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February 5-7 Wintry Mess Potential


weatherwiz
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12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s the NAM

Its mind boggling how long you've been on these forums but don't actually look at the models.

The NAM has about a tenth of an inch of ZR for you and mostly rain ending as a period of snow.

It has 0.5-0.8" freezing rain for ORH northward.

nam-218-all-neng-instant_ptype-1087600.thumb.png.0ce989fdf1b903f3211aca49de13e616.png

 

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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

At night it would be if there’s enough qpf. That whole severe DS off ORH hills is for the valley. I’m not SW of Wachusett . I’m at 1k SW of ORH at 1k. Never understood that other than it’s trolling to some degree 

Good luck.  You’ll need it.  A good ice storm usually needs the surface a bit colder than 31-32.

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1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said:

Fwiw Harvey seems even less impressed with this setup then he did yesterday.  Talk of brief snow on the coast before rain.  Thinks the winds at the coast change us form snow to rain without sleet.

Nothing worth noting on the coast. That has not changed. 

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

According to Freak it’s mainly rain, so I guess I don’t have clue of climatology in my area and will defer to him

I don't know why you do this.  Your views and personal expectations for the storm are your own and fine... but don't try to pass it off as if a specific model shows it.  If you are going to say "this is what the NAM shows..." then hopefully that model actually shows it.

Hopefully one of these runs crushes your area with ice.  I'm rooting for you.

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