KoalaBeer Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 1 hour ago, ma blizzard said: 18z NAM 3km shows cold tuck w/ sub 32 degree temps for a lot of E/C MA northwest of 128 overnight something to keep an eye on anyway 3K NAM has a 930mb low SE of the cape. Toss that model as far as you can for this event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It wouldn't shock me for thunder there. Mauled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duncanwxnh Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Guess I should add 3.9" total snow here. Pretty much just spitting -ZL since I got home around 3pm. Down here in Concord we are starting to ice up. Main roads still ok but the heavy mist we've had all day is adding up! Stay safe tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: With another 1.5 to 2 qpf for Stowe on 18z models. Heavy heavy It’ll be interesting for sure. Whatever happens, the models are all showing 1.0+” QPF in 12-hrs tomorrow. Scalping sleet followed by pounding snow? I’m not sure I remember the models so adamant for days on an axis of ridiculous precip. 12-hour QPF...not storm total to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It’ll be interesting for sure. Whatever happens, the models are all showing 1.0+” QPF in 12-hrs tomorrow. Scalping sleet followed by pounding snow? I’m not sure I remember the models so adamant for days on an axis of ridiculous precip. 12-hour QPF...not storm total to go. There is tremendous forcing. 60kts of mid level flow converging and deforming over your fanny. That looks like sleet (maybe very heavy UP for a time) going to a blizzard with falling temps. Wish we were there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: 3K NAM has a 930mb low SE of the cape. Toss that model as far as you can for this event... The difference between the NAM3km and the NAM12km/32km at 500hPa is pretty extreme. By now, you'd expect some consistency or at least a realistic simulation (from the NAM3km). I definitely agree with you... Toss the NAM3km. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Scott, this will be the one time I look forward to Stowe lot pics. It could be wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Still can’t break 50” here. Just need a tenth. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Secure loose objects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 I only referred to the 3km NAM run regarding low level temps overnight. Not w/e it does when it goes crazy with convection tmrw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 45 minutes ago, dendrite said: Low standards there. Just like Electric Blue. You been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 53 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I actually remember you posting about that event. Hopefully you grab some ice tonight too. Big NW winds after the ice that night took down a few . There was about .4 -.5 ice. Our hilltop is good for a few micro climate ice events a year. This ones perfect example . No ice under 800 feet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Since we (sne) can't do most winter wx right this season...snow, ice, rain/flooding...maybe we can maximize our wind damage? Friday looks like a pretty damaging day, esp. SE. I created this so the chat/obs wouldn't get lost in a sea of NNE snow prance, maple syrup tap, snowmobiling posts I doubt they will make it up to SNH? Maybe advisory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 21 minutes ago, MegaMike said: The difference between the NAM3km and the NAM12km/32km at 500hPa is pretty extreme. By now, you'd expect some consistency or at least a realistic simulation (from the NAM3km). I definitely agree with you... Toss the NAM3km. Yup. I've only been looking at the 12k for this system since yesterday for the NAM products. This thread from Jack Sillin yesterday is a good read on how the 3K is handling this system erroneously. GA and SC getting hammered right now as well, those are some FFW covering huge areas tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 10 minutes ago, 512high said: I doubt they will make it up to SNH? Maybe advisory? Less chance SNH reaches advisory criteria. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kcrosby Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Damn. We went from majority snow forecast (8”+) to now all slop with minor accumulations in newry Maine. Hopefully cold air sucks in quicker than modeled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Looks like 3.25" will do it. Not expecting much tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Awesome, 34° with steady light rain! I might be hallucinating but I swear there are sleet pellets mixed in. Sort of rooting against the cold tuck at this point because I would rather not have this mess freeze overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Looks like some cold drain has commenced in NE MA and S NH. ASH and MHT have dropped the past hour and the mesonets are dropping pretty quickly around there too. We’ll have to see how much push that has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 35.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 I miss the old PD Family mesonet site 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 31.1F here. Exciting stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 They already cancelled school here for tomorrow, That's a first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 26.9F (High for the day) Light snow grains and freezing drizzle. Just went outside and everything is coated with a thin layer of ice. Don't know how tomorrow will play out. I expect freezing rain transitioning to snow. Evergreens already have snow on them from last nights 3.75" so I assume freezing rain mixing in with the snow will add to load. Then to finish it off with a few inches of snow and wind will make for an interesting evening. I got extra gas for the generator and heat by wood so I should be all set. Maybe this will not be a big deal but its not too often a 970mb low passes close by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 31.3 Mailbox has a thin film of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I miss the old PD Family mesonet site Me, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 inches here , 23 degrees snizzle all day and glazed windows for all We watch the radar and wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 At least it looks wintry here...snow didn't melt 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Went from a high of 24.8 today down to 23.9°F..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Always cool to look at flightradar24 in setups like these. Some impressive jet speeds. This Lufthansa is cruising northeast at 750 mph. In bound flights are about half that around 320-350. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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