SchaumburgStormer Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 HRRR is dryyyy. Garbage winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: HRRR is dryyyy. Garbage winter. It's actually not terrible. 1-3" area wide at end of most recent run, and still more synoptic and LES to go. Would probably end up 2-5" most of the area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Thinking this is more of a 3-5" locally vs the original thought of 4-7". Wouldn't shock me if someone ended up close to 6 but I think we stay just a bit under that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 42 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: I highly doubt 6", but it would be incredible to have a 3rd 6"+ storm in this winter. 34 minutes ago, AWMT30 said: Idk man HRRR really trying to out down 3+ before 7am with the snow ending around 10 looking at the sim radar Flakes could be just sugar-sand variety ice crystals, thus divide maps in half. Not a forecast, but a concern mentioned by GRR yesterday. That combined with long duration could be the reason to hesitate on a WWA. Hoping for solid last-minute trends for once myself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 29 minutes ago, Stebo said: Thinking this is more of a 3-5" locally vs the original thought of 4-7". Wouldn't shock me if someone ended up close to 6 but I think we stay just a bit under that. This has been a bad winter "feeling" wise but I bet when everything is calculated at the end of April it ends up being a slightly warmer winter with average to slightly above average snowfall. People looking at records 50+ years from now will just see an average winter for 2019-2020 Toronto is looking at 3-6" and after the 2.5" on Sunday that will mean already 5-8" of snow has fallen by February 7th 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Think IWX should be good. I'm gonna be walking the 850 like a Walenda. Like literally a few miles north or south of me could mean the difference between 1-2 of crap or 3-6. I'm used to that just not in February. I'll do a D1 call, as thats all you can do in my climo this year, 2" of every frozen type precip except ZR and pray I bust low lol. Edit: Forgot I made an earlier call of 5. What was I drinking? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Lake component adds a bit of uncertainty to this, but only going to go with about 1-2" from that for now. Combined with the synoptic portion could result in about 4-6" by the time it's all done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Took a bit, but finally ztarting to coat treated paved surfaces here. Some of those returns to my S and SE making me nervous. Don't want any sleet or rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, Jackstraw said: Think IWX should be good. I'm gonna be walking the 850 like a Walenda. Like literally a few miles north or south of me could mean the difference between 1-2 of crap or 3-6. I'm used to that just not in February. I'll do a D1 call, as thats all you can do in my climo this year, 2" of every frozen type precip except ZR and pray I bust low lol. Edit: Forgot I made an earlier call of 5. What was I drinking? Feb, is always sleet and freezing rain in my climo book around the I-70 corridor with an occasional good snowstorm thrown in for good measure at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, Jackstraw said: Think IWX should be good. I'm gonna be walking the 850 like a Walenda. Like literally a few miles north or south of me could mean the difference between 1-2 of crap or 3-6. I'm used to that just not in February. I'll do a D1 call, as thats all you can do in my climo this year, 2" of every frozen type precip except ZR and pray I bust low lol. Edit: Forgot I made an earlier call of 5. What was I drinking? 27 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Feb, is always sleet and freezing rain in my climo book around the I-70 corridor with an occasional good snowstorm thrown in for good measure at times. Jackstraw, I was thinking that you and I would be in the same boat as far as precip type, but just checked out the HRRR and to you and Indystorm. That said, even we are walking that tightrope up here. I have no doubt that sleet will cut into our totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 1/30/2020 at 2:34 PM, A-L-E-K said: 3.1 final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Snow has begun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Great call for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 We have flakes in beautiful Northern Indiana. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Have had absolute rippage a few hours here. Nice fat flakes. Band has been pivoting near IL River. Sadly it looks to be pulling away already. Most models didn't have a huge lull like what radar looks like now from MO into OK. Curious if it will fill back in like what hi res is showing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Right in the heart of this heavier band right now (few miles west of home). Flake size is moderate to large and it's just pouring down. Probably among the best rates I have witnessed all season. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 I see LOT's PM Zone forecast for some WWA zones is forecasting accumulations of 1"-5". Quite the spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Dust has arrived 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Ride the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Sure why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 It's the new God model ^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Dust has arrived that's early. dry wedge busted...overachiever on the way.... edit: dust here also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Freezing drizzle with some pingers. Blah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Models have handled this horribly. This moved through incredibly fast and there really isn't anything filling in behind it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, StormChaser4Life said: Models have handled this horribly. This moved through incredibly fast and there really isn't anything filling in behind it Light precip is expected to fill in this evening and tonight. That initial push of precip was always going to provide to most organized/heavier snows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Light freezing rain being reported at KIND with 32 degrees at 5 p.m. ET. Light rain here IMBY at present with heavier returns coming from the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Garden variety pinger crap here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 14 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Light precip is expected to fill in this evening and tonight. That initial push of precip was always going to provide to most organized/heavier snows. It definitely was intense. Just didn't last long at all. It was racing. But a nice few hours of snow globe effect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Man models have been wildly inconsistent with that secondary development. GFS/RGEM really trying to play-up tomorrow night vs. tonight imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just went from garden variety pingers to full on salt shaker skin stingers, my goodness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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