Voyager Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 29 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Voyager mentioned this the other day but we are having an occasional flake mix in now but about 800 feet up it is mostly snow per this pic. That's so cool to see. Like I said in my post, I'd never seen it before. I just happened to be outside at the right moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ji said: I was at nemacolin this weekend. This lasted 17 seconds That's a major win this season. Some fun white water rafting out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Light rain and sleet now. Temp down to 41. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Well if all else fails I can say I managed to get something on the ground out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Well if all else fails I can say I managed to get something on the ground out of this. Put it in the books. The Valentines Day snow storm of 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2020 Author Share Posted February 12, 2020 22 minutes ago, Ji said: I was at nemacolin this weekend. This lasted 17 seconds Beautiful country...little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2020 Author Share Posted February 12, 2020 52 minutes ago, pawatch said: I have around 11" of snow this season. It all adds up...but....1" of paste gets old. Snow turning over to rain once a week. Wow! I thought you were doing better than that. You're 1.5" ahead of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 The ground is whitened here... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Light to moderate snow, 0.4" on the non paved stuff. 34ºF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Sleet & rain mix currently here in Marysville. The EPS looks improved as we head into the last 10 days of February. The MJO on the Euro looks to head into the COD towards phase 8. The EPS is also showing the stubborn southeast ridge getting booted out as well beginning later next week. Hopefully we all get back in the snow game soon & salvage a decent last 6 weeks of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Some intermittent pingers in Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Nice big old dry slot over CPA at the moment it seems... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Let me play you the song of winter 2019/2020, Rain and Pingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 29 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Let me play you the song of winter 2019/2020, Rain and Pingers. What are your thoughts on the winter “song” changing towards later next week into late February ? The MJO & ensembles seem to be leaning towards a change, hopefully it will be music to our ears...! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 4 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: What are your thoughts on the winter “song” changing towards later next week into late February ? The MJO & ensembles seem to be leaning towards a change, hopefully it will be music to our ears...! We gotta neutralize the +AO regime up north. Until we see improvement up there I'm going to maintain the opinion of seeing the status quo of us being at a disadvantage when it comes to the storm track and any kind of cold regime that sticks. We were working the back end of a -EPO on the lead up to tonight's system and that influential teleconnection just isn't enough to counter the SE ridge via the +AO/+NAO/-PNA and Phase 5-6 MJO forcing. We wouldn't have had a perfect winter storm by any means with the track tonight's low is taking, but we likely would have seen a decent event with just a typical CAD setup, and a strong enough high to the north may have forced the low to try to reform on the coast. At any rate, we have the EPO swinging positive now, which will cut off the cold air which was trying to push for a change. Thus, we will have a pretty significant but very short lived shot of arctic cold behind this current system on Friday. Models do try to neutralize the EPO at least for a period of time near the 18th or so, but we maintain solid +AO/NAO. What the 0z Euro op has in the D8-10 range tonight with the AO is insane. It basically left the chart which goes up to +7. The other op and ensemble guidance (don't have 0z Euro ensemble yet) isn't that extreme but still has a spike in the index that is quite anomalous in that timeframe. You can't maintain a cold push to our latitude with such low heights over the polar region. We have to break this regime to have a shot at anything more than some kind of crazy fluke event down the stretch. Which if I'm being honest, the 0z Euro is kind of showing such a thing in that same D8-10 timeframe with an undercutting 500mb low and coastal storm with just barely enough cold available to actually snow in the piedmont region (pretty tight precip area). That can definitely happen there or more easily, here... but I'm talking the big picture in terms of the overall weather pattern. I'm inclined to think things break down eventually over the pole. It has to at some point , but the big question of course being does it happen in time to do anything other than make a really cold and unsettled first half of spring. Also keep in mind as we get into March that MJO influence changes. Phase 2 and 3 are best correlated to cold in our section of the country in the FMA period. We're too early in the month yet I think to consider that 3 month set.. as i'd probably be using JFM yet until the end of the month. 2 and 3 are still colder leaning JFM, but correlation isn't as strong. If we can set up and start an 8-1-2-3 type pulse by the end of the month, that could be a good thing.. or at least a start. Again, I think the key to our end game is going to be whether or not we neutralize or reverse the dominant +NAO/+AO regime. It's been the big constant since we've kicked the new year off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 5 hours ago, MAG5035 said: We gotta neutralize the +AO regime up north. Until we see improvement up there I'm going to maintain the opinion of seeing the status quo of us being at a disadvantage when it comes to the storm track and any kind of cold regime that sticks. We were working the back end of a -EPO on the lead up to tonight's system and that influential teleconnection just isn't enough to counter the SE ridge via the +AO/+NAO/-PNA and Phase 5-6 MJO forcing. We wouldn't have had a perfect winter storm by any means with the track tonight's low is taking, but we likely would have seen a decent event with just a typical CAD setup, and a strong enough high to the north may have forced the low to try to reform on the coast. At any rate, we have the EPO swinging positive now, which will cut off the cold air which was trying to push for a change. Thus, we will have a pretty significant but very short lived shot of arctic cold behind this current system on Friday. Models do try to neutralize the EPO at least for a period of time near the 18th or so, but we maintain solid +AO/NAO. What the 0z Euro op has in the D8-10 range tonight with the AO is insane. It basically left the chart which goes up to +7. The other op and ensemble guidance (don't have 0z Euro ensemble yet) isn't that extreme but still has a spike in the index that is quite anomalous in that timeframe. You can't maintain a cold push to our latitude with such low heights over the polar region. We have to break this regime to have a shot at anything more than some kind of crazy fluke event down the stretch. Which if I'm being honest, the 0z Euro is kind of showing such a thing in that same D8-10 timeframe with an undercutting 500mb low and coastal storm with just barely enough cold available to actually snow in the piedmont region (pretty tight precip area). That can definitely happen there or more easily, here... but I'm talking the big picture in terms of the overall weather pattern. I'm inclined to think things break down eventually over the pole. It has to at some point , but the big question of course being does it happen in time to do anything other than make a really cold and unsettled first half of spring. Also keep in mind as we get into March that MJO influence changes. Phase 2 and 3 are best correlated to cold in our section of the country in the FMA period. We're too early in the month yet I think to consider that 3 month set.. as i'd probably be using JFM yet until the end of the month. 2 and 3 are still colder leaning JFM, but correlation isn't as strong. If we can set up and start an 8-1-2-3 type pulse by the end of the month, that could be a good thing.. or at least a start. Again, I think the key to our end game is going to be whether or not we neutralize or reverse the dominant +NAO/+AO regime. It's been the big constant since we've kicked the new year off. Great read Mag. Thx as always for the insight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 So much for the rain being out of here early this morning. Yet another dreary day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Silver maples already doing their thing....on February 13th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 hour ago, anotherman said: Silver maples already doing their thing....on February 13th. Cannot blame the plants and trees. Tomorrow will be the first day it does not get to 35 at MDT since January 21st. 23 consecutive days of 35 or higher of which 21 of them were 40 or higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Cannot blame the plants and trees. Tomorrow will be the first day it does not get to 35 at MDT since January 21st. 23 consecutive days of 35 or higher of which 21 of them were 40 or higher. Insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 All this gray and wet is starting to **** with my mental state. I don't care if it's 5 degrees of 500 degrees. I need to see the sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 Just now, Atomixwx said: All this gray and wet is starting to **** with my mental state. I don't care if it's 5 degrees of 500 degrees. I need to see the sun. It just won't stop raining. More rain is moving up out of Maryland now. I freely admit I was wrong about today's weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 50 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: It just won't stop raining. More rain is moving up out of Maryland now. I freely admit I was wrong about today's weather. Don't worry, any precip will vanish right before the cold air arrives. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Pedro's Weather Report Chili today, Blizzard Next Week. You never sausage a snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Pedro's Weather Report Chili today, Blizzard Next Week. You never sausage a snow map. I've driven to Florida many, many times and I still smile passing some of those signs. Not nearly as many as there were 30 years ago, but then again I haven't seen more than 4 cars in the parking lot for the past 29 years. One of my favorites is "You never sausage a place" It doesn't take much to amuse me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13, 2020 Author Share Posted February 13, 2020 In all seriousness though, Columbia SC is due for a blizzard. Might as well get it during this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I've driven to Florida many, many times and I still smile passing some of those signs. Not nearly as many as there were 30 years ago, but then again I haven't seen more than 4 cars in the parking lot for the past 29 years. One of my favorites is "You never sausage a place" It doesn't take much to amuse me. Good memories for a lot of us. I stopped there a few years ago. Would never dare risk staying over night though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 I am wondering if we live in Seattle right now, thank goodness I go to SF on Sunday. Forecast there is sunny all week. I get to see the SUN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I've driven to Florida many, many times and I still smile passing some of those signs. Not nearly as many as there were 30 years ago, but then again I haven't seen more than 4 cars in the parking lot for the past 29 years. One of my favorites is "You never sausage a place" It doesn't take much to amuse me. As kids my parents had a time share in MB....we use to always wait to see the first Pedro sign and then look for every one of them. Kept us entertained for the long drive! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 I was hoping to reach 2,000 posts this year I could spam the board LOL to get there but I will wait until 2021. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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