Snowstorms Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 7 hours ago, snowstormcanuck said: That EURO snowfall accum map posted on the other page looked pretty decent, even though it cutoff just to our west. ICON also a nice hit and it handled last weekend's storm perfectly. Notwithstanding today's trends, I think a warm/wet solution is not inconceivable. Fair point. I wasn't following along with ICON's performance of late. Tonight's models are all over the place. Still no consistency. Any early thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Just a brief look at the 00z UKMET shows it’s in the farther NW camp with most of the other 00z guidance. This run did shift a little north compared to its 12z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 A complete miss southeast is possible, but I'm gonna ride my 1-3" call even if it goes down in flames 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 hour ago, RogueWaves said: Top 1/2" will cool down ofc. Going off somebody's post from down that way saying he has 49F soil temps currently. Not like it's going down below zero prior to the incoming snow. where was that at? Cincinnati?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 NAM seems like an outlier in how it handles the 5th-6th. I don't dare get excited yet though at the possibility of like 3-5"... not with how this winter has gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 New Euro is a dog turd duster for the DVN cwa, but a nice hit from Hoosier up towards Detroit/YYZ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 36 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: New Euro is a dog turd duster for the DVN cwa, but a nice hit from Hoosier up towards Detroit/YYZ. Euro Kuchera maps for reference. Some consensus in all the non-NAM models. Still don’t feel confident at all in how this will evolve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Our desperation is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 7 hours ago, RogueWaves said: Top 1/2" will cool down ofc. Going off somebody's post from down that way saying he has 49F soil temps currently. Not like it's going down below zero prior to the incoming snow. Not sure how that's even possible this far north, we literally had one day of 50゚ weather. Before that the entire "torch" was sunless thick overcast and 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Quite the spread in gefs but all have something and quite a few jumped nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 7 hours ago, Snowstorms said: Fair point. I wasn't following along with ICON's performance of late. Tonight's models are all over the place. Still no consistency. Any early thoughts? Not really. I'll say a warmer/mixed-bag solution not off the table, despite what the models are depicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Shame the euro is trash now, call looking yikes.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Kind of a weird storm. Really strong low, but little precip on the cold side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 on the plus side, being on the nw fringe is the best place to be when the now-elusive stronger/nw trend starts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Nam joined the party 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 4 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Not sure how that's even possible this far north, we literally had one day of 50゚ weather. Before that the entire "torch" was sunless thick overcast and 30s. Because it wasn't for "this far north". My original post was regarding middle IN & OH. Winter's been absent there. At least the last 2 weeks have been decent up here north of the brew curtain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 GFS on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 feels like the first storm all season where the lake has potential for a couple inches of upside imby as opposed to vice versa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Ladies and gentlemen...the GFS 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: feels like the first storm all season where the lake has potential for a couple inches of upside imby as opposed to vice versa Yeah, the Ukie has been pretty hitting that potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 feels like the first storm all season where the lake has potential for a couple inches of upside imby as opposed to vice versa Indeed. The UK has been hitting the LE fairly hard on several runs. Edit: Sniped above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 gfs all about the consistency 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 and were back.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Thundersnow12 said: Yeah, the Ukie has been pretty hitting that potential. haven't been following too closely but growing a bit optimistic looking at things 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 14 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Ladies and gentlemen...the GFS That is downright comical. In 1 day lmao. Another reason i always get a kick out of when some people get so panicky on one days runs or trends. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 10 hours ago, LansingWeather said: where was that at? Cincinnati?? 5 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Not sure how that's even possible this far north, we literally had one day of 50゚ weather. Before that the entire "torch" was sunless thick overcast and 30s. I was responding to someone's post about snow in OH. This map shows 45F soils up to KIND, and that was Saturday. Prior to this mini-torch. I'm sure they've come up with record temps yesterday, and another warm day today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 minute ago, michsnowfreak said: That is downright comical. In 1 day lmao. Another reason i always get a kick out of when some people get so panicky on one days runs or trends. It's actually close to 2 day's of runs, but the point remains it is beyond laughable amount of shifting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 minute ago, RogueWaves said: I was responding to someone's post about snow in OH. This map shows 45F soils up to KIND, and that was Saturday. Prior to this mini-torch. I'm sure they've come up with record temps yesterday, and another warm day today. Thanks for clarifying. I didnt see that post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Lock it in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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