40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: On computing power 3,456,876 turds per second now churned out- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NSwx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 I’m officially over this winter, cutters and 55F in February are just depressing lol.. You couldn’t find a speck of snow with a microscope in my area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Rain on Thursday is no bueno. My ski club might have to be postponed which sucks. Just wanted two note decent weather Thursdays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 I wanted to get out today and ski at Sundown, but it was a cloudy day this morning. The mountain faces West and doesn't get direct light for most of the day. The week ahead looks dismal for local skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: They aren’t though. Folks are just latching on to the scenarios they want and then get disappointed. Like I’m not going to say they are terrible because two runs of the GFS gave me 2 feet at day 5. You have to throw out the outliers. When was the last time the NYC suburbs saw a significant icestorm? You’d have to see 3 days of runs like that to even entertain that idea. All the models have been awful though, even the Euro has been bad with storms this winter. I do completely agree with you though to think of climo/setups when considering likely outcomes more than what models are spitting out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Back to the pity party. Carry on SNE’ers....but know you’re not doing yourselves proud. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: They aren’t though. Folks are just latching on to the scenarios they want and then get disappointed. Like I’m not going to say they are terrible because two runs of the GFS gave me 2 feet at day 5. You have to throw out the outliers. When was the last time the NYC suburbs saw a significant icestorm? You’d have to see 3 days of runs like that to even entertain that idea. 1953? 12z GFS changed a nice hit to muckymess all the way to Moosehead. D5 storms have been adept at slip-sliding away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 EPS word? I’m assuming it rained into Mained since there was no mention? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS word? I’m assuming it rained into Mained since there was no mention? Looked a bit further NW with the Friday wave than the EURO op. Got a mix just north of here then back to snow. Cut snowfall by about 1" everywhere in New England on the mean. Real nice follow up wave at Day 6-7 for SNE lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS word? I’m assuming it rained into Mained since there was no mention? Go to the other thread...Will posted the EPS look going forward. Not for your Ice storm though, but for afterward. No Ice for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Yeah ...this seasonal trend/persistent modeling correction behavior is really something... One aspect I'm noticing is that the ridge in the west ... or what ridging is west, is really more situated partially lapsed over the west coast/ E Pac in the means. That's too far west. Almost like a west-based +PNA, so the PNAP pattern over the U.S. is skewed out of sync just enough. The natural R wave length argument is actually west... so these east mid range modeling tendencies may be what's really wrong all along. If that's the case ..this is probably a 40 F winter. I've postulated that with fast flow, that does allow for some 'stretching' in the west-to-east coordinate, and that may be what the models are doing in the mid/extended range, but not sure. I'm not sure why it's right around 60 to 84 hours out ( or 96..etc), right abouts in there we get these corrections back NW. Thing is... one storm did to this to us in the relaxed period that lasted some 10 days earlier this month too - . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 31 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looked a bit further NW with the Friday wave than the EURO op. Got a mix just north of here then back to snow. Cut snowfall by about 1" everywhere in New England on the mean. Real nice follow up wave at Day 6-7 for SNE lol. When Will doesn’t comment, its generally bad news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: When Will doesn’t comment, its generally bad news First there was modelology. Now we have postology. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Kevin, why don’t you review guidance, make a forecast-and see how you do? 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: Kevin, why don’t you review guidance, make a forecast-and see how you do? I’m driving all day all over New England. Sorry to ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’m driving all day all over New England. Sorry to ask Yankees truck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Yankees truck? When I’m home in AM I can look.. but this job I’m appointment to appointment all day. I stay over if in Maine or VT. Company car . Still have truck too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m driving all day all over New England. Sorry to ask First Tip goes after the ‘fella, now you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Yankees truck? Look at the EPS , it’s getting there , we will know when it’s time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: When I’m home in AM I can look.. but this job I’m appointment to appointment all day. I stay over if in Maine or VT. Company car . Still have truck too Look at the plus-you see snow cover! I’ll jealous of my daughter in northern VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: Look at the plus-you see snow cover! I’ll jealous of my daughter in northern VT. This winter only in Maine. There was 6-8 in Portland north last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 GFS looks to continue to go in the wrong direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: GFS looks to continue to go in the wrong direction. Until Will posts about it, consider this a rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 60-72h RGEM cooled quite a bit from 12z. Prob the only colder trend I’ve seen all day...and it’s clown range RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: GFS looks to continue to go in the wrong direction. Yeah, mix right up to much of NNE. Gotta' get to PF and N to even see a few inches. Looks good for Caribou! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 GFS takes the SLP through Buffalo on a SW to NE trajectory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 northern resorts will still be alright, if the gfs is correct. No huge net losses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Can I root for the later starting of whatever will fall that the NAM has for Thursday morning please? Grandparents are taking their granddaughter (And her parents) to Disney and our flight leaves at 7:50 am out of Logan. Seems flights should be OK regardless of what falls, but I'd rather not deal with a slushy drive to KBOS at 5:30 am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 60-72h RGEM cooled quite a bit from 12z. Prob the only colder trend I’ve seen all day...and it’s clown range RGEM. How is the ICON, west too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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