weatherwiz Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 There is growing consensus in the medium range for a long-duration winter weather event to impact at least a portion of New England. A rather significant trough is expected to dig into the western U.S. over the weekend and continue to amplify as it progresses through the central states. The response will be a strong ridge in the east. There are uncertainties, however, regarding the structure of the ridge across the Northeast as there are indications this will flatten out some. This is key as the trough and associated cold front approach the stage may be set for a long-duration overrunning event across New England; including the potential for a significant icing event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Great, next week is now doomed. Joking aside, sinking boundary probably bodes well for those N of KCON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: Great, next week is now doomed. Joking aside, sinking boundary probably bodes well for those N of KCON. I wouldn't rule out a nasty, abysmal mess for us, esp. inland. Hopefully it is mostly ice here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 A storm thread already? Significant icing at 168hr? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: A storm thread already? Significant icing at 168hr? Its unreal to start a thread but reality is you probably have wx issues 120 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Thread for 60 degree temps masked as winter 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 This thread seems buried. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 It’s like folks are afraid to post in here because they may jinx the threat. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This thread seems buried. Lol Yup, that’s what it is. It needs to be pinned if you want folks to find and post in it..simple as that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 Mods need to pin it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 2, 2020 Share Posted February 2, 2020 #freeleo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Pin pin pin pin pin this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Lol at the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Lol at the NAM Chilly. CAD signature into VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Chilly. CAD signature into VA. Interesting but tough to buy. Just clouds for NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 8 hours ago, MaineJayhawk said: #freeleo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Got to love tracking rain storms eh.But do not worry when Seattle out does Boston this winter we all know what will happen. But perhaps next winter we get a strong ridge over the west and a trough over the east; or perhaps during a La Nina giving the areas that normally get warm some cold and the cold where it is supposed to be warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Why was a storm thread started a week out? Can someone weenie an entire thread? JC--what a sorry ass winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Wiz wants this NW so we warm sector w convection. May work out . Today will give a lot of info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Blizz wants this NW so we warm sector w convection. May work out . Today will give a lot of info. Blizz or wiz? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 I expect this one to be just like most of the others that's involved frozen, Kitchen sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 22 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Blizz or wiz? Is that like sh** or get off the pot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 12z Nam looks like snow to start to ice on thurs up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, HimoorWx said: Is that like sh** or get off the pot? Lol, it’s two different posters. Wiz is weatherwiz and blizz is DamageinTolland (formerly CTBlizz) wiz is the convection guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Definitely meant Wizzy nam seems it was colder solution before and slowly ticking milder but I’m not coherent enuf to see what extended nam would look like for Friday pm/Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Definitely meant Wizzy nam seems it was colder solution before and slowly ticking milder but I’m not coherent enuf to see what extended nam would look like for Friday pm/Saturday Nam gives us little if any frozen down here, after it was the coldest solution last night....I assume there is nothing to keep this from blasting into Maine at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 This may turn into a now cast nightmare ... That Thursday evening tries to peel away the first wave and associated plausible meso cellular circulation and that might draw a tuck circulation down, setting up icing for the next - and that's the sort of discrete scenario that is under 3K feet and probably not well modeled by any guidance at this range frankly - I mean, this could also just be like four waves across 2-days of light to moderate snow/mix ice and/or cold rain ... dart board transition axis anyway. Good luck nailing down your zones - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 On SV, The 12z ICON is quite the snow producer up here, But pretty limited at what you can look at and i find it rather bullish and quite generous at times with that algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 20 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This may turn into a now cast nightmare ... That Thursday evening tries to peel away the first wave and associated plausible meso cellular circulation and that might draw a tuck circulation down, setting up icing for the next - and that's the sort of discrete scenario that is under 3K feet and probably not well modeled by any guidance at this range frankly - I mean, this could also just be like four waves across 2-days of light to moderate snow/mix ice and/or cold rain ... dart board transition axis anyway. Good luck nailing down your zones - Yeah the mesolow aspect of this may not be figured out for a quite a while. IT's so fickle but it would have huge consequences for snesible wx....you get a little cold tuck behind the nose of the mesolow going off Boston and into gulf of Maine and all of the sudden you aren't going to be latently warming...keep that in place for round 2 (which looks like it could be a big QPF producer) and you have legit ice storm concerns. My guess is that stuff will become clearer in the next 24-36 hours....either it will be obvious we don't have the setup for a replenishing dewpoint drain...so we see a slow rise to 33F rain, or this thing shows its hand on being a colder scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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