ChiTownSnow Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Finally a "normal" looking system for once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 11 hours ago, Hoosier said: Oh look, the GFS shifted north. 06z GFS shifted back south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 11 hours ago, Hoosier said: Oh look, the GFS shifted north. 06z GFS shifted back south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 The upside with this setup is probably something like the I-70 event in December, shifted north. A nice pool of near or over 200% of normal pwats on the ensemble means and tight baroclinic zone could lead to a nice event somewhere. With the mild antecedent 850 mb temps, within LOT CWA will likely once again be rain/snow battleground assuming a decent system materializes. There may even be an ice to sleet risk zone as boundary layer cooling could bleed in prior to sufficient cooling aloft for snow as primary p-type. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 GFS pretty consistent with a solid hit for a portion of LOT for the last few runs. But its the "upgraded" GFS... It needs to score a coup before I put any weight into it. Seasonal trends say this ends up a strung out POS that gives the jackpot zone 3". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Rain/snow close to Hoosier, looks right to me. Prob a slight tick north to come to get him solidly into the rain game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2020 Author Share Posted January 30, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 I'm not excited about this. As the western energy moves into the upper midwest, the northern stream digs down ahead of it and shears it apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 GEM/UKMET in their own camp, showing a deeper and slower trough, with most of the energy staying behind for a later ejection of a better/main storm system. ECMWF is more in-between...slowly trending in that direction, but not nearly there yet. The GFS is the polar opposite of the GEM/UKMET, showing the faster/shallow trough...eventually getting sheared a part. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 2 hours ago, King James said: Rain/snow close to Hoosier, looks right to me. Prob a slight tick north to come to get him solidly into the rain game To be clear, even I am not so pessimistic with this one to be expecting all rain. Cold air will be pressing, but probably not in time to prevent some rain/ice around here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Looks to be a non event around here, maybe a DAB or DAB+ at best. Eagerly awaiting Alek's call. My early thinking for him is 3-5". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 13 minutes ago, wisconsinwx said: Looks to be a non event around here, maybe a DAB or DAB+ at best. Eagerly awaiting Alek's call. My early thinking for him is 3-5". DAB(+) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 26 minutes ago, wisconsinwx said: Looks to be a non event around here, maybe a DAB or DAB+ at best. Eagerly awaiting Alek's call. My early thinking for him is 3-5". eurythmics here comes the rain again.mp3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 3.1 final call 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: 3.1 final call Would that beat halloween iyby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 bold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Would that beat halloween iyby? i don't think so, i got home after melt had started but i think were probably 3.5 or so on halloween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 32 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: 3.1 final call Went higher than me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Yikes.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2020 Author Share Posted January 30, 2020 Bullish Alek surprised me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 8 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Bullish Alek surprised me To be fair, he did post that he wasn't feeling bad about where he sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 4 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: GEM/UKMET in their own camp, showing a deeper and slower trough, with most of the energy staying behind for a later ejection of a better/main storm system. ECMWF is more in-between...slowly trending in that direction, but not nearly there yet. The GFS is the polar opposite of the GEM/UKMET, showing the faster/shallow trough...eventually getting sheared a part. GFS took a step, and several GEFS are now GEM-like or close to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Uh oh, Alek gonna bust high again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 GFS = What storm? Here's 1.5" of nuisance snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Trends continue... That Mon-Tue time-frame is looking less interesting with the first lead wave. Of more interest is the 2nd and/or 3rd wave Wed-Thur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Yeah, this is turning into a drawn out thing with a few waves, the last of which could be strongest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 ^ would be strange to get a week stuck in the 30's with clouds and periodic periods of snizzle.... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Naturally the details are shifting all over the place but a signal for an active week is pretty damn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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