central, northern and southern Maryland, central and northern Virginia and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 3 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Barometer at 29.03" and crashing here this morning. Been quite a while since I have seen a reading that low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 7, 2020 Author Share Posted February 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Barometer at 29.03" and crashing here this morning. Been quite a while since I have seen a reading that low. Yeah we should drop below 29" of mercury briefly. 29.05" at IAD currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 8 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Barometer at 29.03" and crashing here this morning. Been quite a while since I have seen a reading that low. Gonna get windy. Dense fog here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 We do wind pretty well. Along with heat ofc. Rain total here (so far) is 1.05" Was a nice moderate soaker, but hardly worthy of a flood watch. Lower shore and S DE did get some heavier rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 7, 2020 Author Share Posted February 7, 2020 28.99" Hg at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 7, 2020 Author Share Posted February 7, 2020 Mesoscale Discussion 0105 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0556 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2020 Areas affected...northern VA...District of Columbia...central MD Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 071156Z - 071300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Strong to localized severe gusts (50-60 mph) are possible with a narrow, low-topped convective band rapidly moving across northern VA and the greater D.C. area during the 12z-1330z period. DISCUSSION...KLWX radar imagery shows an intensifying band of low-topped convection with a few lightning flashes with the deeper convection exhibiting 20kft echo tops. Surface analysis shows a surface low immediately northwest of D.C. developing to the east-northeast. A narrow plume of weakly buoyant air, with surface temperatures in the upper 50s and dewpoints in the upper 50s, is located downstream of the convective band over northern/eastern VA into MD. Objective analysis indicates around 250 J/kg SBCAPE with 40 kt effective shear. Given the strong, deep forcing for ascent co-located with weak instability, it is possible a few strong to locally severe gusts may accompany the bowing portions of the convective band. The damaging-gust threat appears too confined in space/time to warrant a severe thunderstorm watch. ..Smith/Edwards.. 02/07/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX... LAT...LON 39047766 39257701 39187648 38647665 38297716 37927819 39047766 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 That's a nice looking line to my west happy spring everyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 7, 2020 Author Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: That's a nice looking line to my west happy spring everyone There could be some strong gusts with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Temp was 43 when I went to bed. 57 when I woke up. Starting to get breezy out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 10 hours ago, high risk said: Some folks are thinking about snow showers in northern MD tomorrow, and that is on the table, but I'm more interested in the "warm sector" along the I-95 corridor tomorrow morning ahead of the occluded front. A lot of guidance briefly puts this area into the low-mid 50's, and there should be a band of convection along the front. Some of the CAMs develop a little bit of instability, and it's really cold aloft with decent lapse rates, so while I'm not ready to call for thunder, I'm wondering if some places might get a burst of graupel or small hail. Nice call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 The low clouds are really ripping today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 So I think there was just an EF-0 or 1 tornado in Leesburg right by my house. Huge winds and stuff went everywhere. 2 trees down and some siding etc of homes. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Southerly winds really picking up over the past hour. Avg is 21, gusting to 34, peak 44. Fog obliterated! EDIT: Just had a peak of 49.4. If it gets much stronger (out of the south), the weatherstripping under my front door will start "Kazoo-ing", a term my wife came up with. We rarely have wind gusts over 55-60 mph out of the south. Last time we heard it was in 2010 and before that Isabel! I need to replace the door and maybe this time if it toots that may be my cue to do just that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Phone alerts going off for Thunderstorm Warning just to my South. Crazy wind and rain right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 This hook went right over my house and was epic winds. Unbelievable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: This hook went right over my house and was epic winds. Unbelievable That is the section that is Warned. I am just to the North of it over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Tornado Warning just went up for MoCo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 I just got a Tornado warning buzz in Germantown... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Anxiously awaiting my 3” per hour snowfall rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, supernovasky said: I just got a Tornado warning buzz in Germantown... Storm is crossing right over 270. That will be a total mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 The little blob in North Potomac getting that kidney bean shape as well. Bit is a signature trying to pop on the SRM 0.5° angle too. Looks pretty good on the TBWI/TIAD as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 In the basement with my son as whatever circulation is gonna pass right over me. Really puts a wrench in my morning plans. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Starting to get damage reports in western Montgomery County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 1 minute ago, supernovasky said: In the basement with my son as whatever circulation is gonna pass right over me. Really puts a wrench in my morning plans. Stay safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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