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February 5-7 Wintry Mess Potential


weatherwiz
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8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It's two different waves people were talking about....the Thursday wave was further north, but Friday came south some.

Obviously the one sne had a shot with came north, and the one that has no chance came south....lets get in the fitting room to take measurements for the life-sized dildo suite. 

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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Back in it up here.  

Good trend.

5286644E-28F2-4C43-B27F-E73AD3EAADC0.thumb.png.93a5aae422a62d2448cb076bbb6097d5.png

Lot of confusion which i knew would happen on this having multiple waves over a couple days, Looks like Snow, Ice, Rain then back to snow here on the Euro, It has been looking that way of varying degrees just in the last 24 hrs that i started following this.

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3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

And the CMC has a significant icestorm even down to the immediate Northern burbs of NYC, models are so awful this winter.

They aren’t though.  Folks are just latching on to the scenarios they want and then get disappointed.  

Like I’m not going to say they are terrible because two runs of the GFS gave me 2 feet at day 5.  You have to throw out the outliers.  

When was the last time the NYC suburbs saw a significant icestorm?  You’d have to see 3 days of runs like that to even entertain that idea.

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4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

They aren’t though.  Folks are just latching on to the scenarios they want and then get disappointed.  

Like I’m not going to say they are terrible because two runs of the GFS gave me 2 feet at day 5.  You have to throw out the outliers.  

This. Thank you. Thank you very much for saying this.

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