A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: What model even is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 the right one 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2020 Author Share Posted January 31, 2020 12z Euro with swath of 5-7" from BRL to ORD/PWK Tuesday night into Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 23 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: the right one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Naturally the details are shifting all over the place but a signal for an active week is pretty damn good. IF tons of Warning headlines for the 11-12th can go up in complete flames, nothing is beyond the reach of this wretched winter. Not to be a buzz-kill, but these models were not up to the "multi-wave test" thrown at them just recently. Who's to say this doesn't end up similarly? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 and it's gone, mostly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 4 minutes ago, IllinoisWedges said: and it's gone, mostly Hasn't this always been like a ~3-6" storm? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Hasn't this always been like a ~3-6" storm? I sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Well I'll adjust what I said. Could have some potential for over 6" somewhere especially if the waves overlap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 6 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: the right one I concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 hour ago, IllinoisWedges said: I sleep You always do buddy With how this winter has been, even a 3-6” storm would be one of the highlights. Even if this event doesn’t come together well, don’t hate the active look of the extended. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 43 minutes ago, MIstorm97 said: You always do buddy With how this winter has been, even a 3-6” storm would be one of the highlights. Even if this event doesn’t come together well, don’t hate the active look of the extended. The same as this active look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 watch how irony plays out with this one..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 2 hours ago, IllinoisWedges said: and it's gone, mostly huh? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 12 minutes ago, Baum said: huh? Yeah I don't know what he is getting at, the storm is still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 38 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: The same as this active look? Agreed.. I've played this game before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 52 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: The same as this active look? It's not really fair to add all 384 hr totals of the GFS and promote the idea of "active" based on those clowns, but I get your drift. That 14" over my head turned into 0.5" of reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Just now, IWXwx said: It's not really fair to add all 384 hr totals of the GFS and promote the idea of "active" based on those clowns, but I get your drift. That 14" over my head turned into 2.3" of reality, a penny at a time. Also that clown map was contaminated with a lot of freezing rain and sleet. I will be shocked if it's not active, based on all the signals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Just now, michsnowfreak said: Also that clown map was contaminated with a lot of freezing rain and sleet. I will be shocked if it's not active, based on all the signals. The way this winter has been going, I'm not holding my breath. And after you quoted me, I double checked and realized that it was worse than 2.3", it was only 0.5". I'm happy that you Detroit area guys have scored, but down here has been major suckage. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toro99 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I honestly thought posting 384hr snowfall maps and starting threads more than 120 hrs out was banned several years ago. My, times have changed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Toro99 said: I honestly thought posting 384hr snowfall maps and starting threads more than 120 hrs out was banned several years ago. My, times have changed. In case you missed the map dates, that's not the future, that's back to the future (1/9 to 1/25). I posted it in response to all the hype that certain GFS snow maps are generating as if they can be trusted, lol. Of the (3) big systems included in that time-frame, only the 17-18th was a decent snowstorm and even that one was a slab of mush due to ZR & RN. All others were rainers/mix joke systems. As we witnessed here north of the Mitt border, when cold shows up to play, we get the white gold. Otherwise, it's a no-go for snow. Perhaps this next 3 week stretch the cold does actually show up? If not, more false-flag snow maps from the GFS for my archive. Don't look at today's CPC temps maps for Feb unless you want to be disappointed. Cold shows up, and we party. Cold fails once again, and we all cry for an early spring.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Also that clown map was contaminated with a lot of freezing rain and sleet. I will be shocked if it's not active, based on all the signals. Yeah, that's what generated those crazy amts and I'm quite sure it's the most snow shown for SMI on one of these LR maps. Back in 2014 we regularly saw GFS (and other) maps showing areas from here west getting 24+ in a 15 day period, but never 45" lol. Obviously, KLAN didn't end up with half of their 45" this month. In contrast, just about every one of those weenie run maps verified 6 yrs ago this month (and into Feb as well). Let's just hope this final stretch of Met winter delivers something for SMI. 31.0z Op GFS has a nice look for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 We are getting a major change tonight from the UK and Euro. They are now trying to hold a lot more energy back to the west, so it is able to spin up a better wave that tracks much farther nw. At the surface an organized "big" storm is not quite there, yet. Both the UK and Euro drop a few inches of snow through Iowa. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 ^^ Donut hole living. Best Climo! Seriously tho. A legit chance for a decent snowstorm for many of us, and this thread's dead? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 12z GFS is a big step backward. The northern stream digs a little more again, which grabs the strong western energy and stretches it out and yanks the northern part of it eastward. We end up with a weak, positively-tilted system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 44 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: ^^ Donut hole living. Best Climo! Seriously tho. A legit chance for a decent snowstorm for many of us, and this thread's dead? Still too far away for detailed discussion in my book. As I said the other day, I like the active look on the models, but no sense in stressing about details this far out. If anything, props to our sub as one of the most level headed of this forum. Reading some of the other sub forums and their run to run emotions is just over the top. Get me fresh snow and I'll be happy lol, I don't care how much. I've already had 2 decent storms, a little bit of middle ground would be just fine, so you can bet that if this storm turns in to be a strung out mess but I still get a few inches, I will be happy. Of course, the more the better, but im not the all or nothing type 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 35 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 12z GFS is a big step backward. The northern stream digs a little more again, which grabs the strong western energy and stretches it out and yanks the northern part of it eastward. We end up with a weak, positively-tilted system. Sounds like seasonal trends FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 The 12z GFS Ensembles today on the opposite end of the scale from the Deterministic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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