CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That's the flattest run I've seen in a while from any model. Doesn't get the primary west of the apps once north of TN/KY. And juicy with the front end. GFS is really meager with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: And juicy with the front end. GFS is really meager with that. Foreign models have liked the front end thump....American models hate it...NAM was meager too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Don't sweat the Garbage Forecasting System.. Don't you mean the F*****g Volatility 3 Garbage Forecasting System? Seriously though...this has gotten a little more interesting this morning as said previously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You know ..it's interesting, because this tendency to correct NW turning the page from mid range into short terms seems to be failing on this cycle ...which could arguably have zygote heredity in those 18z peripheral model types from late yesterday. We'll see... We're almost at a proper 'put up or shut up' scorched Earth mode tho - one of these suckers needs to work out... This is just taking mid-range verification to the wood shed this year. wow. It still could correct a tad, and I'm not holding out much hope here, but it would be nice if more of the board other than the picnic tables in nr VT to Moose dropping, Maine...could get in on some action. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Foreign models have liked the front end thump....American models hate it...NAM was meager too. And it's weird because the 3K NAM is juicy with that. It has nice WAA on the 12K NAM, but as you said...not too much precip with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: The trough looks to be a little more east as well as it seems were getting a cold push SE out of Canada. 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I didn't see this mentioned, apologies if someone did, but the piece of the TPV (tropospheric polar vortex) is definitely pressing more into the area north of the Great Lakes. It appears that is helping to ever so flatten the flow a bit and force the second wave a tad SE. Ah huh. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ah huh. I saw cold push, but not sure what you meant. I was looking more beyond the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I saw cold push, but not sure what you meant. I was looking more beyond the surface. Just simplified it, Seeing we use push and pull....lol, I was looking at H5 and you can see the last few runs that the PV over the GL is pressing further ESE and forcing these more east solutions a few tics at a time on both thurs and fri, Really the trends you want to see but we've been kicked in the tea bag so many times so far this winter, Don't want to get to far ahead of ourselves here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z Ukie still remains to be the coldest model as it has for several runs now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Any chance of a front ender down here with these ticks? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Any chance of a front ender down here with these ticks? I feel like most guidance is 1-3 there. GFS and NAM the weakest. Chance it could be more if we had a bigger thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Man what a shellacking from that Canadian guidance. Best run yet from the ski areas here over towards Sugarloaf area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Man what a shellacking from that Canadian guidance. Best run yet from the ski areas here over towards Sugarloaf area. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Not happening James. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Checking in again from SENY, 30 miles north of 84...I am interested in these ticks but here we will probably just be South enough to have the thump to rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: You know ..it's interesting, because this tendency to correct NW turning the page from mid range into short terms seems to be failing on this cycle ...which could arguably have zygote heredity in those 18z peripheral model types from late yesterday. We'll see... We're almost at a proper 'put up or shut up' scorched Earth mode tho - one of these suckers needs to work out... This is just taking mid-range verification to the wood shed this year. wow. There was no NW correction on Saturdays snows.....I mean whiff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I feel like most guidance is 1-3 there. GFS and NAM the weakest. Chance it could be more if we had a bigger thump. Sweet.... so should be a mess wash away by rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 euro looks a hair cooler for wave#1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 euro looks weaker and meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 looks like it ticked colder for the Friday also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: looks like it ticked colder for the Friday also Yeah looks like it. That looks like a disaster for southern New Hampshire and interior northern mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah looks like it. That looks like a disaster for southern New Hampshire and interior northern mass. yeap, I torch but man, from Ray north looks wintry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah looks like it. That looks like a disaster for southern New Hampshire and interior northern mass. Hope I'm too far east for the grid failures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah looks like it. That looks like a disaster for southern New Hampshire and interior northern mass. looks good to me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 It looked colder to me, I don't see where its weaker at all unless you consider 978mb as weak........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 flip back to snow for everyone friday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 In a flip to snow at the end too. Could be quite nasty as it ends in most areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 That's low end warning on the Euro CNE/NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 that was/is a good run for most weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: It looked colder to me, I don't see where its weaker at all unless you consider 978mb as weak........... yeah, most of MA/CT has over 2" of liquid.. not so weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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