Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rip em down Sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: hmm.. is this back from the dead? Don’t do it. Don’t do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Ya ..definitely a sleet sounding there (@ Ginxy) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Big big ice 90 south When was the last time that "big ice" south of Route 2 verified? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, ariof said: When was the last time that "big ice" south of Route 2 verified? Not 2008 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Sleet Nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Nah Of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya ..definitely a sleet sounding there (@ Ginxy) Getting colder. Good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, ariof said: When was the last time that "big ice" south of Route 2 verified? And it's not gonna this time either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: And it's not gonna this time either. You love to crush the good rev's dreams lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You love to crush the good rev's dreams lol Dreams and Wishes have no place in a Weather forum lol. It was more sleet anyway as Ginxy said..which is a better look cuz it's colder than an Ice look verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, ariof said: When was the last time that "big ice" south of Route 2 verified? Several times this winter. 2 ice storms. Next question 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a nice s/w tightening up. Actually almost two of them, for Friday. I kind of like seeing that. It’s not doing it further west on the nam, which is good. Not to jolt hopes with insinuation ... but, usually the NAM is too far NW - telling? ...haha, considering the NAM's the story teller, notwithstanding - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Nice snow thump on RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Watch Friday keep trending south, to the point it ends out to sea.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice snow thump on RGEM Good one actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z GFS a couple ticks colder and south with wave 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Good one actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 There's evidence in that 12Z ICON solution of hydrostatic forcing - i.e., 'mid level magic. Helluva burst of snow for N-central Mass/ southern VT/NH ..western zones though brief 78-84 hrs, but deep-ish sfc pressure carving through the PVD corridor while that happens, in total these are adjustments/new comparing prior runs. I'm noticing that the last three cycles of the NAM and this model all ticked SE by small measures. These guidance types are of course low in confidence at this range, however, - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Did Reggie just give the middle finger to NE MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 GFS has a 980mb low over IZG................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: GFS has a 980mb low over IZG................. Cooler than 0Z down here, but still looks out to lunch with that depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Cooler than 0Z down here, but still looks out to lunch with that depiction. It was better for thurs, Looked about the same for friday's warm and west, The other models have the meso in the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 GFS has been so mild that it actually did tick a tad cooler w meso low and a tad SE with Friday MSLP but still NW outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Yeah..I mentioned this above wrt to the whimsy ICON ... but I suspect there is an emergent problem with the models in their handling such extraordinarily powerful mid level jet mechanics racing in pithy mass from the TV to SE of the Cape and NS ..That region is hosting wide, long 120+ to 145 kt wind max and the places the entire region from WV to EEN, NH in a precarious kind of frontogenic look for one...but it seems there is a giant ..though capped potential for Q-G forcing ..which in lay terms translates to upper vertical motion. It's almost like there is a tendency for leak and when that does the lift goes nuts ( metaphor ) Some of that may be collocated with a surface reflection/low and that might cause a faux depth ... The ICON has a 983 mb low over PVD out of no-where, when the previous panel just 6 hours earlier was much shallower in an interverted... Now the GFS. The Euro is going to be fascinating I feel because this is a unique challenge for it's smoothing algorithms, where it cuts down on noise effecting outcomes and so forth. YOu know plus as Scott was saying ... and we discussed yesterday, this is a now-cast nightmare because while all that is taking place above 3K elevation... this region down here has it's own cold loading headaches and uncertainties to contend with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z GEM colder too compared to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I didn't see this mentioned, apologies if someone did, but the piece of the TPV (tropospheric polar vortex) is definitely pressing more into the area north of the Great Lakes. It appears that is helping to ever so flatten the flow a bit and force the second wave a tad SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 12z GEM colder too compared to 00z. That's the flattest run I've seen in a while from any model. Doesn't get the primary west of the apps once north of TN/KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 12z GEM colder too compared to 00z. You know ..it's interesting, because this tendency to correct NW turning the page from mid range into short terms seems to be failing on this cycle ...which could arguably have zygote heredity in those 18z peripheral model types from late yesterday. We'll see... We're almost at a proper 'put up or shut up' scorched Earth mode tho - one of these suckers needs to work out... This is just taking mid-range verification to the wood shed this year. wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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