Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m don’t care about snow. I care about surface temps and ice. South of 90 ain’t getting snow Well you'll need ~5F lower on the Euro to make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m don’t care about snow. I care about surface temps and ice. South of 90 ain’t getting snow Listen... As cool as it sounds, it can be crippling to many people. To wish for and need it to be an Ice Storm is immature and irresponsible. Maybe after a bunch of trees and limbs falls onto your home....forcing you to move out because its beyond repair might make you feel differently. A light to moderate ice storm could be manageable ...but crippling.... Stupid. Keep it away from me please. 1 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I mean look at this damming nose in the GEPs ! Euro ensembles are similar...only question left is does it trend back warmer? Because I agree if it doesn't and plays out like that, then it's probably some serious levels of icing that hasn't been seen since 2008. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro ensembles are similar...only question left is does it trend back warmer? Because I agree if it doesn't and plays out like that, then it's probably some serious levels of icing that hasn't been seen since 2008. If it does play out just like 2008, then Kev will need a straight jacket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If it does play out just like 2008, then Kev will need a straight jacket. Why? That’s Siggy ice to HFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 The GEFS are not even close to the OP. Good reason to toss the OP. OP GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If it does play out just like 2008, then Kev will need a straight jacket. Lol...yeah he would. There's reasons to believe this would be less than 2008, even if that look verified. QPF has generally been a bit lower and the high isn't initially in as good a spot as 2008...so I wonder if we get too much latent heating before the drain can really get going. The antecedent airmass is better than 2008 though, so that could easily offset it and "buy some time" before the drain really kicks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If it does play out just like 2008, then Kev will need a straight jacket. He’d have the AC window units installed by Saturday evening. Just completely done with winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If it does play out just like 2008, then Kev will need a straight jacket. Well than that's what we're collectively targeting ... great. Consensus leader board - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The GEFS are not even close to the OP. Good reason to toss the OP. OP GEFS Lol - don't forget the other reason, it's the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol...yeah he would. There's reasons to believe this would be less than 2008, even if that look verified. QPF has generally been a bit lower and the high isn't initially in as good a spot as 2008...so I wonder if we get too much latent heating before the drain can really get going. The antecedent airmass is better than 2008 though, so that could easily offset it and "buy some time" before the drain really kicks in. So are you saying nothing NE CT hills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: So are you saying nothing NE CT hills? Even with so called adjustments you'd be hard pressed to get much ice. You need to be closer to source region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I’m always skeptical of those ice maps. knock them down by 40-60% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If it does play out just like 2008, then Kev will need a straight jacket. The best imaginable solution would be to have 2" of accretion stop at his grid trunk, and it just be 32.1 liquid over the powerlines from his region S.. Oh, said trunk ends across the street. And, in the middle of battery acid in the belly envy he hasn't experienced since his soul mate went down on his greatest enemy, his boss calls him demanding he turn in that sale report at that job he hates... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m always skeptical of those ice maps. knock them down by 40-60% You had better hope lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You had better hope lol If the signal is there tomorrow morning I will panic...but for now, we abide. Similar numbers were being spit out in those earlier events. I don't think they came to fruition anywhere near those numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shanemacdonald23 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Anybody got the ice maps for further east nova Scotia? Euro looks like ice storm.. gfs rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: If the signal is there tomorrow morning I will panic...but for now, we abide. Similar numbers were being spit out in those earlier events. I don't think they came to fruition anywhere near those numbers Yea, I wouldn't be too worried yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So are you saying nothing NE CT hills? Youll def get some on Thursday morning after the snow/sleet thump....but the question is after that when the heavy stuff hits late Thu night and early Friday....you need an earlier drain for that I think otherwise its 34F rain. It's possible, but right now it would probably be like ORH over to 495 belt/Tip's region and up toward ASH. That could def change though wither another tick flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Lol - don't forget the other reason, it's the GGEM GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Youll def get some on Thursday morning after the snow/sleet thump....but the question is after that when the heavy stuff hits late Thu night and early Friday....you need an earlier drain for that I think otherwise its 34F rain. It's possible, but right now it would probably be like ORH over to 495 belt/Tip's region and up toward ASH. That could def change though wither another tick flatter. I think I'm okay right now, but one more tic and I'm porked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I'm wicked smaht Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: GFS OH ha...Freudian interpretation on that one - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Glad no icing concerns down this way. I’ll enjoy me power and heat. We can handle the rain, we’ve seen plenty of it this “winter”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 52 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I have a friend going to Fryeburg Maine this weekend and she’s very concerned with this news She should be if she's traveling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: OH ha...Freudian interpretation on that one - Not that it matters, they are both in the same shitty class, ha. But those Ensembles were much flatter than the OP, so that’s a good sign for colder/south appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Not that it matters, they are both in the same shitty class, ha. But those Ensembles were much flatter than the OP, so that’s a good sign for colder/south appeal. I'm actually a little surprised by this SE adjusting stuff... This is pretty much the opposite of the seasonal trend to go the other direction, having done so in this same time range when said trend has usually playout and left every hold a big bag-o wtf -. fascinating - not sure if it's time to bite, tho. In fact, my advice would be to chalk this up as some decent modeling cinema, only ...for now, and be grateful for it, because if we didn't have this our beloved weather hobby would be about as uninspired as gay unic at lesbian convention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Will the ice with this be more in the elevations as it was in 2008? That was our first year in Greenfield and I had no problem with getting 33° rain while to Hilltowns lost power for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm actually a little surprised by this SE adjusting stuff... This is pretty much the opposite of the seasonal trend to go the other direction, having done so in this same time range. fascinating - not sure if it's time to bite, tho. In fact, my advice would be to chalk this up as some decent modeling cinema and be grateful for it, because if we didn't have this our beloved weather hobby would be about as uninspired as gay unic at lesbian convention. I have mentioned that a tic was possible due to your gradient...that said, the ice mongers can't afford to give any of said trend back- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: She should be if she's traveling. Looks like she’ll already be up there before it starts. Getting home could be interesting though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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